fromdustwearise

This week has quite a few holidays, so the market might be fluctuating or the holiday sharks will make the chart jump around, right? :))))

#FromDustWeArise

Cập nhật tình hình $BTC ngày 29/03/2026

BTC khung D ở thời điểm hiện tại vẫn đang ở trong xu hướng sideway với biên độ 13k, cạnh dưới 63k và cạnh trên 76k. Các cạnh dưới hiện vẫn đang hỗ trợ rất tốt, giúp BTC luôn bật lên mỗi khi chạm vào cạnh này. Dự kiến BTC sẽ có đợt tăng trưởng mới vào tuần sau nếu đóng nến tuần trên đường trendline tăng hình thành từ ngày 06/02/2026 đến nay.

Khung H4 trở xuống, hiện tại đang sideway up nhẹ ngay trên đường trendline tăng, vì vậy cần tiếp tục theo dõi. Theo đó, khả năng BTC sẽ tiếp tục tích lũy đầu tuần trước khi bắt đầu sóng tăng vào giữa tuần sau.

Liquidation heatmap cho thấy BTC đang ở rất gần các vị thế long, do đó nhiều khả năng sẽ xuất hiện những cây nến quét râu dưới để lấy thanh khoản và lấy SL phe long trước khi đi vào xu hướng tăng, rất phù hợp với những phân tích trước đó.

Hành động:

Đầu tuần tiếp tục theo dõi, giữa tuần, sau khi xuất hiện những cây nến quét thanh khoản thì chúng ta mạnh dạn entry long theo sóng tăng đến cuối tuần.

Mình sẽ cập nhật entry, TP vào những bài viết tiếp theo khi BTC chạy theo hướng phân tích hoặc cập nhật lại tình hình ở những bài sau.

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Every now and then I don't know how to assess the trend? :))))

So tonight I'm writing another silly post. :))))
In the past few days, 925 has been really exhausting, but I find that at night, looking at the chart feels more peaceful than all the nonsense of capitalists. Others' money, the game of sharks. The effort at 925 may not have any significance at the end of the day or month. Oh, payday makes it a bit meaningful =)))).

My trading journey is a gradual growth. Reading Trading Dao, I guess I'm only at level 1.5 :))))), much less naive now.
My first journey into trading was driven by greed, wanting extra income. Then I became fascinated with knowledge, then started to dig deeper, then from being afraid to place orders to placing orders like a fool. SL long for a string, then one day I had TP that covered 4-5 previous SL. Then there came a day when looking at the chart felt much more peaceful than all the silly drama at the company :))))

Writing for a boring last day of the month because the goods are delayed everywhere :))))

#FromDustWeArise @Chan Chảnh Choẹ

📊 Nhận định BTC cuối tuần
📅 BTC khung W hình thành 1 cây nến búa ngược đỏ tiếp diễn 1 cây nến đỏ thân dài, dao động quanh mức giá 66.6k RSI sau khi phục hồi nhẹ từ vùng quá bán giờ đang tiếp tục hướng xuống, khả năng tiếp tục đi xuống vùng quá bán là cao.
Trong lịch sử nhiều năm chỉ có 1 lần duy nhất khung W, RSI xuống vùng quá bán sau đó giá sideway down tạo đáy mới nhưng không quá sâu và RSI tạo phân kỳ

👉 Nếu lịch sử lặp lại, có khả năng BTC sẽ tiếp tục giảm xuống vùng 58k – 50k

Trên khung ngày, 2 ngày cuối tuần giá sideway, vol thấp như thường lệ, RSI suy yếu với xu hướng đi xuống dưới.
Khung 4h, giá BTC sideway up ép sát về gần EMA21, giá đang di chuyển trong range tạo bởi 1 cây nến xanh trước đó
RSI khung 4h cũng cho thấy 1 lần quá bán và RSI đã có 1 sóng hồi nhưng chưa đủ làm dấu hiệu tích luỹ đáng kể. Khả năng giá BTC sẽ tiếp tục giảm khá cao trong khung 4h này.
➡️ Vì vậy nên đặt kịch bản thiên về chiều short nhiều hơn

📉 Kịch bản 1
Đầu tuần giá phục hồi quét lên vùng giá 67k4, đây là vùng giá trước đó 1 đáy ngắn hạn bị phá vỡ. Nếu một nến rút râu trên xuất hiện ở đây
👉 Khả năng đó là dấu hiệu lấy thanh khoản xong, thì sẽ là tín hiệu để có thể bắt đầu vào vị thế short. Kịch bản này có thể có xác suất cao

