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Digital asset investment products experienced their first weekly outflows in over a month, as a combination of geopolitical tension and changing expectations regarding monetary policy weakened investor confidence.

According to the latest figures, cryptocurrency funds had net outflows of $ 414 million, marking a sharp turnaround after five consecutive weeks of inflows.

Cryptocurrency funds lost $ 414 million last week

The downturn coincided with increasing tension related to the conflict in Iran and a clear shift in expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve. The market has shifted from expecting rate cuts to pricing in possible rate increases.

Ethereum (ETH) price is trading above $2000 as March prepares to close with its first green monthly candlestick since August 2025, potentially breaking a six-month losing streak.

However, the way March ends can set the tone for April and even the rest of 2026. Historically, April has been a solid month for ETH with an average increase of 18% and a median of around 9%. Nevertheless, both the 3-day chart, on-chain data, and the behavior of whale wallets suggest that the path into April involves more risk than the historical seasonal trend would indicate.

The GENIUS Act has closed the door to interest-bearing payment stablecoins, but it has not ended the hunt for returns. It has merely pushed this pursuit into new structures, where the returns come from DeFi designs instead of through the stablecoin itself.

BeInCrypto asked two industry experts how the market is adapting.

Stefan Muehlbauer, head of U.S. government relations at CertiK, says that the topic is still politically contentious. He says:

“The question of returns still faces strong opposition from banks, beyond the GENIUS Act, and also leads to discussions under the recent halting of the Senate version of the CLARITY Act market structure bill.”

The first week of April presents a number of triggering factors that could send selected altcoins sharply up or down. Token Unlocks, protocol upgrades, and new mining integrations are happening almost simultaneously.

In line with this, BeInCrypto has analyzed three such altcoins that investors should keep an eye on when April and Q2 2026 begin.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading at $0.09315, up 2.99% in the last 24 hours, and consolidating just above the Fibonacci level 0.618 at $0.08807. DOGE is moving within a descending channel that has been visible since the end of January. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at exactly 0.00, which does not signal either accumulation or distribution, as the price hovers near the lower bound.

The total market value of meme coins has fallen to about $36 billion, with losses in all major sectors so far this year, except for one. Four interacting signals suggest that a recovery is still a long way off.

The first signal is the breadth of the decline. CoinGecko data shows a bleak picture across meme coin categories.

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AI meme tokens have been the hardest hit, and have fallen 46% so far this year. Dog-themed, 4chan-themed, and Elon Musk-inspired tokens have all fallen about 28% to 30% in the same period.

Ripple's research team has published a paper on how to add transaction privacy to the XRP Ledger (XRPL).

The paper introduces Confidential Transfers for Multi-Purpose Tokens (Confidential MPTs). The goal is to enable institutional and regulated use cases, with issuer controls such as freezing and recall.

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The paper is written by Murat Cenk, Aanchal Malhotra, and Joseph Ayo Akinyele. Confidential MPTs will be a cryptographic extension of the XLS-33 token standard, which was launched on the XRPL mainnet in October 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) price enters April 2026 at a crossroads. March ends with a barely positive increase of 0.19%, a marked drop from the over 5% monthly gains that BTC had previously.

With history, ETF inflows, and whale wallets all sending mixed signals, April could define the direction of Bitcoin for the rest of 2026.

History favors April, but the 3-day chart does not

The monthly returns chart shows that Bitcoin price has struggled in 2026. January ended at -10.1%, and February fell by 14.8%, both in stark contrast to their historically positive averages of +8.52% and +12.5% ​​respectively. March is barely holding at +0.19%, well below its historical average of +10.2%.

Binance Research's Geopolitical and Macro Pulse from March 30 highlighted five coinciding risk events that could alter positioning in crypto this week, from escalation in the Middle East to unresolved SEC decisions.

The report came as VIX rose 13.16%, S&P 500 fell 1.75%, and Nasdaq dropped 1.93% in one day, while Brent oil increased 1.19% and Ethereum (ETH) rose 0.96%.

War, regulation, and delayed ETFs hit simultaneously.

USS Tripoli arrived in the Middle East on March 28 with 3500 soldiers, according to U.S. CENTCOM.

Goldman Sachs analyst James Yaro told clients that crypto-related stocks appear selectively attractive after falling 46% from the peak in October 2025.

In the research note, the buy recommendation for three companies is maintained. Robinhood Markets (HOOD), Figure Technologies (FIGR), and Coinbase Global (COIN) each offer their unique opportunities for upside.

Valuations near historical lows

Yaro pointed out that the current decline approximately corresponds to the average peak-to-trough decline seen in previous crypto cycles. Prices have shown volatile but stabilizing behavior in recent weeks, suggesting that the pressure from forced sales may ease.

Transactions on prediction markets exceeded 192 million in March 2026. This is a new record as volume and user growth continue to accelerate year over year.

Dataene, tracked by Dune, shows a sector that has transitioned from niche use to a financial market worth several billion dollars.

