Currently, BTC is in the range of 69,000 to 68,000. Based on my trading system, I will still choose to go long. This is not due to blind optimism, but rather a result of historical backtesting and risk-reward assessment. The short-term market is weak and bears are strong, but there is also a rebound in this range. The core of the trading logic lies in probability advantage rather than a single outcome — just like the previous round where I increased my position from a floating profit of 66,000-67,000 to 75,700 USD and then reduced my position. Although I did not anticipate the rapid pullback near 76,000, this system is destined not to lose too much, just some light positions with small stop losses. We all know that the market will not change its trajectory due to personal will. If one denies the original system due to an extreme market condition, it is essentially placing "result theory" above "process theory." Although the outcome is not very good, this trading system remains a top choice. Many people know that there are many ways to operate in the short term. No matter how accurate the analysis is, if one is greedy and unwilling, the account will be forced into a state of anxiety and halved. Even if one is not a robot, in some market conditions, the unwillingness to stop loss can lead to bad results. Any strategy will face phase retracements. For example, although the magnitude and speed of the last pullback exceeded expectations, if this system is positioned at a small loss, break-even, or small profit, then if the market improves a bit and runs in one direction for some time, a large profit is inevitable. This long position is a medium to long-term position that will not frequently change direction due to short-term fluctuations, until the stop loss is hit or it reaches near the target position. No matter how accurate the analysis is, you would never think that BTC would rise from 80,000 to 120,000 in 2025; at that time, the market was also bearish. Only after the market moves can conclusions be drawn. In this process, differing opinions are inevitable, and there is a significant gap between being accurate in analysis and executing correctly amidst market fluctuations. Sticking to your own viewpoint and trading in that direction can yield a 50% win rate. The market is uncontrollable; the only thing you can control is your own position. In the short term, I am bearish, but the daily trend still looks bullish. What I can do is to go long and hold when approaching the lower end, #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 .
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