You have to mindlessly believe in BTC! $BTC As a veteran who has been in the circle for 8 years, the reason I am not financially free yet is that when I first entered the circle, I didn't believe in always holding a large position in BTC; AltCoins depend on luck! I've wasted many years and only came to my senses in 2022; otherwise, I still wouldn't be making money now, and it would have all been for nothing!
Information for reference only, not constituting investment advice
1. Current Signals (4-hour + Daily)
• 4-hour: After a significant drop, low-level narrow fluctuations, MACD death cross below the zero line, green bars continue to narrow, RSI 28 is in the oversold range; price is under pressure from all short-term moving averages, rebound without volume, no clear stop-loss signal, bearish pattern remains unchanged
• Daily: Mid-term downward channel accelerates, continuously breaking key support levels 70000→68000→66000, MACD death cross deepens, bearish trend is clear, no reversal signal in the short term
2. Simplified Operations (light position, only short, no bottom fishing, strict risk control)
1. Entry
◦ Rebound 66,500–66,800 light short (total position ≤ 2%)
◦ Rebound 67,000–67,200 add short (total position ≤ 3%, extreme market strictly control position)
◦ Current price 65,950 mainly wait and see, do not chase shorts, do not go long
◦ Single loss ≤ total capital 1%
2. Stop Loss
◦ Short positions uniformly set at 68,000 (if broken, the downward trend temporarily pauses, logic fails)
3. Take Profit (in batches)
◦ First take profit 65,500 (reduce position by 50%)
◦ Second take profit 65,000 (reduce position by 40%)
◦ Remaining 10% position: for every 500-point drop, move stop loss down by 400 points, ultimate target 63,500
4. Exit Conditions (triggered to liquidate all)
◦ 4-hour volume stands above 67,200 and MACD golden cross
◦ If the first take profit is not reached within 4 hours → directly liquidate
3. One-sentence Conclusion
4-hour oversold low-level fluctuations, bearish dominance unchanged, daily breakdown downward trend is clear; only do rebound shorts, very light positions, strict stop loss, never bottom fish and go long, wait for clear stop-loss signals $BTC
BTC 3.24 Trading Strategy: A Tug-of-War Under Low Volume Rebound
Bullish Strategy
• Entry Signal: Relying on the 4H MACD golden cross and the support at 69500 Bollinger middle band, take a light position to go long.
• Risk Control Points: Set stop loss below 68500, strictly control position to cope with the daily death cross pressure, and view low volume rebounds as a trap for bullish positions.
Bearish Strategy
• Entry Signal: The daily death cross structure remains unchanged, and weak rebounds should be staggered to build short positions in the range of 71500-72000.
• Risk Control Points: Set stop loss above 73000, targeting the 70000 level and 69000 support.
Key Levels
• Resistance: 71500 (4H upper band), 72000 (daily moving average death cross point).
