#黄金
1. This week's panorama: Plunge → Deep V rebound → High volatility
Core range (London gold spot): 4100 ~ 4620 USD/ounce
Overall tone of the week: Panic selling → Oversold recovery → Tug-of-war between bulls and bears, slightly bearish volatility
2. Daily market review (Volume and Price + Key signals)
1. Monday (3.23): Increased volume plunge, panic escape
- Price: 1040 → 926 RMB/gram (Shanghai gold); International 4500 → 4100 USD
- Volume and price: Record trading volume, increased volume breakdown, funds fleeing
- Signal: Bearish trend established, all lines trapped
2. Tuesday (3.24): Bottoming and rising, reduced volume stabilization
- Price: 956 → 977 RMB/gram; International 4100 → 4400 USD
- Volume and price: Shrinking trading volume, selling pressure exhausted, long lower shadow stops decline
- Signal: Oversold rebound, bears temporarily pause, recovery begins
3. Wednesday (3.25): Violent rebound, increased volume counterattack
- Price: 973 → 1024 RMB/gram; International 4400 → 4620 USD
- Volume and price: Increased trading volume, bullish counterattack, breakthrough 4600 strong pressure
- Signal: Oversold recovery climax, short-term bulls strong
4. Thursday (3.26): High surge and fall, reduced volume correction
- Price: 1019 → 982 RMB/gram; International 4620 → 4450 USD
- Volume and price: Decreased volume drop, 4600 pressure evident, bulls weak
- Signal: Rebound meets resistance, returns to weakness, slightly bearish
5. Friday (3.27): Narrow range volatility, reduced volume consolidation
- Price: 974 → 999 RMB/gram; International 4400 → 4470 USD
- Volume and price: Continued reduced volume, bulls and bears watching, fluctuations narrowing
- Signal: Low-level volatility, unclear direction, waiting for choice
3. Core volume and price rules of the week
1. Monday: Increased volume plunge (bears dominant) → Trend turns bearish
2. Tuesday: Reduced volume stops decline (selling pressure exhausted) → Oversold rebound
3. Wednesday: Increased volume rebound (bulls recovering) → Rebound peak
4. Thursday: Reduced volume fall (bulls weak) → Returns to weakness
5. Friday: Extremely reduced volume (bulls and bears watching) → Volatility waiting
Conclusion:
This week is a typical oversold recovery market after a sharp decline, overall still slightly bearish.
4600 USD (international)/1020 RMB (domestic) is strong pressure;
4300 USD (international)/950 RMB (domestic) is strong support.
4. Outlook for next week (brief)
- Main tone: Wide range volatility, slightly bearish
- Range: 4300 ~ 4600 USD
- Key: 4600 pressure, 4300 support, Federal Reserve news
$XAU
