Ajala of web3
Ajala here — Web3 content marketer, community manager, and DeFi enthusiast.
I break down complex ideas, share opportunities, and grow with the ecosystem.
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syrupUSDT just crossed $1B in deposits a big moment for Maple.
But the real story shows up when you zoom out 👇
Maple now has two overcollateralized yield products at scale:
→ syrupUSDT: $1B+
→ syrupUSDC: $1.7B+
Both are putting capital to work around the clock, driven by actual on-chain lending.
This isn’t just growth for the sake of it. It shows the model holds up and can be repeated.
Step back and you start to see where this is going:
DeFi is moving toward systems that can scale reliably.
And if this keeps up, the direction is pretty clear.
But the real story shows up when you zoom out 👇
Maple now has two overcollateralized yield products at scale:
→ syrupUSDT: $1B+
→ syrupUSDC: $1.7B+
Both are putting capital to work around the clock, driven by actual on-chain lending.
This isn’t just growth for the sake of it. It shows the model holds up and can be repeated.
Step back and you start to see where this is going:
DeFi is moving toward systems that can scale reliably.
And if this keeps up, the direction is pretty clear.
💥BREAKING
$14.16B in $BTC options expire this Friday.
Volatility is likely as positions unwind around key levels (max pain: $75K).
Expect sharper short-term moves.
$14.16B in $BTC options expire this Friday.
Volatility is likely as positions unwind around key levels (max pain: $75K).
Expect sharper short-term moves.
🔥 Maple Finance: $150M → $800M in Active Loans in 6 Months
If you’re not watching Maple Finance ($SYRUP ), you should be.
Active loans have grown 5x+ since October 2025, briefly hitting $1B in January 2026 before settling around $750–800M. This isn’t hype-driven volume it’s real institutional lending.
What are active loans?
The total value of deposits currently lent out to borrowers. Higher numbers mean more capital at work, more interest being paid, and more revenue for the protocol a key signal of health.
What Maple is building:
Maple Institutional — permissioned lending for institutions
syrupUSDC & syrupUSDT — tokenized yield products
BTC Yield — asset-specific lending pools
Why it matters:
Institutional credit is one of the few DeFi sectors with clear product–market fit.
Maple is showing that lending can move on-chain with real transparency something traditional finance lacks.
With ~$800M in active loans and expanding infrastructure, Maple is positioning itself as a core credit layer in Web3.
DYOR. Not financial advice.
If you’re not watching Maple Finance ($SYRUP ), you should be.
Active loans have grown 5x+ since October 2025, briefly hitting $1B in January 2026 before settling around $750–800M. This isn’t hype-driven volume it’s real institutional lending.
What are active loans?
The total value of deposits currently lent out to borrowers. Higher numbers mean more capital at work, more interest being paid, and more revenue for the protocol a key signal of health.
What Maple is building:
Maple Institutional — permissioned lending for institutions
syrupUSDC & syrupUSDT — tokenized yield products
BTC Yield — asset-specific lending pools
Why it matters:
Institutional credit is one of the few DeFi sectors with clear product–market fit.
Maple is showing that lending can move on-chain with real transparency something traditional finance lacks.
With ~$800M in active loans and expanding infrastructure, Maple is positioning itself as a core credit layer in Web3.
DYOR. Not financial advice.
Maple Finance Weekly Recap — Quiet Progress, Strong Fundamentals
It wasn’t a big news week for Maple, but progress didn’t slow down.
Deposits hit new highs again:
• syrupUSDC above $1.7B
• syrupUSDT above $860M
• Total past $2.5B
Solana is starting to matter more here. syrupUSDC crossed $200M+ on Kamino, which says a lot about how well Maple’s expansion is playing out.
Flows stayed positive across the board, with most of the momentum coming from USDC.
The key moment came on March 22. With some noise around Resolv’s USR, Maple stepped in quickly and cleared things up—no exposure at all, direct or indirect, and everything remains overcollateralized.
That kind of response matters. It shows discipline and awareness, especially when markets get shaky.
Overall, Maple still looks like it’s playing the long game—focused on building a reliable credit layer rather than chasing short-term attention.
Next thing to watch: Sid Powell speaking at the Digital Asset Summit. That could hint at what’s coming next.
It wasn’t a big news week for Maple, but progress didn’t slow down.
