ETH_蛋总

$SIREN
Now it is 1.8 and short selling can be done, stop loss price at 2.1!
The 4-hour level has already formed a triple top, and the contract positions have been decreasing

$ONT Why did it suddenly come back to life and rise?
Those who have been trading cryptocurrencies for a long time know that exchanges seem to rely on transaction fees for their survival, but the reality is more pragmatic: if a coin stays flat on the ground for a long time, with trading volume dried up and liquidity stagnant like dead water, it is highly likely to be kicked off and cleared away.
But strangely, coins like ONT and NEO, which were once domestic old coins, have dropped to the core of the earth, remained flat for eight years, yet have remained safe and sound on Binance. The HOOKs say they will drop, but the ONTs are as stable as a stubborn homeowner.
Having stayed flat for so long, the chips have been cleaned out, and although the story is old, surviving itself is the biggest narrative. Sometimes the market likes these "comeback" moments: after eight years, old retail investors suddenly straighten their backs, and when retail investors see it, they think, "Wow, the old coin is about to make a comeback," and with a surge of FOMO, the trading volume increases.

The last password of the WeChat group was said by $on, and then the group was closed!
$on keep pushing!

$btc The monthly level has now been in a continuous decline for 6 months. This kind of continuous drop for half a year dates back to 2018. History has repeatedly proven: there is no market that only falls without rising. Therefore, from April to June, we are very firmly looking at a rebound, which can be entered in batches around 66000, and now is an opportunity greater than the risk.

$on The password given to the brothers this Wednesday has already doubled with a profit of 31000 dollars, finally enjoying the benefits!

$ena $doge $xpl $bnb Now is the perfect bottom and the best time to enter!

Recently, Binance has started delisting projects: $A2Z, $FORTH, IDEX, LRC, NTRN, RDNT, SXP, $HOOK

The current market is increasingly resembling the situation after the ICO tide receded in 2018 (now it's the Meme tide receding).
Everyone can recall that wave of ICOs in 2017; how many of them are still alive today? And think carefully, among those that survived, how many are truly capable? After you reflect on this, you'll realize—over 99% of the projects from the bull markets in 2017 and 2020 have already gone to zero.

This cycle is still ongoing: the market is about to face a bear market lasting two years, and in the end, over 99% of the projects will turn into nutrition for Bitcoin.

$BTC $ETH Quarterly contracts + options settlement, prices retreated near 68000.
Today is Thursday, a regular pullback day on Friday, no need to panic. Looking forward to April and May markets, hold your spot steady, don't get shaken out.

$DOGE $BNB $XPL $ENA are still consolidating in place, continue to hold according to the previous strategy, patiently wait for the wind to come.

On the contract side, I mentioned the logic for shorting $GUN
in the group yesterday—
because starting tomorrow, there will be large releases every month, and this asset is bearish in the long run, I've already got the brothers to sell into it.

$BTC Tomorrow's delivery! The short position is not now, but around 83000. The daily level has formed a triple bottom structure, combined with the Fibonacci retracement demand, a technical rebound is highly likely.

Yesterday mentioned $BNB $DOGE, although there was a slight pullback today, it feels more like an opportunity to get in, just hold on.
$xpl $ena is still waiting for the market to stabilize, no rush for now, patiently waiting for signals.

$BTC Delivery this Friday, based on this week's performance, there are already signs of bulls entering the market, so the focus for Q2 will still be on short-term longs. I've emphasized repeatedly that Bitcoin must rebound to around 83000 before considering short positions; the reason being that 83000 is a key Fibonacci 0.618 level. This round has dropped from 120000, and theoretically, it should pause near 0.618, but due to the aggressive selling pressure from bears, an effective rebound could not form. Now that the bears are entering a consolidation phase, the bulls will surely seize the opportunity to recover this position, and 83000 is a suitable time to set up short positions.

Recently, altcoins have shown signs of recovery, so those holding assets should remain patient.
$DOGE The daily MA5 has successfully crossed above MA30, and a short-term rebound to around 0.15 is expected.
$BNB There is a high probability of returning to the $800 mark before June.

$GUN is about to face a massive unlocking. Yesterday and today there was a sudden surge, which is a benefit for the short-sellers. You can enter at the current price and prepare for a long-term short position～～～～

The cyclical fate of Trump and Hoover is remarkably similar.

