$EDGE 300m opening So anxious Can't get in Watching helplessly as 0.3 something rises to 0.4 something The signal at Tangquan is too poor Opened at the highest point 0.45 posted in the group Should be able to touch 700m upwards
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$ZAMA 0.03 bought some ZAMA Take profit 0.035 Stop loss 0.027
Logic 1: Normally, the chips that need to be washed should have been mostly washed in the past few days, and the lowest last night was also 0.256. The normal script should be: Kill public offerings → Project party buys at a low price → Pump up
① Returning to the public offering price gives face and provides an explanation to investors. ② The chips bought at a low price are sold at a high position.
Logic 2: Ambush next week on UPBIT Binance's pre-TGE projects currently have a total of five phases (YB MMT FOGO SENT ZAMA), All have gone online on Upbit except for FOGO and ZAMA. And ZAMA is the latest phase, with a relatively high financing amount, and has the potential to go on UPBIT. 0.03 bought some ZAMA Take profit 0.035 Stop loss 0.027
Logic 1: Normally, the chips that need to be washed should have been mostly washed in the past few days, and the lowest last night was also 0.256. The normal script should be: Kill public offerings → Project party buys at a low price → Pump up
① Returning to the public offering price gives face and provides an explanation to investors. ② The chips bought at a low price are sold at a high position.
Logic 2: Ambush next week on UPBIT Binance's pre-TGE projects currently have a total of five phases (YB MMT FOGO SENT ZAMA), All have gone online on Upbit except for FOGO and ZAMA. And ZAMA is the latest phase, with a relatively high financing amount, and has the potential to go on UPBIT.
For 277 days of leading trades, turning 500U into 180,000U, a 360 times return.
Leading trades on Binance "Surviving longer is the true way to success." "Less trading, more certainty in opportunities."
1. The illusion of getting rich quickly vs the truth of long-term survival: Many newcomers see a leading trade number earning 300% in three days or reaching 10 times in a week, and they become eager to follow. What happens next? That number often goes bankrupt during the next major pullback or black swan, either reopening a smaller account or simply disappearing.
2. Why do leading trade numbers die quickly? Common "death methods":
High leverage + full position betting on direction: Taking fans as mere pawns, while only putting in 500U, using small funds to leverage big profits, high leverage eats into profits, and if wrong, fans lose everything; even if right, they will eventually do wrong.
Not controlling positions, not stopping losses: The culture of holding positions is prevalent, "The teacher says just hold on" "This is just a shakeout." As a result, both they and their fans go bankrupt.
Leading trades are not a performance show, but a long-term business. If you want to sustain the business, you must first ensure survival.
3. What common traits do truly long-lasting leading trade numbers have?
From the "old numbers" on Binance Square, it can be summarized that those who last long basically follow these few iron rules: Strict stop-loss and take-profit: Get out when breaking levels, don’t fall in love with the trade. Many people lose because they can't bear to leave or wait for a rebound. Go with the trend, don’t fight against it: The trend is your friend, and volatility is a meat grinder. If you don’t understand, wait; survival gives you the next chance. Turn off emotions, engrave rules in your mind: Leading trades are not based on "feelings" or divine predictions, but on systems that can be reviewed and executed. Discipline > talent. Regularly cashing out, diversifying risks: Withdraw a portion to realize profits.
4. The market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is people who can survive until opportunities arise. If you survive long enough, you have the qualification to talk about doubling and financial freedom. If you die early, no matter how impressive the returns, they are just numbers on a tombstone. Remember: In the crypto world, the strongest is not the one who earns the most, but those who have endured countless dark nights and are still at the table. Surviving is the greatest α.
26 years can also be considered a good start. In January, the net profit was over 260,000 USD. The drawdown was only 40,000 USD. 15,000 USD from two Binance accounts, 20,000 USD from the order number, and 20,000 USD from HL. Additionally, there are two pending orders with an unrealized profit of 70,000 USD.