📉 Kịch bản 2
Nếu giá BTC phá xuống dưới range, đóng cửa dưới 66k3 một cách rõ ràng thì cũng có thể tìm kiếm cơ hội short scalp theo bias giá còn giảm xuống nữa để tạo RSI phân kỳ 👉 Sau đó chờ đợi dấu hiệu tích luỹ và đảo chiều sau phân kỳ để long lại

$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-29 at 10:23

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed the candle yesterday at: decrease -0.05% (66,407.28 → 66,377.03 compared to 2026-03-27). The volume is less than 2.50 times compared to the previous day (11,462 vs 28,604).
- BTC closed as a doji candle with relatively short wicks, indicating liquidity exhaustion yesterday - the weekend. Today is also the weekend, so selling pressure is likely to decrease. Currently, BTC is trading within the range of 66,800-68,000, which is still the POC area of the past 2 months.
- Prediction: If next week BTC breaks below 66,800, this level will become a strong resistance in the next 1-2 weeks - the downtrend will still continue, returning to test support below 66,000.

Market overview:
- Current trend: Avg RSI average 24h is 45.0, indicating that the downtrend is still dominant. The divergence between time frames is quite evident. RSI H4 is currently at 41.3, showing that medium-term selling pressure is still present and the price is in a zone leaning towards a downtrend (below 50).
- TOTAL 1-3 all increased along with BTC, but TOTAL 3 increased stronger, the altcoin trend is classified, long short depending on each coin.
- Daily leaderboard: SIREN, NOM, PLAY, ONT, TRIA

Actions:
- Still prioritize quick scalp trades, short range, not suitable for swing trading yet.
- Do not FOMO buy chasing green prices at present due to lack of volume support.
- Watchlist long: $HEMI

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

29/03/2026
$BTC sau khi giảm về vùng 66k thì khung H1 đang sideway - hồi nhẹ. Các khung H4 - H9 đều chuyển sang cấu trúc giảm. Chỉ còn khung D nếu thủng nốt vùng 66k này thì cũng chuyển sang giảm. Và với lực nến như hiện tại thì nhiều khả năng sẽ thủng.

Plan: canh short tiếp diễn BTC. Timing H1 hồi max tầm chiều chủ nhật - sáng thứ 2

Watchlist:
1/ Short: BTC, $STG , $ICNT

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ sorry sister I forgot to tag you roàii :))
#FromDustWeArise

$BTC large frame has 1-2 pinbar candles confirming a test at the trendline and a downtrend already. The smaller frame around 3D is expected to come back to the liquidity zone of 60-55k and then sideways there for a while.

In terms of time perception, I have measured from the sweep on 5/2 to now, which is nearly 52 days according to the ichimoku coefficient. So there may be strong fluctuations tomorrow or Monday morning. The scenario is to test the trendline h9 (yellow dashed line) and then drop sharply to the 55-60k zone.

Lately, the market seems only suitable for scalping, so everyone should enter trades with caution, and expectations should be reasonable.

Today I saw some low cap coins bouncing quite a bit on H4 like $0G , or some coins with the prefix 1000xyz or 1000000xyz.

In summary, trading for the past month has been quite challenging, luckily the TP for February covered everything, hehe.

#FromDustWeArise @Chan Chảnh Choẹ

📊 BTC Market Update

📅 Daily Frame (D)
BTC closed with a long red candle, short wicks breaking through the diagonal trendline, gradually increasing volume confirms the bearish structure on the daily frame, along with the RSI signal having dropped below the 50 line and potentially continuing to descend into the oversold region on the daily frame.

⏱️ 4H Frame
Currently, the price is fluctuating in the range of 68k – 66k on the 4h frame after a significant price drop. This is a common sign of a temporary pause after strong price movements. On the 4h frame, after the price reaches the 65k6 area, it is considered the last strong OB zone of the buyers, simultaneously combined with an oversold RSI.

➡️ Currently, the price is showing a recovery trend but lacks participation from buyers, indicated by weak volume.

📉 Short Scenario (following the trend)
After the price range of 69k – 67.4k was breached, this price range has become a new resistance level. To follow the trend, this is a range to consider, waiting for an opportunity to continue shorting.

📈 Long Scenario (high risk)

For the long direction (this scenario may be riskier): If the BTC price does not recover high but continues to drop, creating a new low, and if the RSI shows signs of divergence, then start to consider long opportunities, but one should not expect too much.
$BTC
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

Update on the Market situation at the end of the week 28/03/2026

Looking through the RSI heatmap, I see a common situation where most codes are in the oversold zone, and the market has mainly been declining this week, with a weak recovery. When the market is at one extreme (oversold), the likelihood of a reversal will occur.

Therefore, my strategy in the coming days is to focus on finding codes to go long more, reducing short positions.

Some codes that I see have great potential for going long: $SIREN , $BEAT , $NAORIS , PIPPIN and BTC.

