š SPY's Action Is Speaking Volumes
Take a look at $SPY's price action. Every decline toward that key lower trend line has been on expanding volumeāreal selling pressure. In contrast, the bounces back to the tops have come on contracting volumeāweak, unconvincing buying. That pattern is the opposite of accumulation; itās classic distribution š§Ø. Big hands are quietly offloading shares into strength.

Today played out like a textbook example, with the price bouncing precisely off that lower support line. However, the volume dynamics tell me this bounce lacks conviction. This isn't a springboard for a new rally it looks more like a pause before a breakdown.


Given the weakening structure and the persistent distribution signals, I believe this support will break. My estimate? We could see a resolution by February as the pattern completes.
This is a crucial time to pay attention to what the tapeānot the headlinesāis telling us. šÆ
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