降息

Baumann, this hawk, has finally decided to loosen his stance. He just announced the prediction of three interest rate cuts within 2026, which serves as a significant psychological boost for the market's liquidity expectations that are close to dying of thirst. Even the toughest bones have started discussing rate cuts, indicating that the macro inflation game is basically nearing its end. However, a rhythm of three cuts a year still feels as steady as an old dog, typical of the Federal Reserve's 'toothpaste squeezing' approach, wanting to instill confidence in the market while not daring to take too big a step. Currently, the big pie is just waiting for this milk. As long as the capital side is loosened, the elasticity of risk assets is no joke. Three rate cuts, do you think this wave will directly send us to the moon, or is Brother Zhuang just fishing? #FED #macroeconomics #降息 $BTC $ETH

Don't panic
Good things take time
Although BTC has dropped, there is still an opportunity for the bulls
There is still a considerable chance of further upward movement for two reasons:
First, the fundamentals:
Regarding interest rates, whether before the meeting or even before the Iran war, the market's expectation for interest rate cuts has not been high this year. Although there are more hawkish officials this time, the median interest rate still points to one rate cut, so this year there may not be much to watch regarding interest rate policy. The U.S. stock market still has to rely on itself, on its own profit growth to support stock prices.
Second, the technical aspects:
The upward trend of BTC on the daily chart remains unchanged, with rebound highs gradually rising and lows also gradually increasing, so there is still an opportunity for further increases in the future. Additionally, the downward trend line has diverged for a long time, indicating a demand for a pullback. $BTC #降息

The Federal Reserve's March interest rate decision remains unchanged, although the dot plot hints at a "constructive dovish" tone in the stock market, but the prospect of rate cuts has been pushed to the second half of the year.
Powell's balancing act is really smooth; he wants to prevent inflation from rebounding while soothing those institutions eagerly awaiting liquidity. For the cryptocurrency market, no negative news in the short term is good news, but don't expect a flood of liquidity just yet. The logic here is very clear: on a macro level, it's a matter of buying time for space, and risk assets are likely to continue consolidating at high levels. Don't be fooled by occasional market rallies; the current open interest and leverage are not low, and a simple reverse spike from the big players could harvest profits. In this volatile market, the patience of seasoned investors is truly tested.
Do you think this rate cut expectation can be delayed again? #FED #Macroeconomics #降息 $BTC $ETH

This week, the bigwigs of the financial world gathered together.

The Fed maintains a neutral stance, and Powell may adopt a "time for space" strategy, waiting for inflation improvement data to curb US demand and inflation.

This week, a series of important economic indicators will be released, especially Friday's non-farm payrolls report, which will become the focus of the market. Economists predict that slowing job growth, a stable unemployment rate of 4%, and slowing inflation may pave the way for the first interest rate cut in September. In the eurozone, although the pace of inflation has slowed down, it has not derailed, and the economy seems to be stagnant.
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#币安合约锦标赛
#以太坊ETF批准预期
#降息

Should you explore the cryptocurrency world on your own or follow a professional teacher?

It may be more efficient and safer to follow a professional teacher. The financial and technical complexity of the cryptocurrency world is high, and novices are prone to scams or mistakes. Professional teachers can help you avoid some common traps, such as the risks of small exchanges or the temptation of low handling fees. Experienced investors can also share practical tips and strategies to help you get into the state quickly and avoid detours.

But even if you follow an experienced investor, you must remain vigilant. There are many scams and bad behaviors in the cryptocurrency world. Make sure the teacher or mentor you choose has a good reputation and practical experience to avoid being deceived by bad elements.

Overall, combining your own learning with the guidance of teachers may be the best strategy. #Bitcoin #BTC☀ #山寨币行情 #牛市 #降息

The latest market forecast on December 16 shows that as Trump's confidant pushes for Warsh to take over as Chair of the Federal Reserve, the probability of betting on Warsh becoming the next Chair of the Federal Reserve has surpassed Hassett, jumping to the top position. The Deutsche Bank team pointed out that if Warsh takes office, he may support #降息 while promoting the reduction of the balance sheet (QT), but the premise is that regulatory reforms can reduce banks' demand for reserves, and whether this can be implemented in the short term remains uncertain. #美联储降息

