Why is there always someone wanting to block the train? It's in a downtrend, so how much can the rebound go up for a long position, just based on hope? 🙄 Why not wait for the rebound and then short for more certainty?
🚀 NEWS 20/11 $BTC : HOLDING AROUND ~$92K OR DROPPING TO ~$85K? - $BTC dropped to ~$92,000, concerns about USD liquidity narrowing. - Institutional money is retreating, the crypto market has lost over $1.2 trillion USD in 6 weeks. - US policy news: The bill on crypto market structure is moving closer.
📊 Market conclusion BTC is facing a strong support zone around ~$88K–$92K. If it holds → small bounce potential; if it breaks → may drop deeply to ~$85K or lower. 🔍 BTC – Quick analysis (D1 / H4) D1: The downtrend is still dominant; strong support at ~$88K. H4: Light buying pressure is starting to show (MFI up), but it's not clear → needs confirmation of price action & volume.
🎯 Reference trade ✅ Small buy: Entry ~$89K–92K → TP1 ~$96K → TP2 ~$100K → SL below ~$86K ⚠️ Cautious short: If BTC bounces to ~$98K–100K but there's no volume/MFI confirmation → it may be a reverse trade.
NEWSLETTER 19/11 - BTC: LAST TIME BEFORE BOUNCING BACK OR DROPPING LOWER?
🚨 Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000 for the first time in 7 months, then slightly rebounded to around $92,000 – $94,000. - Bitcoin ETF recorded outflows of over $1.6 billion USD from 30/10 to 17/11. - The crypto market has evaporated ~$1.2 trillion USD in the past 6 weeks.
📊 Market conclusion BTC is testing the major bottom zone ~$88K–$90K. If it holds → it may bounce back; if it breaks → the risk of ~$80K next. Overall trend: still leaning towards decline.
🔍 BTC – Quick analysis (D1 / H4) D1: The main trend is down, strong support ~$88K–$90K. H4: Shows slight buying pressure – some large whale wallets are starting to accumulate. Volume and MFI have not confirmed a clear bounce – still need to wait for confirmed price action.
🎯 Reference trade ✅ CONDITIONAL BUY: Entry $88K–$90K – TP1 $94K, TP2 $98K – SL below $86K ⚠️ Safe short: If BTC bounces up to $98K–$100K but without confirming cash flow → consider shorting.
🗞 Macro News & Crypto Market - Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000 – the first time in 7 months that it has wiped out the profits of 2025. - The total value of the crypto market has dropped by over $1 trillion USD in the past 6 weeks, due to concerns about the technology & AI “bubble” and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve decreasing. - The inflow of Bitcoin ETFs has stalled, liquidity weakened, and the sentiment is “extreme fear” (the Fear & Greed index is near record lows). - Notable news about XRP: many analysts believe that the Spot XRP ETF could be announced soon, creating an altcoin wave if it happens.
💹 Technical Analysis – Bitcoin (BTC)
🧭 D1 Frame Trend: Downtrend / Weak Sideway – BTC has broken many important supports. Support: ~$85,000-$90,000 (in the area where money has been accumulated for a long time) Resistance: ~$98,000-$100,000 Note: The break below $90K indicates strong selling pressure, which may test deeper support levels. 🕓 H4 Frame Current price around ~$91,000 – several touches around ~$89,000. MFI & Volume: There are signals of strong outflows (long positions being liquidated) but no clear signs of accumulation yet. RSI low → decreasing momentum. Scenario: May wait for a reaction at ~$88K-$90K to see if there is strong support.
🎯 Quick Trading Scenario ✅ Light cautious Buy Price around ~$88K-$90K + candle with long lower wick + MFI bounces + stable volume Look for small entry, tight SL below ~$85K⚠️ ⚠️Avoid strong new Buy Price testing ~$98K-$100K but weak volume/Rsi. Should wait for a clear structure or switch to short if there is a clear target. 📉 Short – may consider Price bouncing to the resistance area ~$98K and a rejection candle + low volume Enter short – SL above ~$100K
MORNING NEWS 17/11/2025 $BTC 🗞 Macro News & Crypto Market - Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped to its lowest level in the past 6 months, trading around ~$94,000 due to increased “risk-off” sentiment and reduced expectations for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed). - The Crypto Market Sentiment Index (Fear & Greed Index) has sharply fallen into the “Extreme Fear” zone, marking the lowest level since the COVID crisis. - Institutional capital and Bitcoin ETF funds are facing withdrawal pressure, with reduced liquidity causing further volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis – BTC 🧭 D1 Frame Main trend: Down/Sideways accumulation around ~$90K-$100K. Recorded support: ~$90,000 – $93,000. Nearby resistance: ~$98,000 – $100,000 (if it bounces back). Note: Although there are hidden divergence signals at around ~61 % Fibonacci, caution is still needed as the price has not confidently bounced back. 🕓 H4 Frame The price is fluctuating within a strong support zone (~$93K–$95K). MFI and volume: There are slight signs of increase but no clear indication of large cash flow yet. RSI: Currently low, not showing clear bounce – indicating that although the price supports well, buying pressure is still weak. 🕐 H1 Frame Signal: If the price tests the ~$93K zone and reacts well (pinbar with lower shadow, increased volume) → consider entering a light buy order. Conversely: If the price breaks below the ~$93K support, the possibility of dropping to the ~ $85K-$90K zone will open up.
🎯 Quick Trading Scenario ✅ Light Buy Price tests ~$93K–95K + confirmation candle + MFI/volume increase Enter the order, SL set below ~$90K ⚠️Caution/Avoid Buy Price moves up ~$98K–100K but volume/Rsi/cash flow does not confirm Avoid new purchases, consider waiting for clarity or shorting if there are reversal signals.