Currently, we prioritize scalping long H1 first with small volume and then gradually increasing as the codes enter a trend.

Alright, I will continue to update the situation of these codes in the upcoming articles.

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

$BTC please choose a reduction scenario as I predicted the day before, test scan up to 71k again to tease everyone but looking at MACD and RSI, the strength is no longer increasing. So we may choose a deeper scenario. The next area might go down to around 47k-55k by 16/5. As for the short scenario, tomorrow we will scan to see more. Today the capital is too drained, I couldn't do anything TT_TT extremely sad.
There’s a downtrend line drawn last week, today it tested back to that exact trendline.
$TAO there are clear signs to short now, so in the upcoming segment, we can consider shorting again. Also SL a few times already.

Keep it simple for tonight because today’s mood is not stable to engage in anything at all.

#FromDustWeArise @Chan Chảnh Choẹ

📊 Nhận định BTC cuối ngày 27/3
BTC đã đi theo kịch bản giảm mạnh trở lại vùng giá 66k sau khi hồi lại vùng giá 70k vào 2 ngày trước

Tại khung ngày, tính thời điểm hiện tại, giá đã đang hình thành 1 cây nến đỏ thân dài phá qua trend line chéo đồng thời phá qua đáy tạo bởi cây nến xanh ngày 23/6 tạo CHOCH và xác nhận tín hiệu quay trở lại trend giảm đầu tiên, RSI chạm đường trung bình ngay tại mốc 50 rồi giảm

Nhìn sang khung 4h sóng giảm dứt khoá kèm theo vol lớn, RSI khung 4h đã xuống vùng quá bán ủng hộ cho sự suy yếu của và chưa thấy dấu hiệu tham gia của phe mua, khả năng giá sẽ phá qua mốc 65k là khá cao

Nếu cây nến ngày hôm nay đóng cửa dưới mốc 65k2. Xác suất downtrend sẽ tiếp diễn sẽ rất cao, tương ứng với RSI khung ngày còn nhiều không gian xuống tới vùng quá bán
🎯 Mốc giá chờ đợi tiếp theo sẽ là vùng giá dưới 60k

👉 Kế hoạch giao dịch
Với các dấu hiệu này nên ưu tiên chiến lược giao dịch nên thiên về short thuận trend hơn
➡️ Khi giá hồi lại vùng 68k thì tiếp tục tìm vị thế short

Kịch bản ngược (xác suất thấp)
Ngược lại, với xác suất thấp, trên khung 4h giá quét qua mốc 65k2 rút râu mạnh sau đó tái tích luỹ, có thể tìm kiếm 1 lệnh long scalp với dấu hiệu này 📈

$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

the style is very uncomfortable. It feels like Lyn is twitching. when going down there is a road $SIREN #FromDustWeArise

Update on BEAT's situation as of 27/03/2026

Currently, BEAT has just experienced a significant downtrend starting from 24/03 until today. For now, we can look to go long again to take advantage of the H1 retracement wave expected to last tonight until tomorrow noon.

In larger timeframes from H4 and above, BEAT is still in a downtrend, so we should only scalp H1 when looking for a bullish retracement.

Action Plan.

Look to long scalp H1 with the following information:

Entry: 0.5495 - 0.5367
TP: 0.5874 - 0.6222
SL: 1 - 2% Spot or according to risk management

#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

27/03/2026
$BTC has now dropped through the 68k zone, meaning the bullish scenario has become invalid. The H9 frame has switched to a bearish structure. The D frame is also likely to switch to a bearish wave soon; pay attention to the 67-65k zone to see how the D frame reacts.
Today I entered 2 long positions ONDO and ZEC. The market did not move as per the scenario, but thanks to capital management, I was able to profit from the short ONDO while only losing what I had planned for ZEC, resulting in a slight overall profit.

Plan:
Plan changed. Now just focus on shorting.

Watchlist:
1/ Short: BTC, $STG , $TA

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-27 at 17:49

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed the candle on 2026-03-26 and the current correction phase: down 2.88% (68820.31 -> 66838.05 compared to the previous day). The trading volume yesterday reached 20820.45, while today (up to now) is 11365.49.
- BTC is under pressure to adjust, pulling the price back to the 66k8 region. However, attention should be paid to potential divergence signals as the H1 RSI is at an extremely oversold level (deeply oversold) of 17.6, combined with the H4 RSI (30.2) touching the lower bound.
- Prediction: High likelihood of stopping volume appearing soon in smaller time frames (M15, M30) to curb the drop to ~65-66k

Market Overview:
- Current trend: The overall market is experiencing localized panic selling following BTC's drop, reflected in the RSI indicators deeply embedded in the bottom region. However, this short-term downtrend is losing momentum. This is not a safe zone for FOMO panic selling.
- TOTAL 1-3: Overall market capitalization and Altcoins have decreased due to risk-off sentiment. Funds are temporarily withdrawn from Mid/Large-cap assets for defense. Nevertheless, the market still shows clear differentiation as speculative funds find their way into pushing up some Low-cap tokens with news or specific setups.
- Daily leaderboard: STG, C, PNT, PARTI, KNC (These assets are attracting counter-cyclical capital).