This year, Warsh proposed that "inflation is a choice," believing that inflation is more a result of the Federal Reserve's own policies rather than supply chain or geopolitical factors. He advocates for the central bank to return to its core mission of price stability while allowing the Treasury to perform its own functions. He is optimistic about the U.S. economic outlook, believing that AI and deregulation may bring about a productivity explosion similar to that of the 1980s.
#美联储FOMC会议
In terms of experience, Warsh has a background as a lawyer and served as a Federal Reserve Governor (2006-2011), playing a key communication role during the global financial crisis. He criticized the deviation of quantitative easing from the core functions of the central bank over the past 15 years. He is currently a partner at Duquesne, a visiting scholar at the Hoover Institution, and a lecturer at Stanford Business School, with a wide influence in academic, regulatory, and investment circles.

🚨 $ZEC Welcome the Christmas rebound wave! 🎄📈

The Federal Reserve is going crazy! Interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion are coming!
Look! The Federal Reserve is ready to make a big move! An interest rate cut is almost certain, and the probability of a cut in December has soared to 90%! Tonight, it is highly likely to cut by another 25 basis points, bringing the rate down to 3.5%-3.75%! 🔥
Even more exciting is that the balance sheet reduction has just ended, and the Federal Reserve may restart balance sheet expansion, buying $45 billion in short-term securities every month! 💸 This wave of liquidity explosion is simply a Christmas gift for risk assets! 🎁

Why is the Federal Reserve in such a hurry to cut rates?
Because the labor market is sending red signals! The unemployment rate continues to rise, and the unemployment rate for college graduates has also surged. Although inflation is still a problem, the market has already bet on a hawkish rate cut – a cut, but not too much; liquidity frenzy is key! 📉

U.S. stocks have already started to party early, with the S&P 500 approaching previous highs, and traders are preparing to welcome the "Christmas rebound"! 🎅
Moreover, U.S. stocks and the cryptocurrency market are closely linked! As long as the Federal Reserve pours in liquidity, the cryptocurrency market will definitely not be absent! 🚀

Will $BTC , $ETH take off together under this wave of interest rate cuts + balance sheet expansion?
What do you think? Will this rate cut bring a new round of rebound to the cryptocurrency market? Also, which market do you think will have a better Christmas performance, U.S. stocks or the cryptocurrency market? 💬

Come and share your thoughts! 💥
#美联储 #降息 #加密货币 #圣诞反弹 #Cryptocurrency market performance #投资机会

#BTC走势分析 #美股 #降息

#btc

Fuck, the US stock market opened and I made money. The expectation of interest rate cut is great, brothers. BTC should learn from this and charge for me!

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 #降息 $BTC
Bottom fishing

US economy slightly falters, inflation expectations ease, on-chain projects continue 🚀
1️⃣ US economic data shows slight fluctuations, confidence index slightly declines 😶‍🌫️
🔹 The final value of the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index for September is 55.1, slightly below the expected 55.4, and the public's optimism about the future has cooled slightly.
🔹 The final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation for September is 4.7%, in line with the previous value of 4.80%, and inflation concerns seem to be slowly dissipating.
🔹 The year-on-year core PCE price index for August is 2.9%, precisely matching expectations, and price trends remain stable.

2️⃣ The popularity of stablecoins remains high, L1 chains and SWIFT join forces 🌊💨
🔸 The stablecoin L1 blockchain Plasma launched 24 hours ago, attracting $4 billion, ranking eighth in DeFi deposit value, primarily relying on lending vaults and cooperative agreements, allowing users to earn native tokens XPL by locking assets.
🔸 SWIFT is developing stablecoin functionality and launching "on-chain messaging" based on the Linea network, strengthening the bridge between traditional finance and blockchain.

3️⃣ Major moves in blockchain projects, Solana & protocols collectively upgrade 🔄✨
🔹 $SOL Solana's custom fiber optic network DoubleZero announces its mainnet launch on October 2, deploying the 2Z token 🎯
🔹 Virtuals Protocol announces the termination of the Genesis project, with a brand new launch model on the way, looking forward to fresh gameplay 🎮
🔹 The WLFI team will initiate a token buyback and burn plan this week 👾
🔹 The support rate for Lido's "LDO buyback" proposal has reached 100%.

