小韭菜_Web3搬砖工

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#返佣

Trash, take it off the shelves quickly, buying a local dog is better than a counterfeit.

Santiment: In the past year, the net outflow of Bitcoin from CEX reached 403,200 BTC.

Santiment tweeted, "As Bitcoin's market cap hovers around $90,000, Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, continues to show a trend of exiting CEX. In the past year, the total amount of Bitcoin that flowed out of CEX reached 403,200 BTC, resulting in a net decrease of 2.09% in total supply. Overall, this is a long-term bullish signal. The lower the amount of coins held by exchanges, the less likely it is to trigger significant sell-offs that lead to asset price declines historically.
#加密市场观察

According to the data, if ETH breaks through the level of 3300, the cumulative short liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 1.45 billion USD. On the contrary, if ETH falls below 3000 USD, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach 680 million USD.
$ETH

BlackRock CEO: Sovereign funds are buying Bitcoin at low prices

#BlackRock CEO Larry Fink revealed that some unnamed sovereign funds are buying Bitcoin, and when the price of Bitcoin dropped from its peak of $126,000, they bought more.

Larry Fink stated that these funds are buying in a gradual manner, and are increasing their holdings when the price of Bitcoin falls to the $80,000 range, aiming to establish long-term positions. He mentioned during the DealBook event while speaking alongside Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong that if the United States does not accelerate its investments in digitization and tokenization, it risks falling behind other countries. Furthermore, Larry Fink predicts that cryptocurrency-driven tokenization will see tremendous growth in the coming years.

#美联储重启降息步伐

The Federal Reserve restarts interest rate cuts, is a crazy market coming?

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#美联储重启降息步伐 #山寨季将至？

Altseason Index: The "Quantifier" of Market Sentiment

The Altseason Index is a comprehensive indicator specifically used to measure the performance of altcoins relative to Bitcoin. Currently, there are two mainstream versions in the market—Blockchaincenter (top 50 cryptocurrencies) and CoinMarketCap (top 100 cryptocurrencies, excluding stablecoins). Although their methodologies differ, both agree that when 75% of non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies have increased by more than Bitcoin over a 90-day period, we enter 'Altseason'.

From the current data, the Blockchaincenter index is 73, and the CoinMarketCap index is 69, both approaching the critical threshold of 75, indicating that the market has not fully entered the traditional sense of Altseason yet, but its obvious upward trend shows a clear start signal.
#BNB创新高 #山寨季将至？

Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)

BTC.D reflects the market capitalization of Bitcoin's share in the overall cryptocurrency market, serving as the "primary indicator" for assessing the rotation of funds between Bitcoin and altcoins. The cyclical fluctuations of BTC.D show a significant negative correlation with altcoin seasons; when this indicator exhibits a sustained downward trend, it usually signals that funds are shifting from Bitcoin to altcoins.
Historical data shows a clear threshold effect for BTC.D:

● In 2017, during the altcoin season: BTC.D dropped from 86% to 33%, a decline of over 50 percentage points, leading to a highly decentralized market structure where funds generally flowed into altcoins, displaying a "universal rise" characteristic.

● In 2021: BTC.D fell from 69% to 40%, a decline of nearly 30 percentage points.

● In 2025 (as of September), BTC.D slowly decreased from 64% to 57%, a decline of about 7 percentage points. Although it was not as severe as the previous two rounds, this marked the first significant drop exceeding 7 percentage points since 2022.

🔷 When Bitcoin's price stabilizes and BTC.D continues to decline (i.e., the "Bitcoin consolidation + declining dominance" scenario), it serves as a strong signal for the onset of an altcoin season. This indicates that funds are flowing into altcoins without selling Bitcoin, reflecting an increase in market risk appetite. From August to September 2025, Bitcoin's price remained in the range of $110,000 to $120,000, while BTC.D fell by 7 percentage points, aligning with the typical technical patterns seen in historical altcoin season initiations.

