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$BTC The US-Iran conflict, rising inflation, how could there be no impact? If this continues, the Federal Reserve won't be able to sit still.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's brief speech caused oil prices to fall, but the conflict persists. Now the US wants to withdraw but needs a dignified reason, seeking to involve other Middle Eastern countries as intermediaries to negotiate an early end.

However, regarding the negotiation progress, Iran does not make concessions, and now the US can only passively rely on military threats, fighting while negotiating.

Old Trump is incredibly bold; he dares to send ground troops into Iran. Surrounded by mountains, do you think those few tens of thousands of American troops will be casualties?

This market is fundamentally dictated by the US and Wall Street capital. The Federal Reserve itself is backed by capital consortiums.

There’s nothing worthwhile to study; as long as the conflict does not stop, BTC will only decline. A brief correction doesn’t mean much; it merely increases the operational difficulty for contract players, while for spot players, it’s just pure entertainment.

What I dislike the most is grinding. In the evening, it was stuck at the strong resistance level of 68200, grinding back and forth between the small support at 67000. How shameless to grind like this—grinding at the beginning of the month and still grinding at the end of the month. Is your skin really that thick? Can we get some strong medicine? I want big ups and downs; I’m all in for the thrill! #Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech

$BTC Watching the short position hanging at 69300-69400, can predict a strong pull from the main force.

Currently, I personally still hold a bearish position with a pressure at 68200,

It's almost 9:30, everything is left to zb, anyway, the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have shifted downwards, and four bullish candles have appeared, the behavior of hard topping the upper Bollinger Band shows no accumulation process, indicating a lack of understanding.

$BTC At this moment, I remember the words of Chairman Yi, and we need to interpret Old Te's words in reverse. 🤭🤭🤭

68200 Strong resistance level is coming to deceive, regardless of the truth or falsity of the news, for contracts, we should have our own analysis and considerations.

67568 Short position, stop loss at 68500. There is no reason to chase long positions facing strong resistance at this level, especially with the imminent 8 o'clock, during the 4-hour candlestick transition.

$BTC
68200 pressure level is here; even if the market has a potential upward momentum later, going long now is unwise. Either wait for indicator changes or short with a stop loss.

Remember, the strong level is near the boll, ema, and even k-line pressure, and in the last round of movement, this position was a strong support point. Once it breaks this position, the market experienced a brief pullback and consolidation before breaking again. Therefore, this position is indeed a pressure level for the current market.

What lies ahead is merely a small range of friction below 68200 before a breakout, or friction and decline, or a direct decline.

As a retail investor, when faced with unclear hourly and short-term indicators, you should either watch and wait or only short with a stop loss.

Who goes long to gamble on breaking strong support? You should also check the current positions of the hourly, 4-hour, and even 6-hour kdj! Don’t act recklessly.

Be honest and short with a stop loss.

Many people ask how eth, sol, and bnb are doing; they are similar, shorting is the same. $ETH

$BTC 67300-68200 This interval short position can be worked on, of course, closer to the 68200 position is better, the short position is more perfect, and the stop loss can be changed to a breakeven loss to look bearish.

The indicator analysis shows that there is a pullback; whether it is a small interval of震荡代跌 or a buildup to rise again and break the pressure level, or if it will fall, it depends on the subsequent changes in short-term indicators.

Anyway, at this position, it can't rise for the time being, so being short is completely fine.

The US-Iran conflict is currently a situation of fighting while negotiating; oil prices will rise. I honestly didn't understand the surge of BTC this morning, but that's how the ZB market is. If the institution wants to push the market, there's nothing you can do, especially since the world's leading powers are getting involved in such geopolitical conflicts. The liquidity will definitely get murkier. As retail players, we must maintain the necessary rationality and calm. During this period, avoid frequent trading, observe first, and consider entering the market when there is a refined entry point, it's not too late.

Persist in understanding the analysis of indicators and the judgment of the international situation. Personally, I believe that the conflict will not end, it will only be a situation of fighting while negotiating; oil prices will not fall, and the Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates, leading to a rise in the US dollar index. So, what will BTC rise with? Therefore, as long as there is a refined entry point for shorts, I will definitely enter the market.

During this period, if you can make a profit as a player, it means you have surpassed more than 90% of the crowd. Through this period of training, those who can survive will have their mindset and market sense undergo a qualitative leap.