The main source of income: short positions like zama fogo lit, making profits all the way down 🚀
This year's income is planned to be fully invested in BTC.
$MEGA Good projects do not need to be publicly offered. Public offerings are meant for cashing out.
In the past, when the market was good, there were many mindless buyers. The project party would give liquidity tokens to market makers (MM), who would cooperate to sell them, for instance, when Move was launched, it cashed out several tens of millions, and even doubled on the first day. Of course, now it has basically gone to zero.
Now that the market is bad, the wave of breaking the offer has come. You think the project party will support the bottom and buy some at the breaking price, but in fact, the project party is also exploiting your psychology to plunder the last liquidity, building positions to short when liquidity is at its peak.
When it breaks down to 50%, they will do some posturing to stabilize the market cap and then continue to sell.
So before the last Zama opened, I left a message saying that according to normal logic, it has broken down, and the short logic should also short. Guess who is shorting? It's hard to guess.
So how much do you think Mega is reasonably breaking down?
$MEGA #专空新币 Every time I short on hl now, it will be reported by Rhythm But it is reported N days after I open the position It should be someone who set up the short position and then bought the article.
History is always remarkably similar Written in 1011 (Clearly stating my reasons for anticipating a bear market and the reason for liquidating before 1011)
The 40,000 U loss from the XPL short brought me what. Average short at 0.7 → loss at 0.8 → pushed to 1.5 → current price 0.1
① XPL showed me the script of my losses shorting ena in 2024, Market sentiment fomo to the extreme, then a bear market followed, At that time, I held a significant loss in spot, So after XPL stopped me out, I decisively liquidated all my spot, (No hindsight, the article mentions that I liquidated BNB at 1000 and it rose to 1200)
② With no positions in hand, I have enough cash flow to bottom fish at 1011 (At least proving I know what bnsol and beth are and that I bottomed in time when they appeared on the drop list)
③ The correct judgment of the market going bearish, seizing the subsequent shorting opportunities with new coins like MON.
风寻
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{future}(KITEUSDT) XPL is just like ENA back in the day, the hype is explosive Even XPL and ENA are being promoted by the same group of wealthy investors in the market. Since then, a similar bear market for new coins has reappeared. This is also the reason I could clear my spot holdings before 1011.
XPL has doubled and trapped all the secondary retail investors at the peak. So after XPL, new coins have been on a continuous decline because retail investors are losing money and can no longer afford to pick up new coins.
The most obvious indicator is that last month there was a few hundred U’s of alpha, and this month 40 U is considered a significant amount.
This time a new coin with high FDV is emerging to ride the hype, it must be shorted. Most likely, the same group of people will be trapped again.
However, the market is already different. Are 1.4 billion going to go long, and this time still expect to see 3 billion FDV? I see 700 million, with a long-term view of 300 million. Who still remembers this project a month after the coin is issued?
Mega is the only big truck recently. About ten days ago, I went in with 0.21. But I was worried that the hype would be maliciously inflated, so I didn't enter with too large a position.
Yesterday, before the Binance listing, I thought it would open around 0.16, so I could short it. Unexpectedly, it quickly dropped below 0.14 after the opening. After all, the market condition is too poor, and it's unrealistic to want a good position, so I could only take a small position at this price.
At the price of 0.14, there is also a 40% profit for public offerings; in this kind of market, L2 projects should have low risk.
Since it went on the Binance listing, and previously sold public offerings and NFTs, this kind of project is likely to go on pre-TGE. How to sell is still selling, right? When the pre-TGE price comes out at 0.05, I think it won't be a problem to reach near the public offering price. Moreover, there are cheaper NFT chips available.
On the day the market opened, was the charm of the three words 'bet it all' enough?
ZAMA's clearing price is settled: 0.05U!
With a 10% discount, the real cost is 0.045.
Current pre-market is 0.051 → theoretical profit 13%, refund rate 62.89%, actual profit unknown.
My pre-market short position has been completely closed, landing at 100,000U, feeling great! From a high of 0.16, shorted all the way down to now 0.05, the price has been halved and halved again.
