How to use Dow Theory to find buy and sell points for Bitcoin?
I. First, anchor the core premise of Bitcoin's Dow Theory (adapted to the high volatility characteristics of cryptocurrencies)
1. Bitcoin trends are divided into three levels: primary trend (long-term bull or bear, several months to several years), secondary trend (corrections/rebounds within the major trend, several weeks to several months), and short-term trend (intra-day/several days fluctuations, can be ignored); Dow Theory focuses only on the first two levels for buy and sell points.
2. Bitcoin does not have a unified transaction volume standard; use the total network transaction volume + main contract open interest to verify the trend and avoid misleading by a single volume.
3. Trends must be confirmed by highs and lows + volume simultaneously; a single candlestick breakout is invalid.