What characteristics will the Bitcoin rebound market have?

Based on the bear market wave structure of Bitcoin and the relationship between volume and price, the hunter has some guesses about the characteristics of this rebound market for reference and discussion.

First, the S&P A wave should not have finished dropping yet. When the S&P drops, Bitcoin usually follows suit, and there is a certain amount of trapped positions in the 75,000-79,000 range, so the subsequent rebound process of Bitcoin is likely to experience multiple pullbacks and fluctuations.

Secondly, the fourth sub-wave of wave A (2025.11.21-2026.1.14) lasted for more than 50 days, so the rebound of wave B is expected to take significantly longer than the fourth sub-wave of wave A, likely exceeding 70 days, and it is also possible to exceed 90 days.

Moreover, after the panic selling process on February 5 and the subsequent accumulation process after the second test, the main force has already accumulated a certain amount of chips. Therefore, the main force will also need a distribution process during the subsequent rebound, so it may consolidate for a relatively long time near the rebound high to complete the distribution.

Finally, to cooperate with the main force's distribution, the rebound market must have a certain level of deception. The subsequent rebound process, especially near the rebound high, may continuously present positive news, leading the retail investors to mistakenly believe that a bull market is returning, encouraging them to take positions.