Deposits hit new highs again:
• syrupUSDC above $1.7B
• syrupUSDT above $860M
• Total past $2.5B
Solana is starting to matter more here. syrupUSDC crossed $200M+ on Kamino, which says a lot about how well Maple’s expansion is playing out.
Flows stayed positive across the board, with most of the momentum coming from USDC.
The key moment came on March 22. With some noise around Resolv’s USR, Maple stepped in quickly and cleared things up—no exposure at all, direct or indirect, and everything remains overcollateralized.
That kind of response matters. It shows discipline and awareness, especially when markets get shaky.
Overall, Maple still looks like it’s playing the long game—focused on building a reliable credit layer rather than chasing short-term attention.
Next thing to watch: Sid Powell speaking at the Digital Asset Summit. That could hint at what’s coming next.
The Maplefinance market on Kamino has hit a new all-time high, reaching $450M.
This milestone shows strong growth and rising liquidity in DeFi ecosystem.
This milestone shows strong growth and rising liquidity in DeFi ecosystem.
This $BTC setup led to a drop to 60K before are we seeing the same move again or is 80K next?
I wouldn’t treat this as a repeat of the move to 60K. The context is different, even if the pattern looks similar.
The last drop wasn’t about the pattern itself it was acceptance below value. Price lost key support, volume shifted lower, and liquidity got taken quickly.
That’s why the move down was sharp.
That’s not what we’re seeing now.
BTC is still trading within its high-volume range, with the point of control in the upper 60Ks. That signals balance, not breakdown. Buyers are still stepping in, and there’s no clear acceptance below support.
So this isn’t about pattern repetition it’s about which side of the range breaks.
If BTC breaks and holds above 74–75K, resistance above is thin. That opens a move toward 78–80K, where liquidity likely sits. In that case, 80K is the more probable next leg.
If price loses 68K and holds below it, the downside returns. That would shift structure bearish and put 60–65K back in play.
Bottom line:
- Patterns don’t repeat on their own context matters
- 80K is more likely if the range breaks up
- 60K only becomes likely if support fails
Right now, this looks like range accumulation, not distribution.
I wouldn’t treat this as a repeat of the move to 60K. The context is different, even if the pattern looks similar.
The last drop wasn’t about the pattern itself it was acceptance below value. Price lost key support, volume shifted lower, and liquidity got taken quickly.
That’s why the move down was sharp.
That’s not what we’re seeing now.
BTC is still trading within its high-volume range, with the point of control in the upper 60Ks. That signals balance, not breakdown. Buyers are still stepping in, and there’s no clear acceptance below support.
So this isn’t about pattern repetition it’s about which side of the range breaks.
If BTC breaks and holds above 74–75K, resistance above is thin. That opens a move toward 78–80K, where liquidity likely sits. In that case, 80K is the more probable next leg.
If price loses 68K and holds below it, the downside returns. That would shift structure bearish and put 60–65K back in play.
Bottom line:
- Patterns don’t repeat on their own context matters
- 80K is more likely if the range breaks up
- 60K only becomes likely if support fails
Right now, this looks like range accumulation, not distribution.
Maple Finance is growing on Solana.
$SYRUP USDC deposits on Kamino have passed $200M.
This shows more people want steady and safer yield.
They are choosing products that are clear and easy to trust.
Maple is gaining attention because it focuses on simple, real returns.
$SYRUP USDC deposits on Kamino have passed $200M.
This shows more people want steady and safer yield.
They are choosing products that are clear and easy to trust.
Maple is gaining attention because it focuses on simple, real returns.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission just made a move that didn’t make much noise but it matters.
Assets like Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Bitcoin are being treated less like securities and more like commodities.
That shift is bigger than whatever price is doing right now.
1 What changed?
There’s finally a clearer line.
Some tokens act like securities. Others like ETH, SOL, XRP, BTC derive value from network usage, not promises from a team. That’s the key difference.
2Market reaction? Flat.
Prices dipped because this is still guidance, not law.
Markets wanted certainty they got progress.
3What it means
ETH → stronger case as DeFi’s base layer
SOL → easier for capital + protocols to scale
XRP → biggest narrative win after years of uncertainty
4 The bigger picture
This unlocks something more important than price:
Institutions can participate with less risk
DeFi can expand into lending, credit, derivatives
The “everything is a security” era starts to fade
Bottom line
This isn’t hype it’s structure.
