seized btc is classified closer to evidence than treasury once a case closes the mandate is disposal hold risk is avoided because price volatility creates accounting and political exposure
this forces a structural sell bias
u.s. marshals auctions were designed for price discovery and transparency not optimization of exit they batch inventory and clear it regardless of cycle positioning
germany’s ~50k btc transfer in 2024 followed the same logic rapid distribution through exchanges reduced custody risk and closed the loop quickly onchain data showed consistent outflows rather than staged execution
the u.k. approach is similar long custody periods tied to legal proceedings but no transition into a sovereign reserve model once ownership is established
contrast that with private holders
their objective is asymmetry btc is treated as a long duration asset with no forced exit time becomes the strategy
this is the real gap
governments optimize for certainty and compliance bitcoin rewards patience and optionality
until seized btc is reclassified from evidence to reserve asset state actors will keep selling into cycles
if you didn’t buy $BTC for profit but you believe in the tech and plan to buy for the tech only
then you don't need to buy it to support
if you really wanna support the tech do this instead
start a business that accepts btc payments pay freelancers in crypto run a node and support the network contribute to open source development or donate to developers improving the protocol
that’s how blockchain technology grows
but buying an asset and pretending profit doesn’t matter come on
just don’t pretend you didn’t buy btc for profit
there was only one person who truly did that created it never sold and disappeared