EU CHOOSES NEGOTIATION, NOT TRADE WAR
According to NYT, European leaders are leaning towards a negotiation scenario rather than retaliating against President Trump's threat to impose tariffs.
The EU's position is very clear: “Negotiate first, prepare for the worst-case scenario.”
The deadline of 1/2 is approaching, and the Davos Forum is seen as the “golden window” for direct US–EU dialogue.
8 NATO countries have issued a joint statement: Greenland is not for sale and Arctic security is a common strategic interest, not a tool for tariff pressure.
The reality shows:
This increasingly resembles a negotiation leverage scenario rather than a real trade war.
Trump's familiar model:
Shock with high tax announcements
Pull the market into a risk-off state
Open negotiations
Seal the agreement → the market rebounds
To be frank: it seems that everything is just about creating problems to have an excuse to solve them
But while the “scenario” is still unfolding, the market will continue to fluctuate significantly.
Volatility has not ended – it has only just begun.