Short term: noise.
Long term: clearer path for capital, builders, and real on-chain finance.
Assets like Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Bitcoin are being treated less like securities and more like commodities.
That shift is bigger than whatever price is doing right now.
1 What changed?
There’s finally a clearer line.
Some tokens act like securities. Others like ETH, SOL, XRP, BTC derive value from network usage, not promises from a team. That’s the key difference.
2Market reaction? Flat.
Prices dipped because this is still guidance, not law.
Markets wanted certainty they got progress.
3What it means
ETH → stronger case as DeFi’s base layer
SOL → easier for capital + protocols to scale
XRP → biggest narrative win after years of uncertainty
4 The bigger picture
This unlocks something more important than price:
Institutions can participate with less risk
DeFi can expand into lending, credit, derivatives
The “everything is a security” era starts to fade
Bottom line
This isn’t hype it’s structure.
Short term: noise.
Long term: clearer path for capital, builders, and real on-chain finance.
XRP is getting interesting.
Price is up 14%, and wallet numbers are at an all-time high. That usually means real demand is building, not just hype.
Now about $1.60 👇
It’s a strong level because many people are selling there and locking in profits. That’s why price keeps slowing down at that point.
If XRP breaks above $1.60 and stays there:
Sellers get cleared out
New buyers step in
Price can move up quickly
If it fails again:
Price may move sideways for a while
It could dip slightly before trying again
Simple takeaway:
Hold above $1.60 → strong move higher
Rejection → short pause and reset
The key idea: strong demand is already there.
Now the market just needs to push through resistance. 🚀
Price is up 14%, and wallet numbers are at an all-time high. That usually means real demand is building, not just hype.
Now about $1.60 👇
It’s a strong level because many people are selling there and locking in profits. That’s why price keeps slowing down at that point.
If XRP breaks above $1.60 and stays there:
Sellers get cleared out
New buyers step in
Price can move up quickly
If it fails again:
Price may move sideways for a while
It could dip slightly before trying again
Simple takeaway:
Hold above $1.60 → strong move higher
Rejection → short pause and reset
The key idea: strong demand is already there.
Now the market just needs to push through resistance. 🚀
Big update for the Maple ecosystem
syrupUSDC and syrupUSDT have now crossed $2.5B in total deposits, setting a new ATH.
Even as market conditions shift, demand for Maple’s yield dollar assets continues to grow.
This milestone highlights consistent adoption and increasing confidence in the product.
syrupUSDC and syrupUSDT have now crossed $2.5B in total deposits, setting a new ATH.
Even as market conditions shift, demand for Maple’s yield dollar assets continues to grow.
This milestone highlights consistent adoption and increasing confidence in the product.
I don’t think Bitcoin has fully decoupled from stocks yet. When liquidity tightens or markets go risk-off, BTC still tends to move similarly to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq Composite.
That said, something interesting is starting to happen. During periods of geopolitical tension and global uncertainty, Bitcoin has shown relative strength compared to equities.
Some capital is beginning to treat it more like Gold a neutral asset outside the traditional financial system.
For crypto-native users, this isn’t surprising. $BTC 's fixed supply, global accessibility, and independence from central banks naturally position it as a hedge against systemic risk.
My take: we’re probably in a transition phase. In the short term Bitcoin still behaves like a risk asset, but over time it could evolve into a true macro hedge if this pattern continues consistently.
That said, something interesting is starting to happen. During periods of geopolitical tension and global uncertainty, Bitcoin has shown relative strength compared to equities.
Some capital is beginning to treat it more like Gold a neutral asset outside the traditional financial system.
For crypto-native users, this isn’t surprising. $BTC 's fixed supply, global accessibility, and independence from central banks naturally position it as a hedge against systemic risk.
My take: we’re probably in a transition phase. In the short term Bitcoin still behaves like a risk asset, but over time it could evolve into a true macro hedge if this pattern continues consistently.
$SYRUP is attempting a bullish structure shift.
Price recently reclaimed the $0.24 zone after bouncing from $0.225 support and is now testing the $0.253 resistance level.