68200 pressure level, let's see if the 66800 small support breaks; only if it breaks can we continue to look bearish.

$BTC

$BTC At 6 AM, there was a pin bar, and after the market dropped to 64900, the K-line quickly recovered, forming a bottom hammer line, and the lower Bollinger band is rising, providing support.

When encountering a top or bottom pin bar recovery forming a hammer line, one can choose an aggressive reverse operation, with a stop loss included.

Currently, the pressure on the upper Bollinger band in 4 hours is 68200, and the EMA dual-track pressure is 69500.

Historical pressure levels for the K-line are 68200 and 69500.

The pressure level for the K-line's downward fluctuation is 69500.

Although the daily Bollinger lower band has been temporarily broken by the K-line, after forming a doji at the lower Bollinger band, the market has rebounded. Currently, the KDJ is in the early stages of forming a golden cross, but the MACD is in a bearish cross phase below zero. Given that the KDJ has previously shown signs of a golden cross followed by a bearish cross and downward movement, we need to rationally assess the current trend.

With the shape of the upper middle Bollinger band in the 4-hour chart pressing down, the market is likely to form a correction and drop near 68200, which presents a short opportunity.

The second level is 69500; this is uncertain and serves as a watershed. If touched, it will reverse and drop, then the K-line's downward fluctuation will continue, and the market will enter a downtrend at this point.

The 68200 point is very critical; there is a probability that the market will break down at this position, and there is also a probability of oscillating pressure. If the market can maintain the K-line formation of oscillating downward at 69500, then 68200 must undergo a significant oscillation; otherwise, the space between 68200-69500 of over a thousand points cannot release the long-term indicators' space.

Another possibility is that the market officially touches the bottom and reverses, entering an upward trend. In this case, the correction at 68200 should not be too large, and the market should gradually break through pressure levels, aiming for 74000 and 76000.

Everything hinges on one key point, 68200. Observe the situation of the pullback at this position for further analysis, as this pullback retains the possibility of a crash.

Recently, everyone's operations should focus on swing trading, as news can be true or false, stimulating the market. The Speaker of the House even mentioned that former President Trump's remarks helped ZB harvest the market!

$BTC The approach to nation-building has gone too far, and I can't stand it anymore! 😂😂😂

One Point Square, he is the top headline, the traffic is good.

What’s going on, what outrageous thing did he do, that he has to bow to those people?
$ETH

Once the daily Bollinger Band at $BTC officially breaks, the market is very likely to crash again. In fact, I am looking forward to a black swan event; every time a major trend begins to decline, there is a significant drop in the market.

In fact, I firmly believe that 60000 is not the bottom of this bear market. The market will definitely break 60000 and go to 55000, 53000, and 49000. 49000 is just the bottom currently observed.

What are we worried about now? Just afraid it will return for another pullback. Everyone knows that pullbacks take many days, while crashes happen in an instant. On March 10th, it took seven or eight days for the index to rise from 68300 to 76000, and it took only two days to drop from 76000 to 68700. Currently, the short to mid-term indicators also show a potential for a pullback and rise, but are more biased toward a decline. However, as players, we must remain vigilant about this.

So for those trading contracts, it is essential to focus on segments, choosing extreme entry points.

Whether it's a pullback or a direct drop, the bottom of this bear market is definitely not 60000 points.

So don’t rush into the spot market; waiting is your biggest gain.

Now about the news: The Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates is already a done deal. The US-Iran conflict, based on the information from the weekend, shows that Trump has once again gone back on his word, pausing military strikes against Iran for 10 days, only to strike on Saturday. It’s clear that negotiations are not going as smoothly as he claimed.

If oil prices continue to rise, even if the Fed does not raise interest rates, they will be in a very passive position under severe inflation.

Iran is a major oil power, heavily reliant on oil to support its national operations. This time, the US conflict with Iran primarily responds to the demands of YT capital, forcing the current Iranian government to undergo a thorough cleansing and replace it with a pro-US government, ensuring stability in the Middle East.

Secondly, there’s domestic consideration: Iran’s de-dollarization affects the foundation of dollar hegemony, controlling the Strait of Hormuz, through which one-third of global shipping passes daily, can intimidate the world. War can lead to arms dealers making huge profits, shifting domestic conflicts, and preparing for mid-term elections.