Action:
- Strategy: Prioritize scalping Long trades, and hold Swing positions if possible.
- Watch for BTCUSDT around the 66,500 - 66,800 region.
- Watchlist short: BETA, VIB, WTC, ACA, HARD

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

Update on the situation $NAORIS on 26/03/2026

At the moment, NAORIS is moving in a bearish flag pattern after a prior uptrend, note that there is a very strong green candle with a long wick (the industry term is: squad). Accordingly, the likelihood is that NAORIS will choose to trend upwards with the aim of heading towards the peak of this candle wick. Therefore, I am adjusting the strategy from short to long, everyone.

Tomorrow morning (27/03/2026) we will go long with entry, TP as follows:

Entry: 0.056 - 0.061
TP: 0.074 - 0.085 - 0.107
SL: 1 - 2% (spot) or more depending on capital management style.

#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

ABC.......$0G :)))
On May 8, regarding your nature, 0G. We have moments to avoid being influenced by others' opinions, so we choose 0G to trade simply because no one else does.

The Market Cap of 0G is around 105M$. Not too small but also not too large. The average trading volume is around 16M$, which is acceptable.

This project is part of the AI ecosystem, a layer 1 blockchain building a decentralized AI operating system (dAIOS), helping to bridge the gap between Web2 and Web3. It has investments from OKX Ventures, SamsungNext,.... The founding team is mostly from Stanford, Harvard,... who have previously managed at Microsoft,... Just a brief overview, but the chart is quite dull. 😁

Currently, 0G, like its name Zero Gravity, is in free fall and it's still uncertain where the bottom is. 😅 So, for this one, mainly shorting is advisable; it can swing, but for longs, it's better to just scalp. It tends to go a bit slow, so patience is needed. The setup mainly sweeps the liquidity up before dropping. As for the uptrend (not seen yet), it will likely need to sweep down to 0.45 before rising.

The MACD on the 3D frame is still far from the 0 line, so it seems the sideway down trend will continue for a while. The D or H9 frames are a bit better, but the uptrend structure hasn't been seen except for the MACD on the D frame, which is gradually moving and fluctuating with the 0 line.

As for $BTC , it still hasn't broken out of the box. Hopefully, something will happen this Friday and more will come.

#FromDustWeArise @Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-26 at 08:11

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed candle on 2026-03-25: decreased 0.16% (71,336.53 -> 71,221.77 compared to the previous day). Trading volume reached 17,719.5 BTC.
- Price behavior in the past 24 hours shows a very narrow range with negligible decrease (-0.16%). The trading volume at the beginning of today is low (ratio 26.85 compared to total volume yesterday), reflecting a drying up supply and a wait-and-see attitude from large capital.
- Prediction: In today’s intraday session, BTC is likely to continue a sideways movement in a narrow range of 70,800 - 71,500 to absorb the remaining short-term profit-taking.

Market overview:
- Current trend: Still leaning towards the buying side (Bullish). The fact that BTC is approaching the ATH area but the selling pressure is not strong, combined with RSI in short-term frames maintaining a slight upward trend, indicates that market sentiment is very optimistic but not overly excited (fomo).
- TOTAL 1-3: When BTC stabilizes and moves sideways above the price of 71k, liquidity shows signs of shifting to Altcoin groups (TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3). The explosion of mid-cap and low-cap assets indicates that the risk appetite of investors is increasing.
- Daily leaderboard: The focus of the capital flow is on tokens: PNT, SUPER, PROVE, KDA, RDNT.

Actions:
- Strategy: Continue to maintain the Buy the dip bias as the main strategy.
- Watchlist long: SUPER, KDA, RDNT, PNT
- Watchlist short: BETA, $VIB , WTC, $ACA, $HARD

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

BTC continues to trend sideways in the 4h frame, currently still moving within the range of 70k5 to 72k
In the H1 frame, structurally, it can be seen that BTC has made lower highs while RSI is weakening
This sideways trend has been maintained for almost 3 days since the strong recovery from the price range of 68k
The volume of red candles is slightly higher than green candles, indicating that the buying side has not increased momentum to push the price
strongly. The two bull factions are caught in a state of indecision with no clear trend.
Currently, the short plan when the price breaks and cannot hold above the price level of 70k5, the H1 structure confirms a price decrease is still active
Expect the price to drop back to the price level of 68k

$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