Market structure to monitor:
Support
• $0.244
• $0.240
Resistance
• $0.253
• $0.260
If bulls flip $0.253 into support, the next target could be $0.27+, especially if volume continues increasing.
With the strong DeFi growth from Maple Finance, $SYRUP is becoming a token traders are starting to track more closely.
Price recently reclaimed the $0.24 zone after bouncing from $0.225 support and is now testing the $0.253 resistance level.
Market structure to monitor:
Support
• $0.244
• $0.240
Resistance
• $0.253
• $0.260
If bulls flip $0.253 into support, the next target could be $0.27+, especially if volume continues increasing.
With the strong DeFi growth from Maple Finance, $SYRUP is becoming a token traders are starting to track more closely.
Quietly, Maple Finance has been building something interesting on BNB Chain and the numbers are starting to show it.
Four syrupUSDT vaults. $50M+ in total inflows. That's a real signal of demand for structured on-chain yield, especially in an environment where people are increasingly selective about where they park capital.
A few things stand out to me here:
The multi-chain move is intentional. Maple isn't just duplicating infrastructure — it's accessing new pools of capital that don't overlap with its existing user base. BNB Chain's ecosystem has its own liquidity dynamics, and plugging into that is strategically smart.
Deposits are the foundation. In lending protocols, you can't lend what you don't have. Growing the deposit base is step one. Step two is converting that into lending activity, which is where protocol revenue and sustainability actually come from.
The on-chain credit market is maturing. More users are comfortable allocating to yield products with clear underlying mechanics. Maple's infrastructure sits well within that trend.
What comes next matters more than the milestone itself — but $50M is a credible start for a new chain deployment.
$SYRUP Worth keeping on your radar.
Four syrupUSDT vaults. $50M+ in total inflows. That's a real signal of demand for structured on-chain yield, especially in an environment where people are increasingly selective about where they park capital.
A few things stand out to me here:
The multi-chain move is intentional. Maple isn't just duplicating infrastructure — it's accessing new pools of capital that don't overlap with its existing user base. BNB Chain's ecosystem has its own liquidity dynamics, and plugging into that is strategically smart.
Deposits are the foundation. In lending protocols, you can't lend what you don't have. Growing the deposit base is step one. Step two is converting that into lending activity, which is where protocol revenue and sustainability actually come from.
The on-chain credit market is maturing. More users are comfortable allocating to yield products with clear underlying mechanics. Maple's infrastructure sits well within that trend.
What comes next matters more than the milestone itself — but $50M is a credible start for a new chain deployment.
$SYRUP Worth keeping on your radar.
Maple Finance has been on a major growth trajectory over 2025–2026. By sourcing, allocating, and managing its own financial products, Maple:
• Directly manages lending risk
• Captures more revenue without third-party managers
• Aggregates capital into curated lending opportunities
In 2026, Maple is expanding across the crypto and financial ecosystem:
• DeFi – scaling partnerships across multiple protocols
• CeFi – integrating with wallets and crypto apps
• Fintech – enabling neobanks and large platforms to access Maple yield
• Banking – providing crypto services for traditional financial institutions
What sets Maple apart?
• Direct risk attribution
• Institutional credibility — able to engage the world’s largest fintech organizations
Maple is at the center of the on-chain credit market, building the bridge between DeFi and institutional finance.
$SYRUP is one to watch out for
• Directly manages lending risk
• Captures more revenue without third-party managers
• Aggregates capital into curated lending opportunities
In 2026, Maple is expanding across the crypto and financial ecosystem:
• DeFi – scaling partnerships across multiple protocols
• CeFi – integrating with wallets and crypto apps
• Fintech – enabling neobanks and large platforms to access Maple yield
• Banking – providing crypto services for traditional financial institutions
What sets Maple apart?
• Direct risk attribution
• Institutional credibility — able to engage the world’s largest fintech organizations
Maple is at the center of the on-chain credit market, building the bridge between DeFi and institutional finance.
$SYRUP is one to watch out for
Michael Saylor adding $1.3B in $BTC while MicroStrategy is technically down $6B isn’t a panic move it’s strategic accumulation.
Here’s the breakdown:
Long-term conviction: Saylor isn’t trading swings. He’s allocating treasury capital with a 10+ year macro BTC thesis.
Dollar-cost averaging at scale: Buying now lowers the average cost per BTC, positioning the company to maximize upside on the next bull cycle.
