The range of fluctuations within $ETH is from 1944.72 to 2015.19. Overall, it still follows a weaker consolidation trend with BTC, but the volatility is somewhat greater. The support area below is first observed from 1945 to 1900, and the pressure above is first seen from 2015 to 2050. If BTC cannot quickly return above 67000, ETH is likely to continue with a weak oscillation rhythm.
The intraday fluctuation range on $BTC is between 65033 and 66995, structurally characterized as a weak oscillation after a continuous decline. The initial support is at 65000; if it cannot hold, there is a risk of further declines in the short term. The initial resistance is at 67000, with stronger resistance around 68000.
Today's key is not to chase the shorts, but to see if the 65000 level can hold.
$ETH has arrived at the key position we are focusing on 2100u, it is recommended to pay close attention.
The current price is around 2115 dollars, a small long position can be tried, with a focus on the 2100 dollar support area. The stop loss is set in the range of 2090–2085 dollars, with a target looking at the 2180 line.
$SUPER has reached the profit-taking position, remember to reduce positions to secure profits. The cousin's big family has sent some good wealth codes to the brothers today, and the brothers of the big family have already benefited. If there are any brothers who want to join the cousin's big family, you can scan the Binance private chat code to privately chat with the cousin to join the big family, and there are no thresholds in the big family~
Today I'm bringing you a wealth code, $SUPER , light position market sell, take profit: around 0.125 - 0.12, stop loss: 0.135, follow with a light position, reasonably control your position and leverage, no need for more words, continue to get on board and attack fiercely!
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Today I'm bringing you a wealth code, $SUPER , light position market sell, take profit: around 0.125 - 0.12, stop loss: 0.135, follow with a light position, reasonably control your position and leverage, no need for more words, continue to get on board and attack fiercely!
Cousin's family has recently vacated quite a bit of space, everyone is welcome to continue joining and attack fiercely with cousin!
$ETH Here, if the trend is weak, it is estimated that it will first pull back to around 2130 before accelerating the rebound; if it goes strong directly, it may not look back. I plan to buy multiple long positions in batches in the range of 2130–2100, and first look for a rebound.
Regarding $BTC , pay attention to the neckline above 7.15w–7.2w. If it passes, the head and shoulders bottom will be formed, and the rebound will likely touch the previous high nearby. I am preparing to wait for the price to pull back to the 7w–6.9w area to gradually enter a long position.
Cousin brings everyone a wealth password, $SIGN lightly open long, target: 0.07, stop loss: 0.0515, lightly follow, reasonably control position and leverage.
$BTC The current trend is very strong, clearly showing a breakthrough market. It has risen from the $67,300 level, continuously closing multiple solid bullish candles, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, breaking through several moving average resistances. It has currently stabilized at the key support level of $70,494 and is testing the resistance above $71,522.
From the candlestick pattern, a typical bullish engulfing structure formed yesterday, with short-term highs continually rising, overall operating within an upward channel, and bullish momentum being clearly released, indicating a strong trend. The main reason for the rise yesterday was the easing of geopolitical tensions—Trump announced a 5-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy facilities, significantly alleviating market risk aversion, allowing bullish funds to actively enter the market, pushing prices to break through the upper edge of the consolidation range, completing a strong reversal in technical terms.
Currently, the overall pattern still leans towards bullishness, and after the breakout, the market shows a rhythm of consolidation. If it can stabilize above $71,522, the market is expected to challenge the $72,000-$73,000 area or even higher positions.
Cousin brings everyone a wealth code, $RDNT light position long, take profit: 0.0060 - 0.0065 take profit in batches, stop loss: 0.0047, light position follow, reasonably control position and leverage, you can wait for it to finish the pullback and then build positions, aiming for new highs.
$LYN reached the second take-profit level, remember to reduce positions to secure profits, cash in for safety! Today's first order, a complete victory! Those who want to hold on and wait for a breakthrough can reduce positions to secure profits and set a trailing stop!
Cousin brings everyone a wealth password, $LYN light position to go long, take profit: 0.145 - 0.148 take profit in batches, stop loss: 0.137, follow with a light position, reasonably control position and leverage, currently facing resistance, you can wait for it to complete its pullback and then build a position, hitting new highs.
Cousin brings everyone a wealth password, $LYN light position to go long, take profit: 0.145 - 0.148 take profit in batches, stop loss: 0.137, follow with a light position, reasonably control position and leverage, currently facing resistance, you can wait for it to complete its pullback and then build a position, hitting new highs.
$ETH This wave has been quite orderly, forming a textbook symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, and after breaking the level, it began to accelerate downwards. Compared to Bitcoin, ETH is actually still relatively resilient and has not completely followed the decline. Originally, the expected low was in the range of 2080-2050, but the market has only given around 2150 and then started to hesitate, lacking strength.
