Old Trump really messed up this time, with approval ratings dropping directly to 36%, a full 11 percentage points lower than when he first returned to the White House. If you ask me, the situation in the Middle East is the trigger—originally intended to show strength, but the public didn't buy it, and his approval ratings hit a new low since taking office.
What's even more exciting is what's happening with the Federal Reserve. Those traders in the futures market are now betting that interest rates won't drop until the end of 2027, and there's even a 30% chance of another increase this year. It's worth noting that before the outbreak of conflict, everyone thought there could be two or three rate cuts this year! The shift in sentiment has changed faster than Trump can flip-flop.
As an old hand in the cryptocurrency market for many years, I have to say this is not good news for the crypto market. A prolonged high interest rate means that market liquidity will continue to be tight, and projects relying on leverage and hot money will face significant pressure. Assets like $SIREN, which depend on the narrative of macroeconomic easing, will likely remain under pressure in the short term.
However, there are opportunities hidden within crises. As geopolitical tensions escalate, traditional safe-haven asset gold has already fallen for ten consecutive days, indicating that the market is re-pricing risk. The value of crypto assets as an alternative allocation may instead become prominent. Projects like $ARIA, which have practical application scenarios, may present a good opportunity for investment if their fundamentals are solid after adjustments.
My personal judgment is: with increased policy uncertainty, market volatility will rise, but a systemic crash is unlikely. The key is to see how the old special one plays his cards next—whether he continues to resist or turns to a more moderate approach. For us retail investors, the most important thing now is to control our positions, avoid blindly chasing highs, and look for structural opportunities after market sentiment stabilizes.
In summary, whether it’s success or failure, it all comes back to Trump; this play is not over yet. To navigate the crypto space, one must understand candlestick charts and keep a close eye on the White House and the Federal Reserve's movements. The greater the storm, the more valuable the fish, but the premise is that your boat doesn't capsize first.
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