以太坊etf批准预期

Brothers, this data is a bit heart-wrenching— the probability of Ethereum dropping out of the top two by market cap in 2026 has skyrocketed from 17% at the beginning of the year to 59%, and the competitor replacing it is actually the stablecoin USDT!
$ETH
Let me break down the logic behind this phenomenon for you:

First, why does USDT threaten ETH?

In the past five years, the market cap of ETH has only increased by 11.75%, while USDT has grown by 622.50% during the same period, with a market cap exceeding $184 billion. XRP and USDC have also seen greater increases than ETH. What does this indicate? Funds are flowing towards 'certainty'—in a bear market, stablecoins and payment tokens are more resilient than smart contract platforms.

Second, is a 59% probability credible?

This data comes from Polymarket and is the result of real money betting. The market is voting with its feet: ETH has dropped from 4000 to 2000, ecosystem growth is weak, gas fees are sluggish, while USDT continues to drain liquidity with its absolute dominance in TRC-20.
#ETH走势分析
Third, the implications for us:

· ETH is not unholdable, but expectations should be lowered. The past story of 'flippening' may not be told for a while
· Focus on assets like USDT, USDC, and XRP that have 'real demand'. Surviving in a bear market is more important than telling stories
· Position allocation should be diversified. Don’t go all in on ETH; consider pairing with stablecoins for yield or top L1s

In terms of action, ETH around 2000 can be held with a small position, but don’t go heavy. If you want to follow my adjustments, message me to join the group.

#以太坊ETF批准预期

Ethereum breaks below $2000

This drop below $2000 has wiped out the last group of bulls and fed the last group of bears. $ETH

HTX data shows that ETH dropped below $2000, down 3.82% in 24 hours. Just yesterday, you could still call it a "pullback"; today—BTC just broke $68,000, and the probability of Polymarket hitting $80,000 is only 2% left—this is a concentrated release of panic sentiment.

But I want to tell you: $2000 ETH is prepared for smart money, not for panic sellers.

Let’s break it down into three points to turn the sentiment around:

First, who is selling? A 3.82% drop, who is it hurting? Look at the on-chain data—what's being liquidated is mainly high-leverage long positions, not the spot whales. Just today, whale 0x4e6b just withdrew 20,000 ETH from Binance. Retail investors are cutting losses, while whales are withdrawing coins. The sell orders are from leverage positions, and the buy orders are real money. Once you understand this calculation, you’ll know who is winning.

Second, what position is $2000? It is the institutional entry cost area of the previous round of ETH and also a gathering place for many DeFi liquidation lines. This step breaking $2000 has instead washed out the last floating chips. Resolv attackers are buying, and that whale with 20,000 coins yesterday is buying; now the price is even lower. Do you think they will stop? #币安人生

Third, what has the 3.82% drop brought us? It has brought a 2% bullish probability on Polymarket and has led to the entire network's wailing that "ETH is going to zero." And we must remember: the start of a market always comes after the emotional freezing point. The 2% bullish probability is an extreme in reverse indicators and a standard setup before a reversal.

The current strategy can be summed up in one sentence: don’t get washed out by this drop.

For those holding ETH, hold steady. For those who haven’t boarded, ETH around $2000 is your last chance to get in. Wait for this batch of panic sellers to finish cutting losses, and wait for that 2% bullish sentiment to reignite; the price will not be this number anymore.

Remember: bull markets often have sharp drops, while bear markets often have slow declines. This step is to send away the last batch of wavering people. And what we need to do is stand on the side of smart money.
#以太坊ETF批准预期
Follow Caizong for daily insights and in-depth analysis. Caizong focuses on Ethereum, Bitcoin, and altcoin contracts and spot strategies, sharing only practical experiences that can survive in the market!

The best entry point for the Ethereum rebound market

Like Bitcoin, the B-wave rebound in Ethereum's bear market has not yet completed. It is currently in the B-b wave correction phase of the B-wave rebound, and there will be a subsequent B-c wave rise. The conservative target for the B-wave is in the range of 2750±50, while the optimistic target is in the range of 2950±50.

Yesterday, Ethereum experienced a significant decline, falling to a low of 2034, very close to the March 23 low of 2023.

The trading volume during yesterday's decline was significantly lower than the trading volume during the rebound on March 23, close but less than the trading volume during the decline from March 17 to March 19. On one hand, this indicates that selling pressure is relatively weak, and the decline is limited; on the other hand, it shows that selling pressure has not yet been exhausted, and there is still a possibility of further declines.