Information for reference only, not investment advice
1. Current Signals (4-hour + Daily)
• 4-hour: Bearish dominant, volume breakout; MACD death cross below zero line, green bars expanding; price declining along the lower Bollinger band, very weak rebound
• Daily: Bearish continuation, consecutive bearish breakout; MACD death cross deepens, price loses all moving averages; overall direction clearly down
• Key Levels: Resistance 69,800–70,800; Support 68,000 / 67,300
2. Simplified Operations (Only short, no bottom fishing, light positions)
1. Entry
◦ Current price 68,600–68,800 light short (Total position ≤ 5%)
◦ Rebound 69,800–70,300 add to short
◦ Single loss ≤ total capital 2%
2. Stop Loss
◦ Set at 71,000 (breakout invalidates trend)
3. Take Profit (in batches)
◦ First take profit: 68,000 (reduce position by 30%)
◦ Second take profit: 67,300 (reduce position by 50%)
◦ Remaining 20%: for every 800 points drop, move stop loss up by 600 points
4. Exit Conditions (All positions close when triggered)
◦ 4-hour MACD golden cross
◦ Volume breaks above 70,800
◦ Entry not reached 24 hours at 68,000 → first reduce position by 50%
3. One-sentence Conclusion
Breakout downwards, bearish acceleration, rebound lacks volume, support is weak; only short, no bottom fishing, execute with light positions, strict stop loss $BTC
Information for reference only and does not constitute investment advice
1. Current Signals (4-hour + Daily)
• 4-hour: Fluctuating slightly bearish, weak rebound; MACD close to the zero axis, RSI neutral to weak; Price below MA5/10/20, short-term bears dominate
• Daily: Continued bearishness, slight rebound after three consecutive downs; MACD death cross, price below the middle band of Bollinger; Overall direction still downward
• Key Levels: Resistance 70,800–71,500; Support 69,800 / 68,800
2. Simplified Operations (Only short, do not chase shorts, light positions)
1. Entry
◦ Current Price 70,200–70,400 Light Short (Total Position ≤ 6%)
◦ Rebound 70,800–71,200 Add Short
◦ Single Loss ≤ Total Capital 2%
2. Stop Loss
◦ Unified Set 71,800 (Breaking level means trend failure)
3. Take Profit (In Batches)
◦ First Take Profit: 69,800 (Reduce Position 30%)
◦ Second Take Profit: 68,800 (Reduce Position 50%)
◦ Remaining 20%: Move stop loss up 600 points for every 800 point drop
4. Exit Conditions (Trigger means full close)
◦ 4-hour MACD Golden Cross
◦ Volume breaks above 71,500
◦ Entry not reached 24 hours 69,800 → First reduce position 50%
3. One-Sentence Conclusion
Range fluctuating slightly bearish, rebound lacks volume, support weak; Light positions high short, strict stop loss, do not blindly catch the bottom $BTC
Information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
1. Current Signals (4-hour + Daily)
• 4-hour: Bearish oscillation, rebound on low volume (MACD death cross but green bars shorten; 69,000–68,500 support is effective; rebound to 70,700 but insufficient volume)
• Daily: Continuation of bearish trend, not breaking previous low (three consecutive bearish days, MACD death cross; 68,500 key support not broken, double bottom prototype)
• Key Levels: Resistance 71,500–72,000; Support 69,500 / 68,500
2. Simplified Operations (only short, no chasing shorts, light position)
1. Entry
◦ Current price 70,600–70,800 light short (total position ≤ 6%)
◦ Rebound 71,500–71,800 add short
◦ Single loss ≤ total capital 2%
2. Stop Loss
◦ Uniformly set at 72,200 (breaking this level invalidates the trend)
3. Take Profit (in batches)
◦ First take profit: 69,500 (reduce position by 30%)
◦ Second take profit: 68,500 (reduce position by 50%)
◦ Remaining 20%: for every drop of 800 points, move stop loss up by 600 points
4. Exit Conditions (triggered to fully close position)
◦ 4-hour MACD golden cross
◦ Breakout above 72,000 with volume
◦ If not reached 69,500 in 24 hours → first reduce position by 50%
3. One-sentence Conclusion
69,500–68,500 support is strong, rebound on low volume, leaning towards range-bound bearish; light short, strict stop loss.
The information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
1. Current Signals (4-hour + Daily)
• 4-hour: Bearish dominance but weakening momentum (MACD death cross, green bar shortening; rebounded after probing 68787, support at 69000–68500 is effective)
• Daily: Bearish continuation (three consecutive bearish candles, MACD death cross; has not broken the previous low of 68500, double bottom prototype)
• Key Levels: Resistance 71,000–71,800; Support 69,000 / 68,500
2. Simplified Operation (only short, do not chase shorts, light positions)
1. Entry
◦ Light short near the current price of 70,000 (total position ≤6%)
◦ Add short on rebound at 71,000–71,500
◦ Single loss ≤ total capital 2%
2. Stop Loss
◦ Uniformly set at 72,000 (breach indicates trend failure)
3. Take Profit (in batches)
◦ First take profit: 69,000 (reduce position by 30%)
◦ Second take profit: 68,500 (reduce position by 50%)
◦ Remaining 20%: for every drop of 800 points, move stop loss up by 600 points
4. Exit Conditions (trigger results in full liquidation)
◦ 4-hour MACD golden cross
◦ Volume breaks above 71,800
◦ Less than 24 hours since entry and price at 69,000 → first reduce position by 50%
3. One-Sentence Conclusion
Support at 69000–68500 is strong, rebound lacks volume, biased toward range-bound bearish; light position high short, strict stop loss.