Institutional treasury play: For companies like MicroStrategy, BTC is a hedge against fiat depreciation, not a short-term speculation.
Psychology of diamond hands: Real institutional players don’t sell on paper losses they double down on conviction.
Signaling effect: Large-scale accumulation by credible institutional actors continues to reinforce market confidence in BTC as a digital asset class.
💡 Takeaway for the market: Losses on paper don’t dictate strategy. Strategic accumulation during market dips is classic institutional positioning, not panic.
Here’s the breakdown:
Long-term conviction: Saylor isn’t trading swings. He’s allocating treasury capital with a 10+ year macro BTC thesis.
Dollar-cost averaging at scale: Buying now lowers the average cost per BTC, positioning the company to maximize upside on the next bull cycle.
Institutional treasury play: For companies like MicroStrategy, BTC is a hedge against fiat depreciation, not a short-term speculation.
Psychology of diamond hands: Real institutional players don’t sell on paper losses they double down on conviction.
Signaling effect: Large-scale accumulation by credible institutional actors continues to reinforce market confidence in BTC as a digital asset class.
💡 Takeaway for the market: Losses on paper don’t dictate strategy. Strategic accumulation during market dips is classic institutional positioning, not panic.
The move to $74K looks more like a liquidity sweep than a confirmed breakout.
The $72K–$74K range held a lot of stop orders and breakout longs. Price pushed into that zone, triggered the liquidity, and then momentum faded. That type of move often signals a short-term bull trap where late buyers enter right before a pullback.
Derivatives data also showed signs of overheating. Funding rates turned strongly positive and open interest increased quickly, meaning the rally was driven more by leverage than strong spot demand.
If Bitcoin holds the $68K–$70K support zone, the broader uptrend can remain intact and the market could consolidate before another push higher.
But if that support breaks, a deeper reset toward the $64K–$60K liquidity area becomes likely.
So $74K may not be the cycle top, but it could have been the local peak before a short-term correction.
The $72K–$74K range held a lot of stop orders and breakout longs. Price pushed into that zone, triggered the liquidity, and then momentum faded. That type of move often signals a short-term bull trap where late buyers enter right before a pullback.
Derivatives data also showed signs of overheating. Funding rates turned strongly positive and open interest increased quickly, meaning the rally was driven more by leverage than strong spot demand.
If Bitcoin holds the $68K–$70K support zone, the broader uptrend can remain intact and the market could consolidate before another push higher.
But if that support breaks, a deeper reset toward the $64K–$60K liquidity area becomes likely.
So $74K may not be the cycle top, but it could have been the local peak before a short-term correction.
BTC & Geopolitical Risk: The Macro Playbook
The Classic Risk-Off Rotation
When geopolitical risk spikes, capital goes defensive fast.
Oil up = supply shock premium. USD up = flight to safety. Risk assets = volatility expansion. We've seen this before Russia–Ukraine, the Gulf War. Liquidity contracts and macro positioning overrides fundamentals.
Short-Term: BTC Trades Like a Risk AssetDXY strength pressures BTC. Oil-driven inflation fears kill risk appetite. Leverage gets flushed.
Bitcoin correlates negatively with sudden USD spikes when dollar liquidity tightens, BTC struggles.
Expect: choppy price action, lower timeframe breakdowns, elevated derivatives volatility. Liquidity beats narrative in the short run.
Medium-Term: The Inflation vs. Pivot TensionElevated oil → rising inflation expectations → delayed central bank easing. Initially bearish for risk assets.
But the twist: if war slows growth or destabilizes markets, policymakers pivot.
Once liquidity injections begin, BTC front-runs the move aggressively.
BTC performs best after the panic, when monetary expansion returns and real yields compress.
Structural: The Neutral Asset ThesisIn prolonged geopolitical fragmentation, borderless settlement assets gain relevance. Capital controls, weakening currency trust, and rising sovereign risk premiums all strengthen BTC's long-term case. We saw early signals during Russia–Ukraine when P2P volumes spiked.
What to Watch
DXY: continuation or rejection
Oil: holding above key resistance
US 10Y yield reaction
Derivatives funding rates (overcrowding signal)
Spot ETF flows
USD keeps ripping → BTC tests lower liquidity pockets. USD stalls, yields stabilize → relief bounce likely.
