Sunday Heavyweight: 4 Key Signals Confirmed! Will A-shares Plummet or Rally Next Week?

The situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, with the scope of conflict constantly expanding, making the situation increasingly unclear and market sentiment fluctuating sharply. Regarding the trend of A-shares next week, I have outlined 4 core viewpoints:

① The key is whether ground actions will be initiated. Once ground warfare begins, A-shares will likely not just decline quietly, and a sharp drop after a low opening is very possible.

② Currently, it is difficult to discern the truth of market information, and no one can accurately predict the next steps. Even the previous "verbal market rescue" has become ineffective. Next week, it is crucial to pay attention to whether both sides of the conflict issue a consistent statement, as this will directly affect market sentiment.

③ Two major data points next week are vital: Tuesday's domestic PMI data and Friday's U.S. non-farm payroll data; these two sets of data will influence the rhythm of both domestic and international markets.

④ The two hours before Monday's opening is a critical window period, closely monitoring the correlation between the U.S. Dollar Index and U.S. Treasury yields, rather than just focusing on oil prices. If the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields surge simultaneously, it indicates accelerated global capital sell-off, and A-shares will likely face pressure on Monday.

In the medium to long term, the outlook remains optimistic, and around the Qingming Festival, the market is expected to welcome a wave of strong rebound行情.