#加密市场观察 $BTC Yes, I had a liquidation on November 14th, losing 0.8 btc. I have finally recovered now and can calmly discuss this matter. The liquidation was partly due to my own greed; on October 17th, I even made a profit of 0.05 ntc, but I found that the resistance level around 117k could not be broken. Later, my position started to show a floating loss. Although I felt uneasy, I couldn't bear to cut my losses and always thought the bull market shouldn't end like this. Later, as everyone knows, the resistance level dropped from 112k little by little to 106k, 102k, 98k, and by the time it reached 92k, I really couldn't believe it would break below 90k, and that's how I got liquidated. Do I regret it? Of course, I do regret it, but during this time, I have also been summarizing my experiences and lessons learned. Fortunately, the base position is still there, and there is still a possibility of a comeback. Looking forward to the next four years.
Another sharp drop, the lowest around 99K! It's impossible not to be anxious! Reflecting on it, I mainly wanted to achieve a profit-loss ratio greater than 1 before selling. Although I planned to sell half a day before the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, I didn't expect that the big players sold early at 1029 in the early morning... I missed that point, watching floating profits turn into floating losses, unable to take action. The subsequent market was just sell the news, plus a little black swan, and it actually broke through what I thought was the absolute resistance level of 102K... Either you can wait, or you can withstand it; waiting, I have no patience; enduring, but it can't hold on anymore. The retail investors are about to turn into chives. The rebound after the sharp drop may always come later than you expect.
I'm still holding on! Although I'm very pained by the rates, I'm not too panicked! The closing price in October isn't high, but at the beginning of October it also climbed up to 126K, maybe a little more patience is needed, as long as it doesn't drop below 102K, this cycle won't be considered bearish🐻$BTC
I looked this morning, and the rise from last night has fallen back! Did I sell too early?? The disagreement between bulls and bears has been quite severe for the past half month; I'm still inexperienced and couldn't catch even a small wave. $BTC
After waiting for so long, the anti-stock has finally turned red! In the short term, I see 118K, sell one-third, at 125K sell all or sell one-third! It feels like there is going to be a surge!
The rebound came faster than expected! The price has also reached near my cost price! The price of STH at 112K should be the resistance level at the bottom, I dare not call it higher, but I still think there is hope below the previous high of 125K $BTC
When the water runs out, I sit and watch the clouds rise
Has everyone recovered from the crash of 1011? My 4x long position almost got liquidated! During the crash, although my 'low position' buy orders were all executed, I still have an unrealized loss 😓 Now my position is a bit heavy, but I believe the future is promising.
The pancake has reached a new high again. Recently, I've opened a few orders and made a small profit. Upon careful consideration, it seems that the execution of my strategy has not been adequate. Each small pullback has caused me to exit the market. The path of investment still requires honing! Looking at the current price, there aren't many opportunities left for me to 'pick up money'. $BTC
BTC price has fallen below 110K, which means it has fallen below the STH price. If you believe the bull market is still on, then the current price is relatively cheap for buying. Therefore, I opened a long position. $BTC
After such a long wait, it has finally turned red! After deducting various expenses, there is still profit! I'm not in a hurry to clear the inventory, as I firmly believe that the day of the rate cut announcement will see a significant rise. Let's wait and see $BTC