#MarketAnalysis #BTC

The market situation today, December 30, 2025, looks like a classic consolidation and a "holiday lull" before the New Year. Yesterday's spike to $90,000 turned out to be a false breakout, and now the price is looking for a new support level.

The main events and news today

Several factors are influencing the market today and in the coming days:

Waiting for the Fed protocols (minutes): Traders are awaiting the publication of details from the US Fed's December meeting. Any hints at rate cuts in early 2026 could push the crypto market upwards.

Corporate news: Information has emerged that major crypto companies (Kraken, Consensys) are actively preparing for IPOs in 2026. This creates a positive long-term background but does not provide immediate growth.

Activity of Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy): It became known yesterday that the company has again purchased Bitcoin for about $100 million at the end of December. This confirms that major players are ready to buy even at the current high levels.

Technical picture and indicators

After the morning surge to the psychological mark of $90,000, Bitcoin faced strong selling pressure, leading to a pullback to the $87,000 – $87,500 zone.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): On the 4-hour and daily timeframes, the RSI is in the range of 38–43. This indicates that the asset has exited the overbought zone and is now in the 'neutral' zone. The market has cooled, allowing space for new maneuvers, but there is no clear impulse to buy right now.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A weak 'bearish' crossover is observed on short timeframes, however, on the daily chart, the histogram is starting to shrink. This signals a slowdown in the rate of decline. If the price holds above $86,000, the MACD may turn bullish by January 1-2.

Moving Averages (MA): The price is trading above the 50-day and 200-day EMA, which confirms the maintenance of the global upward trend despite a local correction.

Institutional optimism: Despite the correction, reports from giants like BlackRock and MicroStrategy indicate long-term accumulation. Reports of major crypto exchanges preparing for IPOs in 2026 keep the market from a deep decline.

Expectations of macro data: The market is frozen in anticipation of the US Fed protocols, which may shed light on the cost of money in early 2026.

Today's market state is a 'breather'. Strengthening at the level of $87,500 is a positive signal: buyers are ready to defend this threshold. Sideways movement (flat) is expected until the end of the day. The chance for a re-test of $90,000 remains on New Year's Eve amid low liquidity ('Santa Rally').