š§ PSYCHOLOGY #17: OVERCONFIDENCE - THE POISON OF SUCCESS
You win 10 trades in a row.
Mind: "I AM the guy. I've mastered this."
Next trade: Entry without analysis.
"My feeling is ON FIRE"
Result: HUGE LOSS that wipes out 5 wins.
š OVERCONFIDENCE BIAS:
After a streak of wins, your brain OVERESTIMATES ability.
UNDERESTIMATES risk.
š¬ STUDY:
Traders with 5+ consecutive wins:
⢠73% increase position size
⢠68% skip analysis steps
⢠81% lose BIG in the next trade
ā ļø THE PATTERN:
Win ā Confidence ā ā Risk ā ā Loss āāā
š” THE SOLUTION:
FIXED PROCESS. Same ritual:
⢠10 wins? Same checklist.
⢠10 losses? Same checklist.
Result does not change PROCESS.
Success is not a license to neglect.
Have you ever "relaxed" after wins?
I bet the next one was a loss.
Comment below.
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