My personal view: Trump actually wants to quickly achieve political goals through the conflict with Iran, boosting his domestic approval ratings and increasing his chances of winning the mid-term elections. He claims to be a little tyrant of the Middle East, with a territory of 5 million square kilometers, surrounded by mountains, making ground attacks difficult. Now Trump has hit a hard rock and wants to withdraw, while Iran refuses to negotiate, leading to a passive response, having to fight while talking.

Therefore, recently oil prices are not coming down, which is bearish for BTC.

$BTC Weekend small range shock market, upper pressure 67500, lower support 66200. Currently, the hourly Bollinger Bands show a downward trend with 9 bends, and the MACD for 15 and 30 minutes, as well as for 1 hour, are all dead crosses, but near the zero axis, making it easy to turn into a golden cross with a small movement of a few hundred.

Currently, both rising and falling markets have opportunities; focus on the upper pressure and lower support for the contracts, waiting for the K-line to watch the Bollinger Bands' upper or lower bands deform, combining indicators to look bullish or bearish, and then enter the market with a stop loss.

Personally, I tend to be bearish, watching whether the institution will pull it up; if not, the daily Bollinger Bands' lower band at 66000 will be broken, and this market will basically crash.

Today is Friday, tomorrow the US stock market will be closed. The negotiations between the US and Iran are definitely not going smoothly, and with reports suggesting an increase in the number of ground troops as a deterrent, oil prices will rise further, and US stocks will plunge. More people will sell US stocks on Friday to avoid risks.

BTC is definitely going to crash, the black swan is highly likely to arrive! $ETH #black swan

665 directly empty, stop loss 669-670, if there is a black swan opportunity, go seize it, at worst, giving you 500 points to stop loss, what harm is there.$BTC

$BTC hours line boll middle track has not successfully broken through, the market has already reached 67500, which is the bottom position of the upward fluctuation. Once it breaks down, the bottom pattern of the daily line upward fluctuation will end.
The daily level indicators are bearish, which is what spot traders are happy to see.

But regarding the current US-Iran conflict, it is impossible to quickly negotiate an end; the overall oil price still has to rise, and relative to BTC, it will definitely be a downward trend.

What I actually worry about is Trump's remarks stimulating the market, leading to a rapid rise, which is relatively passive for contracts.

For example: last night, the short position was hit by Trump's statement about a successful negotiation, resulting in a breakeven loss. Today's market indicates a closing line foundation, but the hourly line middle track has not broken, with vol bullish energy being released, and the K-line has not had a corresponding rise, which poses a risk of decline. If the middle track has not broken, shorting is advisable, but aggressive longing is also permissible. So only by entering the market and keeping an eye on the K-line to see the situation at that middle track will one know the answer.
Currently, 67500 is also a support point, and 68500 has just broken, forming pressure; how to play the contracts.
Don't toss it around anymore; the trend is subtly emerging, just choose to go with the flow, short on pullbacks, with stop-loss.

Let's see if this drop can smoothly break through 66000, pushing toward 60k. I still say that I see the bottom of BTC at 49000 to 53000.

At this time, isn't it nostalgic to walk the trend and enjoy the fat gains? Oh well, forget it, with Trump in the US-Iran conflict, it’s a mess.

This is an analytical result that cannot be driven by any news or remarks stimulating the market.

With one word from the old man, the market instantly surged by 1000 points, absolutely impressive, one cannot help but admire.

$BTC If the US and Iran were to clash again, I believe BTC will quickly reach 49000.

Why are there so many accounts violating rules and fake accounts liking my posts? My followers have all grown step by step from my posts, and they are real fans. I don't need fake followers; thank you for liking my posts, but I really don't want fake followers, thank you.

With 1000 followers, I can start streaming. I already have enough real fans; I'm just an individual trader streaming, without any grand ambitions. I just want to play around with spot trading and contracts in my little space, and stream live when I have time!

$BTC I have said that on the 27th, the Americans will send ground troops to the Middle East for combat operations, just to see if Iran will choose to cooperate or not. It is a clear threat, and this is to be expected.

If they cooperate, oil prices will drop, gold will rise, and BTC will accordingly rise.
If they do not cooperate, oil prices will rise, gold will fall, and BTC will fall.

Therefore, the news from the US and Iran greatly affects market trends.

Everyone should just take some swings.