4️⃣ Market funds accumulate against the flow, BlackRock ETF application adds fuel 🔥
🔸 In the past week, $5.75 billion BTC and $3.08 billion ETH flowed out of CEX, with the overall market still maintaining a counter-trend accumulation pace.
🔸 BlackRock has applied to launch a covered call options strategy fund, iShares Bitcoin Premium ETF, as institutional players continue to increase their positions 💰

👀 Market overview: Slightly warming up
▫️ Total crypto market cap is $3.78 trillion (+0.95%)
▫️ Altcoin season index is 70, fear index is 34 (fear)
▫️ $BTC BTC 109568 (-0.17%), $ETH ETH 4023 (+2.05%)
▫️ BNB 960 (+0.25%), SOL 205 (+4.09%)

⚠️ Reminder: All information above is publicly available, no operational advice, profit and loss are your own responsibility, and please keep comments friendly! 🏄‍♂️

#web3 #降息 #稳定币 #财经热点 chain #财经

$ETH #降息 A couple of days before, it was the hardest, easy to get trapped, sending red envelopes to everyone, please follow.
Red envelopes are available, no need to rush.
Link 1, 红包口令20U7QSDQ
Link 2, 红包口令RAMVPRB9

Urgent Notice⚠️⚠️In the previous article, we analyzed the impact of European interest rate cuts and currency wars on the cryptocurrency market and explored some possible entry points. Now, let's take a deeper look at how to choose an entry point and how to manage risk. Strategy is at the end😂

1. Market Dynamics Analysis
At present, the cryptocurrency market is still volatile. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have risen recently, but there is still uncertainty in the market. In addition, changes in the global economic situation and policies and regulations may also have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. Therefore, when choosing an entry point, you need to pay close attention to market dynamics and relevant news.

2. Determine possible entry points by analyzing technical indicators such as cryptocurrency price trends and trading volume. For example, you can pay attention to Bitcoin's daily and weekly charts to look for signals that the price has broken through important support or resistance levels.
Support and resistance levels: Support and resistance levels are important concepts in technical analysis. When prices fall to support levels, there may be a rebound; when prices rise to resistance levels, there may be resistance. Support and resistance levels can be determined based on historical price data and market psychology, and entry points can be found near these positions.

3. Set stop loss and take profit. When trading, it is very important to set stop loss and take profit orders. Stop loss orders can help us stop loss in time when prices fall to avoid further losses; take profit orders can help us make profits in time when prices rise to avoid missing profit opportunities.

4. Strategy: You need to consider multiple factors when entering the market, and formulate a suitable trading strategy according to your own situation. Now is the best time to enter the market.

Abi 3738 has entered the market with multiple orders, stop loss: 3675, and stop profit is not set for the time being. Just look at Abi's signal in time! ! Friends who haven't got on the train yet, hurry up! Go, go, go
#新币挖矿 #热门话题 #BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #降息 $BTC $ETH

With the European Central Bank looking set to begin full rate cuts ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve,

credit spreads denominated in euros are likely to tighten, Bank of America analysts said in a note.

European credit is cheaper relative to U.S. credit, and expectations of ECB rate cuts should boost euro credit, Bank of America said. The ECB is widely expected to begin cutting rates at its meeting next week,
while the first rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve looks months away. #降息 #MegadropLista #新币挖矿 $BTC

Oh my gosh, can this still be #降息 ?

The U.S. economy unexpectedly surged in the third quarter, with an annualized growth rate of 4.3%

Isn't this a bit too good? 😭😭

1. #GDP exceeded expectations
Q3 GDP annualized growth rate of 4.3%, significantly higher than the expected 3.3% and also above the previous value of 3.8%
2. Consumption remains strong
Personal consumption expenditures grew by 3.5%, far exceeding the expected 2.7%, with demand still hot.
3. Inflation is barely passing
Core PCE at 2.9%, basically in line with expectations

From July to September this year, the total output of all goods and services in the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) increased further from 3.8% in the second quarter. The report was delayed due to the government shutdown.

Analysts surveyed by data agency FactSet generally expected the economic growth rate for this quarter to be around 3%. However, inflation levels remain above the Federal Reserve's ideal target. The inflation indicator most closely monitored by the Federal Reserve. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) in the last quarter increased to an annualized rate of 2.8%, up from 2.1% in the second quarter.

