Federal Reserve Decision Tonight: Don't Panic, Focus on These Two Points!

There’s no need to panic about this March meeting of the Federal Reserve; not raising or lowering interest rates has long been a certainty, and at 2 AM it's just a formality.

The two things that really determine the rise and fall are:

1. Interest Rate Cut Expectations Dot Plot

The market is waiting for one interest rate cut this year, and if it directly changes to zero cuts, assets like US stocks and BTC are likely to be hit hard.

2. Powell's Speech Attitude

Saying "high rates will last longer" = negative for the market;

Saying "we'll decide based on data" = leaves room and is somewhat positive.

The market has already prepared for a hawkish stance; as long as it’s not extremely hawkish, it’s basically a case of negative news being priced in, and it may actually rebound.

Before the results come out, don’t go all in or short indiscriminately; wait for the signals to be confirmed before taking action.