#金价连续第十天下跌 March 24 Evening Gold Trend
⚠️ For learning and sharing purposes only, not investment advice
I. Latest Evening Market (as of 18:56)
- London Gold Spot: 4428 USD/oz, intraday -0.28%
- Intraday range: 4305–4446 USD
- Volume and price characteristics:
- Daytime low weak fluctuations, low volume repair, no volume rebound
- European session slightly surged and then fell back, 4440–4450 selling pressure is obvious
- 4-hour level: Bearish arrangement unchanged, MACD still below the zero axis
II. Evening Trend Judgment (20:00–02:00)
Overall tone: Weak fluctuations, rebound inducing long positions, bearish dominance
Core range: 4330–4450 USD
Scenario Simulation (Evening)
- High probability (70%)
Narrow fluctuations in the 4380–4440 range, rebound with low volume, meets resistance and falls back, end of the session is weak.
- Medium probability (25%)
Break down 4380 → Test 4330–4300 support, significant volume break looks to 4250.
- Low probability (5%)
Stable above 4450 with significant volume → Short-term rebound to 4480–4500, but hard to reverse.
III. Evening Key Levels
- Resistance
- First resistance: 4440–4450 (strong resistance)
- Second resistance: 4480–4500 (bull-bear watershed)
- Support
- First support: 4380–4360 (evening short-term support)
- Second support: 4330–4300 (strong support)
- Break level looks to: 4250
IV. Evening Trading Ideas (Technical Learning)
- Strictly prohibited to bottom fish: rebounding with low volume + oversold stagnation, mainly inducing long positions
- Best to observe: do not engage in weak rebounds
- Shorting reference
Rebound 4430–4450 light position short, stop loss 4480, target 4380→4330
- Long conditions (extremely cautious)
After breaking down 4330 with significant volume long lower shadow + bottom divergence, then light position long, stop loss 4280
V. Risk Control (Must Read)
- Light positions, strict stop-loss, do not hold positions
- During US market data/volatility increase, prioritize observation
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