Excluding the more volatile food and energy prices, the core PCE inflation rate is 2.9%, also higher than the 2.6% in the second quarter.

If persistent and possibly worsening inflation pressures continue, it could really reduce the likelihood of #美联储 cutting interest rates in January.

🚨The Federal Reserve's "withdrawal" warning! Those still partying in the ICU, have you forgotten you are chives?💀
Just now PANews revealed that the Federal Reserve Chairman actually hinted that there will only be one interest rate cut this year! Just one! Not the three that the "smart money" in the market fantasized about!📉 Isn't this directly pulling the oxygen pipe from the bull market?🔌 Those still fantasizing about "massive liquidity, the bull market taking off," have you forgotten that you are still lying in the ICU?💊 I see that institutions are now using the last warmth to quietly hand over their chips to you “bag holders”!🏃‍♂️ Stop dreaming, if you don’t run now, it’s you who will be left standing at a high position! All altcoins' liquidity will face the risk of drying up, and by then you won't even find a place to cry!😭 "The Federal Reserve has already removed the respirator, and those still partying in the ICU are either foolish or crazy!" Ask yourself, are you holding onto faith or a hot potato?🔥 #Crypto #FederalReserve #降息

[News on March 6: "Small non-agricultural" employment increased by 140,000 in ADP in February, Powell: It is appropriate to cut interest rates at a certain point this year]

Cryptocurrency markets keep a close eye on ADP data. ADP employment, known as "small non-agricultural employment", was in line with expectations but rebounded from the previous value. Wage growth for job-changers accelerated for the first time in more than a year, and service industry jobs continued to grow significantly.

At 9 pm on Wednesday, March 6, the U.S. ADP employment report showed that the U.S. ADP employed 140,000 people in February, which was lower than the expected 150,000, but exceeded the revised previous value of 111,000, the largest number since December 2023. increase.

While employment growth rebounded, wage growth for those staying employed continued to slow, reaching 5.1%, the smallest increase since August 2021. For those changing jobs, wages increased 7.6% year-on-year, the first acceleration since November 2022.

ADP chief economist Nela Richardson said: Employment growth remains strong and salary growth trends are lower, but still above the inflation rate. In short, the labor market is dynamic and does not affect the Fed's interest rate decisions this year.

After the data was released, the U.S. dollar index fell slightly in the short term and was now at 103.62. U.S. stock futures rose slightly in the short term, with the Nasdaq 100 index futures expanding to nearly 0.9%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield has little short-term fluctuations and is currently at 4.138%.

Tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell went to Capitol Hill to deliver the latest semi-annual monetary policy reports in the House of Representatives and the Senate respectively. As the silence period before the Federal Reserve's March interest rate meeting approaches, the market is eager to hear more clarity on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy this year. guidance.

"We believe our policy rates are likely at the top of this tightening cycle," Powell said in his speech. "If the economy develops as expected, it would be appropriate to begin reducing policy restrictions at some point this year, but there is uncertainty about the economic outlook." It is uncertain whether the anti-inflation policy can continue to make progress towards the 2% target."

★Follow new strategies and learn first-hand information!

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#降息 #5月市场关键事件
Powell's speech yesterday was neither dovish nor hawkish, and he seemed to be preparing for a big one, but it doesn't matter anymore. What we need to pay attention to is whether to cut interest rates this year, which is the key to whether the bull market can continue to rise!

Summarize the key points of yesterday's speech:

1: Interest rate outlook: Reiterate that interest rates may remain high for a longer period of time, do not think that inaction may be a rate hike, and are more likely to maintain the policy interest rate level at the current level.

2: Inflation outlook: Confidence in the decline in inflation is lower than before, and the lack of further progress in inflation in the United States in the first quarter is noteworthy: the inflation rate is expected to fall month-on-month.

3: Economic outlook: The US economy is performing very well, with a very strong labor market, and GDP is expected to continue to grow at a rate of 2% or higher, which benefits from the addition of new labor.

4: Market reaction: Since Powell's speech, gold has basically remained sideways, rising to a maximum of $2,356.72. The three major U.S. stock indices generally showed a V-shaped trend.

5: Latest expectations: The market currently expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a cumulative 40BP this year, with the probability of rate cuts in June and September at around 50%, which is basically consistent with the situation before Powell's speech.