Good morning, everyone.
The divination today: Qian is heaven. Qian means strong; the yang energy rises and is unyielding. The panic from yesterday has dissipated, and today the bulls are regrouping, it's the time to see the sun through the clouds.
1. Market · From extreme to prosperity
From last night to now, the market has sprung back like a withered tree in spring, changing yesterday's downturn. BTC has strongly risen from the $67,500 line, breaking through the $70,000 mark, currently fluctuating around $70,800.
This is a perfect interpretation of 'the movement of the opposer' — yesterday everyone panicked and cut losses, today the house is easily pulling the market.
The root cause lies not in the technical aspects, but in the fundamentals. Trump announced a five-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy facilities, and a ceasefire window has opened between the U.S. and Iran. Once the news broke, market risk appetite quickly warmed, and funds flowed back like a tide.
CoinGlass data shows that over 200,000 people across the network were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with a total liquidation amount of 794 million USD—among which short positions accounted for 370 million USD, allowing longs to finally breathe a sigh of relief.
I speak frankly: 70,000 USD is today's key watershed. If it can hold, look for resistance at 71,500-72,000 above; if it cannot hold, a pullback to 69,500 represents a 'foundation building' opportunity. Strong support below is at 68,500, which is the starting point of yesterday's rebound.
2. Hot spots · Yin and Yang mutually beneficial
Today's hot topics are three, which you should view with a 'Dao eye':
1. Geopolitics and the wind, ruffling a still pond
The US-Iran conflict has hit the pause button, which is the core driving force behind today's rise. Trump posted on Truth Social, stating: 'In the past two days, the US and Iran have had productive discussions on fully resolving hostile actions in the Middle East. I have ordered a pause on any military strikes against Iran's energy infrastructure for five days.'
While Iran denies direct dialogue, the ceasefire window has already opened. Five days is enough for the market to catch its breath. Gate.io analysts point out that Bitcoin has shown 'relative resistance' characteristics during this event, with some funds viewing it as an alternative to hedge geopolitical risks.
But I must remind everyone: five days of ceasefire does not equal peace. If talks break down and conflict resumes, the market will once again be turbulent.
2. Gold loses favor, does Bitcoin take over?
A phenomenon worth pondering: the gold price briefly fell below 4,100 USD/ounce yesterday, erasing all gains this year. Meanwhile, Bitcoin strengthened against the trend.
TradingKey analysis believes: the gold price has broken a key support level, which may mean the end of a six-year bull market. As funds flow out of gold, Bitcoin becomes one of the beneficiaries.
Does this mean that the narrative of 'digital gold' has finally come true? I believe it should not be fixated upon. The strong performance of Bitcoin today is more a result of funds flowing back from traditional safe-haven assets to risk assets, rather than completely replacing gold's safe-haven function. The Dao De Jing says, 'A name that can be named is not a constant name'; what it's called isn't important, what matters is that it has risen.
3. Token unlocking, undercurrents surge
This week, nearly 100 million USD worth of tokens are unlocked, among which Toncoin (TON) has unlocked 48 million USD today, accounting for 10.3% of the circulating supply.
Token unlocking is like 'opening the floodgates', which may bring selling pressure in the short term. Holders of TON need to be more vigilant and should not chase high prices before the unlocking—this is the principle of 'knowing when to stop to avoid danger'.
3. Mindset · The highest good is like water
(Dao De Jing) says: 'The highest good is like water; water benefits all things without competing, it dwells in places that others disdain, therefore it is close to the Dao.'
Yesterday's sharp decline saw many abandon it like a worn-out shoe; today's sharp rise sees many flocking to it again. Water, however, does not compete—it builds momentum at low levels and flows quietly at high levels.
Today's operations, I offer you 'three phrases':
Do not chase high prices if it doesn't break 71,500—if the resistance area above is not breached, chasing high can easily lead to losses.
Do not panic to sell if it doesn't break 69,500—as long as this position is held, the upward structure remains intact.
Holding coins in hand, yet having no coins in heart—rising is not frantic, falling is not panicked, that is the Dao heart.
Specific suggestions:
Short-term players: reduce positions near 71,500 to lock in profits; look to buy back on a pullback to 69,500-70,000.
Long-term holders: close your eyes and stay put, go drink tea. Since Bitcoin's rebound from the bottom, this level of volatility is merely small ripples in the 'foundation building' process.
Those without positions: do not be anxious about missing out. Dao follows nature, opportunities are always present. You can place orders at 69,500 and wait for a pullback to enter.
4. Conclusion
The hexagram Qian signifies heaven, the heavens move vigorously, and the noble person strives for self-improvement.
Today's rise confirms what I said yesterday—'disaster relies on fortune'. Those who panicked and sold yesterday may regret it today; while those who maintained their Dao heart are now enjoying the rise in positive energy.
But remember: the Qian hexagram uses nine, a group of dragons without a leader is auspicious. The healthiest market state is not one that soars to the sky, but rather where no 'dragon' has absolute dominance, taking turns to lead the rise and rotate upwards. Today's increase, if accompanied by trading volume, holds promise for the future.
Wishing all you holders, may you follow the trend and keep your Dao heart steady.
#BTC