The Essential K-Line Indicator Practical White Paper for New and Veteran Cryptocurrency Traders: Kill the Market Secrets
To help you master gradually, I have divided these 10 indicators into three dimensions: Trend (Dao), Timing (Shu), Risk Control (Dun)
First Dimension: Trends and Capital (Judgment of the Great Way) Applicable Stages: Newbie Survival, Veteran Direction Setting Core Logic: Go with the trend, do not go against it; See through trading volume, do not be deceived by false appearances. 1 Moving Average (MA) — The Backbone of Trends Core Logic: Moving averages are not used for prediction, but to confirm costs. They represent the average holding cost of the market over a period of time. The True Essence of Practical Combat:
$SOL SOL The continuous actions in the past few days indicate that someone is pushing the plan forward.
• MA5 is above MA20, the short-term trend has not been broken yet. • 24-hour decline -0.1%, someone is applying pressure.
Bullish scenario: Wait for the price to stabilize at 83.5599 before following, also can enter if it retraces without breaking 83.3000. Upper target: First look at 84.3955, then at 85.2311.
Bearish/reversal scenario: If the closing price drops below 82.3129, this bullish structure will be interrupted, making the reversal short more cost-effective.
In one sentence: As long as there is no solid break in 1H, the range from 83.3000 to 83.5599 remains an area where bulls can enter.
$ONT ONT is suitable for band traders, but those who chase highs and cut lows will find it difficult here.
• RSI is at 79, and the short-term has entered the overbought zone. • MA5 is above MA20, and the short-term trend has not been broken yet. • The trend line on the 4H chart is still intact; as long as the close does not break this line, the structure can still be considered.
Bullish scenario: Wait for the price to stabilize at 0.07246 before entering, and buying on a pullback that does not break 0.07218 is also acceptable. Upper target: First look at 0.07318, then at 0.07391.
Bearish/Counter scenario: A close below 0.07138 will interrupt this bullish structure, and the cost-effectiveness of a counter short is higher.
In one sentence: A closing price below 0.07138 is the structural invalidation line; before that, look for opportunities on pullbacks.
$NOM NOM is suitable for band traders, but those who chase highs and cut losses will find it difficult here.
• MA5 is above MA20, the short-term trend has not been broken yet. • The trend line on 4H is still there, as long as the close does not break this line, the structure can still be observed.
Bullish scenario: The support around 0.003670 is key; as long as there is volume, the bullish structure can continue. Upper target: First look at 0.003728, then 0.003765.
Bearish/reversal scenario: If the close breaks below 0.003636, this bullish structure will be interrupted, and the cost-effectiveness of going short will be higher.
In summary: As long as there is no solid break on the 1H, the area from 0.003670 to 0.003691 is still a region where bulls can enter.
$BTC BTC This period is not just a simple rise or fall, but more like a psychological battle.
• MA5 is above MA20, the short-term trend has not been broken. • 24-hour increase +0.7%, funds are pushing upwards.
Bullish scenario: The support around 67127.00 is key, as long as there is volume to continue buying, the bullish structure can continue. Upper target: First look at 68001.66, then at 68674.95.
Bearish/Counter scenario: If the closing price falls below 66323.62, this bullish structure will be interrupted, and the cost-performance ratio for going short will be higher.
In summary: A closing price below 66323.62 is the line of structural failure; before this, look for opportunities on pullbacks.
The market and funds for $ETH ETH tell two stories, and you need to listen carefully to understand which one.
• MA5 has broken below MA20, indicating that the short-term trend has weakened. • 24-hour increase +0.1%, funds are pushing upwards.
Bearish scenario: Wait to enter after losing 2013.46, do not guess the top at the upper edge of the range. Lower target: First look at 1989.31, then at 1969.17.
Bullish/reverse scenario: If the close stabilizes above 2019.51, and there are signs of an increase in OI, it is safer to go long.
In summary: Closing above 2019.51 is the line where bears fail; before that, look for shorting opportunities on pullbacks.
$NOM NOM is still in a volatile trap, current price 0.004070, with resistance and support both above and below.
• RSI is at 87, indicating that the short-term has entered the overbought zone. • MA5 is above MA20, and the short-term trend has not been broken yet. • The trend line on the 4H chart is still intact; as long as the closing price does not break this line, the structure can still be considered. • The price has already broken out of the upper Bollinger Band, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Bullish scenario: Wait for the price to stabilize at 0.004082 to follow in, and if it pulls back without breaking 0.004070, it can also be entered early. Upper target: First look at 0.004123, then at 0.004164.
Bearish/reversal scenario: If there is a 'false breakout + quick recovery below 0.004082', and simultaneously OI rises again, that would indicate a precursor to a squeeze on long positions.
In short: As long as there is no solid breakout on the 1H, the area between 0.004070 and 0.004082 is still a zone for bulls to enter.
$DOGE DOGE This is not just a simple rise or fall, but more like a psychological battle.
• MA5 is above MA20, the short-term trend has not been broken. • 24-hour drop -0.3%, someone is applying pressure.
Bearish scenario: 0.09146 is the resistance zone, as long as the close cannot stand above this line, the bears have the initiative. Downward targets: first look at 0.09035, then at 0.08944.
Bullish/reversal scenario: If the close stabilizes at 0.09172, and there are signs of an increase in OI, going long is safer.
In one sentence: Closing above 0.09172 is the line where the bears lose power; before that, look for shorting opportunities on pullbacks.
The price of $LINK LINK has started to move, but the flow of funds is quite interesting.
• MA5 has fallen below MA20, signaling a weakening short-term trend. • 24-hour increase of +0.9%, with funds pushing upwards.
Bearish scenario: Wait for a drop below 8.4900 before entering, do not guess the top at the upper end of the range. Liquidity is concentrated around 8.4900.
Bullish/reversal scenario: If the close stabilizes above 8.5155, and there are signs of an increase in OI, it is safer to reverse to long.
In one sentence: As long as the closing price does not return above 8.5000, the bearish scenario can continue.
$UNI UNI The continuous actions in the past few days indicate that someone is pushing the warehouse according to plan.
• MA5 is above MA20, the short-term trend has not been broken. • 24-hour increase +0.9%, funds are pushing upwards.
Bullish scenario: The support near 3.3810 is key, as long as there is volume to continue buying, the bullish structure can persist. Upper target: First look at 3.4261, then 3.4600.
Bearish/reversal scenario: If there is a pullback to 3.3820 and it cannot hold, there will be an opportunity for bears to enter.
In summary: A closing price below 3.3415 is the line of structural failure. Before that, look for opportunities on pullbacks.