#BTC daily chart analysis ....

📉 Current Structure (Daily)

Price is around 78,100

Clear downtrend:

Price below MA(7), MA(25), MA(99)

Lower highs + strong bearish candles earlier

Recent low formed near 74,500

Small bounce → looks like a relief bounce, not trend reversal

🔍 What might happen next?

🔴 Scenario 1: Bearish continuation (more likely)

This bounce could be dead-cat / technical pullback

If BTC fails to reclaim 80k–81.5k, sellers may step in again

Key downside levels:

76,800

75,500

Worst case retest: 74,500

📌 Reason:

Strong resistance from moving averages

No bullish structure break yet

🟡 Scenario 2: Range / consolidation

BTC may chop between 76k – 81k

Market waits for:

Macro news

ETF / institutional flows

Liquidity sweep

This would trap both longs and shorts.

🟢 Scenario 3: Short-term bullish relief (less likely, but possible)

If BTC breaks and holds above 81.5k

Then targets:

84k

86–88k (major resistance)

⚠️ Still a counter-trend move unless daily closes flip above MA(25).