#山寨季将至？

According to a Reuters survey of 107 analysts, there is almost unanimous agreement that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17, due to the weakness in the labor market outweighing the impact of inflation risks. Most analysts expect further rate cuts in the next quarter. Employment growth in August stagnated, coupled with a significant downward revision of employment data over the past 12 months, prompting economists to lower their expectations for the Federal Reserve's actions, suggesting that more rate cuts may be implemented. The market has fully priced in the rate cut for September, with three cuts expected this year. Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Analyst Michael Gapen stated that the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September is higher than a larger reduction. #CPI数据来袭 #美联储降息预期升温

$RLC starts to launch

U.S. stocks are broadly rising, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has returned to $4 trillion.

🔸Currently, Bitcoin's market share is 59.32%, and Ethereum's market share is 14.2%.

$BIO surged 59.5% within 24 hours, far exceeding the overall cryptocurrency market's +4.2% increase. The main driving factors include:
1. Clinical trial funding catalyst - approved $80,000 for the Percepta Phase II clinical trial, linking BIO to biotechnology royalties.
2. Staking surge - Staked BIO reached 125 million tokens (3.5% of total supply), tightening liquidity.
3. Technical breakthrough - Price broke through key resistance levels, showing bullish momentum.
4. Listed on Coinbase on July 31, enhancing liquidity.

$Janitor Brothers, I will go first and wait for the opportunity to enter

Teda Company has started printing money.

Does CZ mean that if you don't hold steadfast, you won't become wealthy?

$myx currently has too many people shorting around 1.2, with a second rebound going up, dropping from 2.45 to 1.15, be careful of both long and short explosions.

The total valuation of the fan token sector is 700 million dollars, and the leader $CHZ has not yet launched in this round.
Binance is an early investor in Chiliz and deepened cooperation in 2020 by launching fan tokens (such as Paris Saint-Germain PSG and Juventus JUV tokens) through Binance Launchpool. This move marks the important position of CHZ in the Binance ecosystem.
Current ecosystem performance: Chiliz Chain adopts the PoSA (Proof-of-Staked-Authority) consensus mechanism, supported by world-class validators, providing free developer courses and a decentralized exchange Kayen Swap, focusing on fan token trading.
🔸Advantages:
Low transaction fees and advanced security protocols.
Strong partnerships with well-known sports brands.
User-friendly interface for fans to interact with idols.
High liquidity on major exchanges such as Binance.

Point Contract - Today's Realized Profit and Loss - Capital Costs and Trading Fees ✅ Show Trading Fees, Check Your Own Fees ~
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Okb skyrocketed 3 times in one day, is the dog coin of the ok chain generating a wealth effect?
In recent days, the primary hotspots are all on the ok chain, with hot money flowing into the market, will there be new wealth opportunities in the primary market?

Leading dog coin: XDOG skyrocketed 1000 times in three days

The short-term market Fomo sentiment is in place, from a long-term investment value perspective, the ok chain dog coin depends on the landing of X Layer's DEFI, RWA, and other applications, investment needs to be cautious!

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September?

According to CME FedWatch data, as of the time of writing, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has slightly decreased to 92.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is at 7.9%.
💸 Reasons for the rate cut
🔸 Weak economic data:
1⃣ Labor market: In July 2025, non-farm payrolls increased by only 73,000, far below the expected 104,000, and the data for May-June was revised down by 258,000, indicating a cooling labor market.
2⃣ Manufacturing: In July, the U.S. manufacturing PMI fell to 48.0 (ISM data) or 49.8 (S&P Global data), both in the contraction zone, indicating that high interest rates are increasingly suppressing the real economy.
🔸 Easing inflation: In June 2025, the PCE price index increased by 2.6% year-on-year, with the core PCE at 2.8%, close to the Federal Reserve's 2% target. In July, the CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, below expectations, reducing inflation pressure and providing space for a rate cut.
1⃣ Political pressure: U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen publicly called for a 50 basis point rate cut in September and suggested a total cut of 150-175 basis points for the year. The Trump administration has pressured the Federal Reserve, threatening to replace Chairman Powell with a more dovish official (such as Bowman), which could accelerate the pace of rate cuts.
2⃣ Internal shifts at the Federal Reserve: Federal Reserve officials (such as Goolsbee) have stated that the fall meeting is a window for policy adjustments, and if employment worsens, a rate cut will be an inevitable choice. The internal dovish forces are strengthening, with some officials supporting 2-3 rate cuts within the year.