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The number of monthly users increased to a record high of 865,411, about 118% up from 396,642 in March 2025.

Monthly nominal trading volume for prediction markets has reached around $23.89 billion so far in March, an increase of about 1,107% compared to the previous year. Nevertheless, it is still about 10.7% below the all-time high in January of $26.7 billion.

Bittensor (TAO), the token for the decentralized AI network, has seen a dramatic rise from the bottom in February, and on-chain data suggests that the rise may be real.

CryptoQuant data tracking 90-day Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a metric showing the balance between aggressive buyers and sellers on spot exchanges, indicates a persistent shift to buying dominance since the support level at $ 154.

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The chart shows several weeks of consecutive green bars that have replaced several months of red bars marked by sales, indicating that real spot buyers have received supply consistently.

Net stablecoin inflow on Binance has turned positive, marking a remarkable shift in market liquidity.

Expert Darkfost noted that the exchange, which consistently leads global crypto volumes, has shifted from registering a net stablecoin outflow to a net inflow of $ 2.4 billion.

This turnaround comes after previous periods of large withdrawals, including $ 3.4 billion on December 11 and $ 6.7 billion on February 15.

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Bitcoin (BTC) enters the last week of March and is trading near $67,400, amidst a tight range of U.S. economic reports that could determine whether the leading cryptocurrency breaks out of its two-month consolidation or falls deeper into bearish territory.

The six reports cover the labor market, consumer health, and signals from the Federal Reserve. Each of them directly affects expectations for interest rate cuts, which have become the main driver for the crypto markets in 2026.

Powell sets the tone while Bitcoin consolidates

The oil price rose by over 3% on Monday, sending Brent oil above $116 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US reference price, increased to about $102 per barrel.

The latest increase comes as the US and Israel's war against Iran entered its fifth week with no signs of cessation.

Oil extends its war-driven rise

Several escalating events over the weekend contributed to the rise. President Donald Trump told the Financial Times that he might take control of Kharg Island, the terminal that handles about 90% of Iran's oil exports.

Iran's parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf issued what amounts to a trading tip on X (Twitter), calling Trump's pre-market messages a “contrarian indicator” and urging followers to do the opposite of every energy decision.

The post gave a surreal dimension to a week where Wall Street's most popular dip-buying strategy collapsed under the weight of real geopolitical risk.

The TACO trade faces resistance

The Trump Always Chickens Out (TACO) trade defined market behavior for much of 2025. Traders bought every Trump-induced price decline, expecting a rise within days. This recipe worked reliably during the tariff conflicts with China, Canada, and the EU.

BlackRock increased CEO Larry Fink's total compensation to $ 37.7 million for 2025, an increase of about 23% from the previous year, as their Bitcoin ETF quietly became one of the company's largest sources of revenue.

A power of attorney form showed that the salary package included a base salary of $ 1.5 million, a cash bonus of $ 10.6 million, and about $ 24.6 million in stock-based compensation. The stock portion accounted for most of the increase and rose by about $ 6.5 million from 2024.

Bitcoin ETF revenues surged significantly in 2025

Strategy (MicroStrategy) may have skipped its weekly Bitcoin (BTC) purchase for the first time since the end of December, potentially ending a 13-week period of accumulation.

Executive Chair Michael Saylor did not publish his usual “Orange Dot” update on X (Twitter) on Sunday. Instead, he chose to promote Stretch (STRC), the company's perpetual preferred stock. An 8-K filing on Monday will confirm whether the company actually took a pause or if the stealthy increased their holdings.

YoungHoon Kim, a South Korean profile who claims to have the world's highest IQ of 276, published five bold crypto predictions on X (Twitter), with XRP (XRP) at the center.

Kim has built a large following on social media and regularly publishes about Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and developments in the broader market.

Kim declares himself “Son of XRP”

In a series of quick posts on X, Kim referred to himself as “Son of XRP”, claiming that he was “born to send XRP to $100” and that “no one can stop” him. He also declared that “crypto is about to explode”.

Binance attracts institutional trading activity, but an increasing wave of data leak alarms on the private side threatens to complicate the company's ambitions.

The world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by market value has started 2026 with explosive speed in its over-the-counter trading department. In January and February alone, Binance's OTC platform accounted for 25% of the total volume for all of 2025.

Captcha-bypass reveals 1.5 million Binance users in scraping attack

This significant increase reflects a broader maturation of the market, as large investors and institutional players increasingly seek their own channels to execute large trades.

Bitcoin long positions on Bitfinex have increased to approximately 79343 BTC, the highest level since November 2023. Analysts see this increase as a warning sign.

Historically, similar buildups of leveraged long positions have coincided with local price tops or sharp declines.

This measure reflects margin traders betting on higher prices. When positioning becomes too one-sided, the market often becomes vulnerable.

Is the Bitcoin price about to crash sharply?

With many traders already on long, there are fewer buyers left to sustain the rise. This often causes price increases to stall.