This is one of the most important Bitcoin charts you can analyze right now:
And there is a pattern here that has been repeating for over a decade.
Each circled low on the RSI almost perfectly coincides with a macro accumulation phase for Bitcoin.
Not the exact bottom of the price, but the moment when selling pressure exhausts and smart money starts to build positions.
When it reaches extreme lows and stabilizes, it signals that the downward momentum is decreasing, even if the price has not fully reversed yet.
Historically, when the RSI: - falls into deep oversold territory - compresses near the lows - and then starts to form a base ...it has marked cycle lows, not tops.
Now observe the history: 2012, 2015, 2018, 2022
Every time: RSI bottom -> long consolidation -> major Bitcoin expansion.
No instant high. But the beginning of a new market cycle.
And here is the important part:
The RSI is again exactly in the same historical zone. It is not overheated. It does not look optimistic at first glance.
But exactly where: - retail gives up - volatility decreases - narratives disappear - boredom replaces conviction
This phase never seems exciting. It seems pointless. And that's why it works.
Most people wait for confirmation. But confirmation always comes late and expensive.
Cycle funds never seem optimistic. They seem quiet, frustrating, and uncomfortable.
The war has just extended to the financial system:
Iran has just ordered that everyone in the region stay 1 kilometer away from US and Israeli banks and financial centers.
This occurred after the US and Israel attacked Iranian banks overnight.
Iran's response: US and Israeli banks "must expect our painful response."
Think about what this means.
– First, military targets – Then, leadership – Next, oil infrastructure – After that, water infrastructure – Now, banks and financial institutions
Each week, this war crosses a new line.
Iran's joint military command confirmed that banks and financial institutions are now officially on their list of targets. The AP confirmed the information.
It’s no longer just about missiles. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has also issued a decree stating that "the enemy will no longer have security anywhere in the world, not even in their own homes."
The FBI has put the state on maximum alert across the US. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) warned about cyberattacks on American financial infrastructure.
Iran does not need to physically bomb a bank in New York. A coordinated cyberattack against financial systems would cause chaos.
And Iran has some of the most sophisticated hackers on the planet, backed by a state.
This war started with bombs. Now, it is shifting to the only place that could harm the US more than any missile ever could.
It is a "large combat operation". Their words, not mine.
Here is what the US intends to do:
1. Total destruction of Iran's missile forces, production facilities, and naval fleet. Not to degrade. To destroy.
2. Eliminate the terrorist groups supported by the regime so they can never destabilize the region or attack American forces with improvised explosive devices. Thousands of Americans have been killed and injured by these networks.
3. Ensure that Iran NEVER obtains a nuclear weapon. This comes after Operation Midnight Hammer has already destroyed three significant nuclear facilities. Iran was still enriching uranium and refused to negotiate.
4. Elimination of the regime. Forty-nine high-ranking Iranian leaders, including Supreme Leader Khamenei, would have been killed in just the initial attacks.
The White House is also presenting this as something that presidents have wanted to do for 50 years but have never realized.
This is the largest US military operation in the Middle East since Iraq.
The social security trust fund will be depleted by 2033:
The report from the administrators of 2025 says it all.
After that, all retirees in the United States will face a 23% cut in their salary overnight, by law.
Think about that for a second.
If you expect to receive US$ 2.000 per month, you will now receive US$ 1.540. That means US$ 5.520 less per year in your income.
For millions of elderly people, this means money for rent, medicine, and food.
Now, add to that inflation…
Since 2020, the dollar has lost about 25% of its purchasing power. The prices of soft drinks have not followed this drop, not even close.
So, your benefit will be cut by 23%, and what remains buys much less than it does today.
You are being hit twice. But the situation gets even worse…
If you are in your 40s now, you have been contributing to this system throughout your entire career.
When you become eligible, the pension fund will have been empty for years.
You will be receiving a reduced benefit, with a dollar that buys half of what it does today.
That’s why a growing number of people in their 40s and 50s simply will not retire.
Your retirement plans were raided in 2020 and 2022, housing costs have doubled, real wages are stagnant, and the only program you relied on is mathematically insolvent.
Congress has known this for over 20 years.
But it is doing nothing about it.
Each year you wait, the solution becomes more painful: higher taxes… These studies are in the (U.S.A) but (Brazil) is heading down the same path....
Of the 200 largest insider transactions in the last week, all 200 were sales.
While they say that "the economy is great", they are getting rid of everything they have.
The planet's assets have plummeted at exactly the same time.
– Bitcoin hit a low of US$ 60.000 – Silver fell to US$ 64 – Stocks have fallen, especially technology stocks – The real estate market is collapsing (silently)
There was a small recovery, but buyers are being used as exit liquidity at the moment.
Insider investors are prioritizing protection over returns, and this trend is likely to persist until 2026.
Am I telling you to sell everything? No, no way, always stay alert to market movements to make your own decisions.
I study the market daily to provide you with the best possible content. If you want to support, end below.