Now the short-term upward structure has completed, and the trend has turned bearish, but this position is likely not the end—more like a continuation pattern during the downward movement. From the market perspective, the internal structure may be forming a bearish wedge, and if this structure holds, there will be a small-level rebound for correction, with the high likely around 2257. After the rebound completes, there should be another significant drop, with the target still looking at the support zone of 2080-2050.
Today's plan is to capitalize on both long and short: I have already taken some long positions at the low, riding this wedge rebound, and will close the longs and switch to shorts around 2257, aiming for another wave of accelerated decline. This is the thought process; updates will follow if there are any changes.
#美国2月PPI超预期 #SEC clarifies the classification of crypto assets
$BTC Did you guys open this short position yesterday? Others have already opened tens of millions in margin. Now that's what I call opening a position!
What do we usually play at? A few thousand dollars in, setting a ten-point stop loss, watching the K-line like a thief, fearing that a sneeze from the big player will shake us out. Then look at them setting "10 big goals first," slapping thirty million margin on the table, that momentum is as easy as saying "I’ll take this bunch of green onions" at the market. Five times leverage? In front of their capital size, five times is like five hundred times the deterrent!
Tonight is once again the day of the Federal Reserve's conference, and the entire cryptocurrency world is watching Powell to see whether he will be tough or soft, and whether he has a hammer in hand.
First, it's important to clarify that the three things happening tonight are connected and the schedule is tight. At 2 a.m., the interest rate decision will be released, which is basically a foregone conclusion; there's definitely no cut. What’s really worth watching is the dot plot released simultaneously — 19 people drawing dots to indicate future interest rate expectations over the next three years. What the market is really focused on is this chart, not the interest rate itself. Now that oil is pushing up again and inflation is not coming down, the outlook on this chart will likely not be good.
As soon as the interest rate and dot plot are out, Powell will have to speak, starting at 2:30 a.m. This old man doesn't say much, but every word can crash the market. If he happens to mention “stagflation”, the mood tonight will completely change. Judging by the rhythm, the probability of negative news tonight is indeed not low.
Let's see how the market reacts. Last year, during four interest rate meetings, Bitcoin dropped each time, at least by 10%, and at its worst, by 30%. The adjustment cycles were basically around two weeks. Will this happen again? Not necessarily, but history is there, so being cautious is not a bad idea.
Overall, tonight's juncture is very likely to be a turning point. My own strategy is quite simple: I hold low-leverage long-term short positions, with the logic being that the upward space is visible, while the downward space relies on imagination. I don’t bet on the direction in the short term; it’s enough to find key levels to trade back and forth.
Like that surge yesterday afternoon, where ETH took profit at 2310, and then I entered again on the rebound. The short position at 11 p.m. for 2350 came down directly in half an hour. That's just how it is — direction doesn’t show up every day, but volatility is there every day; if there’s volatility, there’s something to play with.
The current market is quite interesting, $BTC and $ETH are both testing the top. In simple terms, it's creating that kind of structure where it looks like it's going to drop but doesn't, and then it pulls up only to crash down again, which is meant to lure retail investors into chasing highs, while the main players quietly distribute.
Right now, there's no need for too much analysis, just focus on two bottom lines: Can BTC hold 7.35w, and can ETH withstand 2.3k? If these two positions are truly broken, the space below is clean, with no decent support to hold it up.
If it's just a normal pullback, BTC retracing to the 69w – 71w range and ETH returning to around 2.06k – 2.16k is a relatively solid support area. If these positions can be given later, they could actually be worth keeping an eye on.
The market in the past couple of days has indeed been frustrating, not going up or down, and the spikes are making people dizzy. But that being said, not every day needs to have a big market move, and it's also impossible to always buy at the lowest and sell at the highest—thinking of taking off as soon as you enter the market or hoping for a waterfall as soon as you open a short is like a TV drama, not trading.
From a structural perspective, this current state isn't bad: the top is repeatedly tested, repeatedly luring buyers, and repeatedly accumulating. The more solid the structure becomes, the stronger the explosive power will be once a direction is chosen. What needs to be done now is just one thing: wait. Wait for the signal to come out, wait for the break confirmation, wait for the main storyline to truly unfold.
$BTC 7.4 ten thousand This round of Mahjong has been played for a day and a night. The long position drew a 7 ten thousand, and didn't win; the short position drew a 7.5 ten thousand, and also didn't win.
Now the dealer pushes the cards: no more playing, you two guess the size! Everyone is waiting, waiting to see if the dealer's next card is "good news flower on the deck" or "bad news flower on the deck".
I have already stood up anyway, whoever wins I will applaud, I won't play anymore.
Last night $PIPPIN waterfall, my cousin went short and successfully made a 6-fold increase! Opportunities are few, we must seize them, it's a chance to pick up money! Directly short him!