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The market may finally be waking up to the damaging reality of the Iran war.
The stock market having its worst day of the conflict a month into the fighting is a bad sign. The S&P 500 fell 1.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.4% Thursday—both closing at around six-month lows. The latter entered correction territory, albeit partly due to Meta’s sharp drop.

But what’s more worrying is the muted reaction to President Donald Trump postponing strikes on Iranian energy facilities for another 10 days. It may be down to reports that the Pentagon is looking at sending up to 10,000 additional troops to the Middle East.
But the delay also doesn’t give investors what they really want—an end to the war, or at least a sign it may come swiftly.
If the pause holds and there’s no resolution, it means 10 more days of low traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, elevated energy prices, and more uncertainty. Deadlines also spark volatility—yesterday’s trading ahead of Trump’s original Friday cut-off is a stark reminder.
The war looks likely to drag on into April—at the very least—and into earnings season. If U.S. companies are revealing the damaging impact of the war as the conflict is raging, that’s a troubling combination for the stock market, though it may put more pressure on Trump.
The same goes for the economic fallout. The jobs report for March is out before Trump’s new deadline expires, and consumer price inflation data a few days after.
That might seem a bit far out for a market eager to trade on day-to-day developments. But it shouldn’t be. The longer the war lasts, the worse the impact for the global economy and markets.
Every passing day means more trouble ahead—let alone 10 of them.
#trump #MarketSentimentToday #IranIsraelConflict $BTC

Gold experienced intense volatility at the beginning of the week as markets reacted to headlines surrounding the crisis in the Middle East. The precious metal came under heavy selling pressure early Monday, with Oil prices shooting higher and feeding into global inflation fears, after US President Donald Trump’s threat over the weekend to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants if they refused to open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. In response, Iran warned that it would retaliate and target all US-linked energy infrastructure in the Middle East.
After falling to its lowest level since late November near $4,100, XAU/USD made a sharp U-turn in the second half of Monday and erased a majority of its daily losses to close near $4,400. US President Trump announced that they postponed any military strikes against Iran's power plants for five days following "good and productive conversations," triggering a sharp decline in Oil prices and a heavy US Dollar (USD) selloff. 
Heightened optimism about a de-escalation of the conflict allowed risk flows to return to markets and helped Gold extend its recovery. Israeli Channel 12 claimed on Tuesday that a one-month ceasefire could be announced, during which sides would negotiate the terms of a 15-point proposal sent to Iran through intermediaries. 
Nevertheless, the market mood soured in the second half of the week as the Iranian side continuously refuted any claims that they were in negotiations with the US. Iran also reportedly rejected the US’s 15-point proposal. Meanwhile, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt refused to say whether the US was considering a ground operation during a press briefing late Wednesday but noted that a formal authorization from Congress would not be needed if the US decided to execute such a plan. After climbing above $4,600 early Wednesday, Gold retraced its daily rally in American trading hours and came under renewed bearish pressure on Thursday. 
In a post published on Truth Social on Thursday, Trump said that Iran was "begging" them to make a deal. Later in the day, the President announced that, as per the Iranian government's request, they will postpone the plan to attack Iran's energy infrastructure for another 10 days to April 6 and reiterated that talks between Washington and Tehran were going "very well." Investors largely ignored this development and Gold fell nearly 3% on the day.
In the meantime, rising US Treasury bond yields further weighed on Gold in the second half of the week. Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michael Barr said on Thursday that a price shock caused by the Middle East conflict could shift inflation expectations and lead to more inflation persistence. Similarly, Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Philip Jefferson noted that geopolitical tensions posed upside risks to inflation forecasts. The benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield rose nearly 2% on Thursday and advanced to its highest level since July, above 4.45% on Friday.
Heading into the weekend, Gold corrected higher, supported possibly by short-covering.
#streetofhormoz #IranUSAConflict #GoldenOpportunity $XAU

Asian currencies stayed mostly quiet on Thursday, while the U.S. dollar remained steady. Investors are watching mixed signals about possible peace efforts in the Middle East, which is keeping markets cautious.
The U.S. Dollar Index stayed flat after rising in the last two sessions, supported by safe-haven demand.
Iran said it is reviewing a U.S. proposal to end the war, but the situation is still unclear. It has not accepted the plan, but also hasn’t rejected it. At the same time, Iran denied direct talks with the U.S. This uncertainty is making traders careful.
Analysts say that unless tensions ease and oil supply improves, oil prices may stay high. This could keep the dollar strong, while Asian currencies, especially those that depend on oil imports, may remain under pressure.
In currency markets, most Asian currencies moved in small ranges.
* Japanese yen stayed flat
* South Korean won rose slightly
* Indian rupee weakened near its record low
* Chinese yuan was stable
* Singapore dollar and Australian dollar saw small gains

Overall, markets are also focused on U.S. interest rates. Expectations of higher rates for longer are supporting the dollar and limiting gains in Asian currencies.
#OilPricesDrop #US-IranTalks #TrumpSaysIranWarHasBeenWon #freedomofmoney #AsiaStocksPlunge $BTC $XAU

Oil prices went down on Wednesday. Brent oil stayed close to $100 per barrel. Fighting in the Middle East is still going on, even though there are talks about reducing tension. The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran has been going on for almost a month.
At around 5:47 AM ET, Brent oil for May delivery dropped by 3.9% to $100.41 per barrel. U.S. oil, called WTI, also fell 4.0% to $88.70 per barrel. Earlier in the day, Brent had fallen as low as $97.30.
Prices dropped after news came that the United States sent Iran a 15-point plan to stop the war. This gave hope for a ceasefire and safer oil shipping routes, especially the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. President Donald Trump said that talks with Iran are happening and going well. He said Iran seems ready to make a peace deal. But reports also said Israel attacked Tehran on Wednesday, even with these peace signals.
Trump had earlier said talks were “productive” on Monday, but Iran denied that any talks had happened.
Oil prices had gone up before because people were worried that the conflict could affect oil supply from the Middle East. There are also concerns about the Strait of Hormuz, which is a very important route for global oil, as it could be blocked due to possible Iranian attacks on ships.

#OilPricesDrop #US-IranTalks #TrumpConsidersEndingIranConflict $BTC