#特朗普称美伊或在5天内达成协议
Trump is engaging in a "public opinion game" with Iran, attempting to control the market narrative. In the short term, he has succeeded— the market chooses to trust him first.
BTC is likely to fluctuate in the 68,000-72,000 range waiting for clearer signals. If Iran softens its stance or confirms communication in the next 24-48 hours, it will continue to rise; if Iran firmly denies, there will be a pullback.
Putting three pieces of news together, the context becomes very clear:
1
19:08: Oil plummets (expectations of crisis resolution) + Trump says "productive dialogue" > BTC violently rebounds
2. 19:52: Iran officially denies communication - market tension, basis for rise loosens
3. 21:12: Trump speaks again, saying "an agreement could be reached in 5 days or even sooner"— responding to Iran's denial, strengthening expectations
Trump is forcefully maintaining the "peace talk expectations," telling the market: Iran's denial is not important, negotiations are still progressing, and results will come soon.