Bottom Line War pushes capital defensive first. BTC reacts to liquidity second.
Honestly i just want the war between the United states, Iran and Israel to end
The real question isn't "bullish or bearish?" it's: does this tighten liquidity, or force it back into the system?
The Classic Risk-Off Rotation
When geopolitical risk spikes, capital goes defensive fast.
Oil up = supply shock premium. USD up = flight to safety. Risk assets = volatility expansion. We've seen this before Russia–Ukraine, the Gulf War. Liquidity contracts and macro positioning overrides fundamentals.
Short-Term: BTC Trades Like a Risk AssetDXY strength pressures BTC. Oil-driven inflation fears kill risk appetite. Leverage gets flushed.
Bitcoin correlates negatively with sudden USD spikes when dollar liquidity tightens, BTC struggles.
Expect: choppy price action, lower timeframe breakdowns, elevated derivatives volatility. Liquidity beats narrative in the short run.
Medium-Term: The Inflation vs. Pivot TensionElevated oil → rising inflation expectations → delayed central bank easing. Initially bearish for risk assets.
But the twist: if war slows growth or destabilizes markets, policymakers pivot.
Once liquidity injections begin, BTC front-runs the move aggressively.
BTC performs best after the panic, when monetary expansion returns and real yields compress.
Structural: The Neutral Asset ThesisIn prolonged geopolitical fragmentation, borderless settlement assets gain relevance. Capital controls, weakening currency trust, and rising sovereign risk premiums all strengthen BTC's long-term case. We saw early signals during Russia–Ukraine when P2P volumes spiked.
What to Watch
DXY: continuation or rejection
Oil: holding above key resistance
US 10Y yield reaction
Derivatives funding rates (overcrowding signal)
Spot ETF flows
USD keeps ripping → BTC tests lower liquidity pockets. USD stalls, yields stabilize → relief bounce likely.
Bottom Line War pushes capital defensive first. BTC reacts to liquidity second.
Honestly i just want the war between the United states, Iran and Israel to end
The real question isn't "bullish or bearish?" it's: does this tighten liquidity, or force it back into the system?
Crypto markets remain under pressure, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 15 in Extreme Fear territory. Risk appetite is low across the board.
Despite that environment, Maple continued to execute.
Key highlights include $5B+ in cross-chain flows and $3.79B in AUM, marking a new all-time high.
Monthly revenue reached $2.57M, pushing the annualized run rate to approximately $30.8M. TVL climbed to $3.2B, up 21 percent, while syrupUSDC volume doubled month over month to $4.98B. Active loans grew 8.4 percent to $2.4B, supported by 165 percent or higher overcollateralization, with zero defaults maintained.
February also included a temporary web app incident that was resolved with no user funds affected.
Through volatility and defensive market conditions, Maple reinforced its position as a leading on-chain institutional credit platform, focused on transparent collateral, sustainable yield, and disciplined risk management.
Despite that environment, Maple continued to execute.
Key highlights include $5B+ in cross-chain flows and $3.79B in AUM, marking a new all-time high.
Monthly revenue reached $2.57M, pushing the annualized run rate to approximately $30.8M. TVL climbed to $3.2B, up 21 percent, while syrupUSDC volume doubled month over month to $4.98B. Active loans grew 8.4 percent to $2.4B, supported by 165 percent or higher overcollateralization, with zero defaults maintained.
February also included a temporary web app incident that was resolved with no user funds affected.
Through volatility and defensive market conditions, Maple reinforced its position as a leading on-chain institutional credit platform, focused on transparent collateral, sustainable yield, and disciplined risk management.
BTC’s been bleeding since October and if March closes red, that’s 6 straight months of losses something we nearly never see in a real crypto cycle.
Historically, Bitcoin tends to chop and then bounce before stacking that many red months, but with macro pressure still strong, it could happen.
Still, seasoned traders know: the deeper the washout, the stronger the rebound when it hits. Eyes on support levels and volume relief rallies usually come before capitulation ends
Historically, Bitcoin tends to chop and then bounce before stacking that many red months, but with macro pressure still strong, it could happen.
Still, seasoned traders know: the deeper the washout, the stronger the rebound when it hits. Eyes on support levels and volume relief rallies usually come before capitulation ends
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