New stock subscription? Low winning rate + giant whale arbitrage + possible break, rolled until vomiting blood. Shorting? Low risk, large space, steady gains!
Unfortunately, my phone happened to be broken at that time, I only opened a position for one account, otherwise I could have made another 100,000U.
The public offering has ended. My pre-market short position has a total profit of over 90,000 U. The predicted market liquidation price of 0.03 also yields a profit of 2,000 U. I have previously written about my specific operational thoughts in earlier articles.
At the same time, the pre-market price has plummeted. From our short position starting at 0.16 down to 0.05 now, the price is less than one-third of what it was.
I previously calculated that the alpha price is 0.0318. The public sale liquidation price is likely around 0.04 or 0.045.
If you didn't choose to hedge first and then invest, currently, you may not necessarily make money and could even incur losses. The market is now filled with actuaries and whales arbitraging. If you can't anticipate and act faster than others, it may be very difficult to succeed.
$ZAMA $FOGO Zama's empty order has been completed, making a profit of 70,000 U. What is an open money-making opportunity? See: Zama's pre-market launch, Binance Square published an article to short at 0.16 to make money.
Let's review the recent performance of some new coins:
Zama: shorted directly at 0.16 at market open, strategy issued one minute after opening (rules start at 55M, valuation clearly inflated) → news dropped it to 0.09, yielding 70,000 U.
Fogo: shorted in batches at 0.079 (SVM narrative overestimation) → saw a low of 0.05, yielding 35,000 U.
Binance Life: shorted at 0.154, added position at 0.177, planned strict stop loss at 0.2... as a result, woke up to a floating loss of 45,000, then chose to hold on, floating loss of -15,000 U (currently still unchanged).
A few days ago, many people shared memes and made 100K, What I want to say is that playing with new coins is an easier path to make 100K.
The essence of playing with new coins is actually very simple: 1. Abundant experience 2. Logic-driven rather than emotional 3. Big gains, small losses + strict profit-taking and stop-loss.
Today I washed my car myself and saved 30 yuan. After finishing, I opened Binance and found my car was gone
After waking up, I discovered my short position in BinanceLife had lost 45,000 U! I opened a 30,000 U short at 0.154, and added another 50,000 U short at 0.177, planning to stop loss at 0.20.
Trading logic:
1. BinanceLife has recently been rising due to high Chinese meme hype, but after the hype fades, a drop is inevitable. 2. Meme coins on the BSC chain reach their peak immediately upon listing, with no exceptions; the spot price hits the ceiling right away (refer to TST and MUB, now down to only 20M market cap). 3. A 20% stop loss to bet on a likely prolonged downtrend is worth it, given the risk-reward ratio.
Risk reflection: When BinanceLife reached 0.18, I felt there was some risk, Because it wasn't following the expected logic. Chinese meme hype was rapidly declining, yet the price kept rising. I thought the spot price breaking through should be close to stop loss. Unexpectedly, I woke up to a sudden pump that blew me up—no chance to stop loss.
Lesson: Trading requires consistency between knowledge and action—strict stop loss is essential.
$ZAMA Open price 0.16, chose to short After reviewing the rules, analyzed from 55M starting bid
Until just now, the announcement was released, current price 0.09
Trading new coins is like fighting dogs—you need to sit idle every day. Starting from the Binance announcement, you only have 15 minutes to think and conduct research: can this coin be traded, is it bullish or bearish, and you must develop a logical basis for your view.
Then you'll likely get the best position; later, when others ask if they can still get in after the price has risen significantly or dropped heavily, you'll already be in.
Fire really reached 0.05. Yesterday I was too sensitive, seeing the new issue price of 0.035 higher than my expected 0.01 new issue price, I ran away to avoid risk.
Actually, yesterday when the new issue announcement came out, I had already taken a large short position, but unfortunately I didn't get the value this time.
Reflection: The market is truly terrible; as long as there's profit in new issues, people will hedge and crash the price.