Considering that Ethereum has accumulated a large amount of liquidity in the range of 1960-2010, especially concentrated in the 1988-2007 range, it is possible that the main force will let Ethereum drop below 2000 to acquire this liquidity before starting the B-c wave rise.

If this scenario occurs, there will be a better entry point than the March 23 low. This would also be the best entry point for the B-c wave rebound market.

Based on the liquidity accumulation situation of Ethereum, the best entry point may be in the range of 1950-2000. However, this is just a possibility, and betting completely on this possibility carries considerable risk.

The above analysis is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice! $$ETH #ETH #以太坊ETF批准预期

💥$BTC News: 69,415 USDT, -1.95%
Range: 68,923 – 71,400
Signal: MACD dead cross, RSI neutral bearish
Strategy: Watch for direction, bearish if it breaks 68k, bullish if it holds above 72k! $ETH
Comments, shares, likes 999, 🎁 non-stop 🎁 $XRP
#比特币 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #Solana⁩

🚨March 24th ETH Short Position Live Record

Variety: ETH
Style: Swing
Direction: Short
Position: Opened a 10% short near 2175, added 15% near 2225
First Target: Around 2125
Second Target: Around 2110-2095
Stop Loss: 2250

ETH rebounded to around 2175, initially opened a 10% short position, then as the price continued to rise, added another 15% near 2225. Overall position is still controlled relatively steadily, and the stop loss is set at 2250.

My Opinion: Currently, the rebound strength of ETH is average, and there may still be some room for a pullback in the short term. If it can successfully break 2125, then seeing around 2095 would be more comfortable.

Brothers, are you going long or short on ETH today? Did anyone catch this rebound? Let's discuss in the comments～

#ETH #以太坊ETF批准预期 #Live Share

Can I come out in 4 years?
$ETH
#ETH #以太坊暴涨 #以太坊合约 #以太坊ETF批准预期

Yesterday we talked about this support entering a critical support zone. Even if the market simply repairs and rebounds, one can pay attention to the position of 2100 to take half a position. Yesterday's highest point was around 2199. The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's easing have reached a critical point, and riding this rebound is a must. Currently, there is a slight pressure as it enters a critical divergence phase.
$ETH $BTC #以太坊ETF批准预期
As of this morning, ETH's 24-hour net inflow increased by +3.9%, which is considered an effective rebound. Huangmao announced a 5-day suspension of military strikes against Iran, easing tensions in the Middle East and reducing risk aversion, leading to a collective market rebound. The market saw a liquidation of 555 million, with short positions being squeezed, forming a short squeeze effect. After consecutive days of market gains, there is also a correction, providing an opportunity for bulls to enter. However, experienced players know that this is the time to wait for bulls to enter and stop losses before we can try a small long position, focusing on effective support to minimize risks and maximize profits.

Suggestion: Enter 30% near 2128 and补 at 2065 below. First, pay attention to selling half at 2230 above and target 2388.

🚀 Bitmine doubles down on Ethereum staking!
⏰ 2 hours ago, Bitmine deposited 101,786 ETH (approximately $219 million) for staking
📈 Current total holdings are 4.595 million ETH
🔒 Of which, 3.142 million ETH are staked, with a staking rate approaching 70%
💡 Continuous staking of ETH holdings indicates a long-term optimistic view on the network and market!
🔥 How much market impact do you think the ETH staking craze will bring?
💬 Let's discuss your views in the comments!
#以太坊ETF批准预期
$ETH

ETHUSDT 4H | The pullback high has been confirmed at 2385! A new round of decline is accelerating

The previous wave's pullback high was precisely at 2385 (24h high 2385.78), with a long upper shadow + a lower closing body, perfectly validating the script of "failed to reach the second peak after a technical rally."

Current situation:
- Falling back from the 2385 high, currently fluctuating around 2143, clearly lacking sustained buying pressure
- MACD golden cross but momentum is weakening (bars shortening, DIF/DEA gap narrowing)
- Trading volume is shrinking, bulls have been trapped, facing potential liquidation pressure at any moment
- PNL floating loss has appeared, market sentiment has turned to panic

Conclusion: 2385 is the true top of this round!
The pullback high has been determined, and a new round of accelerated decline at the four-hour level has officially begun.

Operation suggestions:
✅ Continue to hold short / Add to shorts on rebounds around 2140-2168
✅ Target first looks at 2070-2000, strong support breaking down to aim for the 1736 low area
Stop loss should uniformly be placed above 2190-2200 (stop loss again at new highs)

2385 has become history, do not close your short positions, keep going! 📉💥

#ETH #ETHUSDT #以太坊ETF批准预期 #币安永续