1. Overlapping Economic Narratives: Tariffs and the Ghost of the 'Great Depression'
Hoover's political career took a sharp downturn after the stock market crash in 1929. Although the root causes of the Great Depression are complex, history textbooks are deeply imprinted with Hoover signing the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act—which triggered a global trade war and exacerbated the economic collapse.
One of the core elements of Trump's economic policy is comprehensive tariffs. Many economists (and current President Biden has pointed out) note that this approach of protecting domestic industries and addressing trade deficits through high tariffs is strikingly similar to Hoover's logic. The feeling of this being 'eerily similar' is especially strong when facing potential economic recession or inflationary pressures.

2. The Political Legacy 'Reversed' by History
This is a highly ironic point of comparison:
Before his election, Hoover was the most outstanding Secretary of Commerce in the United States, an extremely efficient 'technocrat' and 'humanitarian' (who successfully provided relief to Belgium during World War I). However, the Great Depression completely defined him as a symbol of a 'loser,' to the extent that the term 'Hoover' became synonymous with shantytowns (Hoovervilles) and dilapidated trucks (Hoover wagons) during the Great Depression.
Trump emerged in 2016 with the image of a 'successful businessman.' But critics argue that if the eventual economic recession or social disintegration is attributed to him, he may, like Hoover, be historically reshaped from the image of a 'businessman president' to a transitional figure who laid the groundwork for a major crisis during his tenure.

3. The Fate of Losing to the 'Reformer'
Hoover was overwhelmingly defeated by Franklin D. Roosevelt in the 1932 election. Roosevelt initiated the 'New Deal,' reshaping the American political landscape.
Following this script, Trump lost to Biden in 2020 (a centrist emphasizing 'restoration of normalcy'), and faces a rematch in 2024. Regardless of the outcome, this analogy suggests that Trump may, like Hoover, become the endpoint of an old era (or a specific political movement), while his opponent attempts to become the 'Roosevelt' that ushers in a new era.

Gold and silver are starting to pull back. I took a look and the amplitude is not much different from that of cryptocurrencies, especially silver and the elevator trends of altcoins. So don’t be overly confident in any asset;

I mentioned to the brothers in the group over the weekend that 68000 is a very strong support for $btc, and this week is delivery week, so it’s unlikely to change before Friday.

I really don't want to look at altcoins anymore. After shouting about the altcoin season for 3 years, only a few like $pepe have emerged, so going short is the main theme now, and I personally think the shorting point recently is around 83000.

$US
Ant warehouse small profit! Keep pushing up!!

Brothers!
The bear market is ruthless, but the egg is full of love!
It’s been a long time since I sent red envelopes, so here’s a subsidy for my brothers during the bear market, let’s get through it together!
Reply: send send send
You can get $BNB

Ant Warehouse, play with counterfeit contracts!

$ETHFI It's better not to use the Korean exchange than to use it; it completely crashed afterwards, and now the altcoins have completely lost their liquidity!

$BTC Next week's quarterly delivery is becoming increasingly unpredictable as the delivery date approaches. Over the past month, it has been fluctuating around 70000, and although the volatility is frequent, the low points of the pullbacks have been consistently rising. The market does not always go up, nor will it always go down. In the second quarter, it is highly likely that we will see a surge similar to last year, providing short sellers with high points to short.
$XPL $ENA The bottoming structure has been completed, and the time window for the market to start is likely to fall in April. The most important thing right now is to maintain a steady mindset and not easily exit the market—perseverance is key to waiting for the wind to come.

Recently, the lobster has been confused, and the overall feeling is that we are constantly training a fool, and this fool often makes mistakes!

$btc Today is Friday again, and every Thursday and Friday, the bears are bound to harvest once. Long positions can wait to enter after a dip!

Altcoins have been bottoming out for 2 months, and still, don't be afraid!

312 lets us understand that at any time and any place, $btc can outperform over 99% of the market!

Currently, $BTC continues to fluctuate around 70000 before the delivery, frequently accumulating contract positions. From a timing perspective, we can only wait for the delivery to land and then observe the subsequent direction.

As for altcoins, whether it's Meme, AI, or DeFi sectors, they are almost all quiet. The current slight movements are mostly concentrated in small-cap Alpha-type coins that have launched contracts. Today's leader, $SXT, has not seen substantial positive news, but rather is just a rebound after a significant drop.

The $ENA and $XPL we laid out are currently in a dormant stage, and the whales are also waiting for clearer market conditions. Therefore, at this stage, we should maintain patience and wait for the market to provide clearer signals.

The overall market's focus is not on the cryptocurrency sector, but rather concentrated on traditional assets like crude oil and gold. Based on the performance after Binance launched gold and silver trading pairs, it is highly probable that crude oil contracts will be introduced next. Recently, it is advised to reduce the frequency of operations and wait for the winds to rise.