This analysis was written on November 29.
But I was waiting for a weekly close below the main low of wave 74, to confirm Bitcoin's entry into the first year of the cycle, which is the downward year.
The downward cycle is expected to extend until November 2026.
It is currently noticeable that the same people who were saying:
Buy Bitcoin from 80 – 70 thousand
They have started quoting prices of 30 – 20 thousand and the like, without any analytical basis, but just to stir controversy.
The analysis
Note:
Everything mentioned in this analysis is based on studies and sciences of previous cycles.
And based on the peak of 126.
If the peak is broken and a new peak is formed, this analysis is completely invalidated and the numbers and dates will change.
On October 6,
It coincided with the end of the ascending cycle, using the same tools currently employed.
First: Date of bottom formation
It is expected that the bottom formation will be between:
2026/10/19 – 2026/11/2
Especially the date 2026/10/19 is the most important.
Method of determining the bottom:
The number of weeks from peak to bottom was calculated, as previous Bitcoin cycles were as follows:
Previous cycle: 52 weeks
The one before it: 50 weeks
Two weeks are added in each cycle:
2026/10/19 = 54 spots (increased by two weeks)
Secondly: What will the price bottom be?
It is expected that the bottom will be between:
38 – 36 thousand dollars
Method of determining the price:
All previous corrections have been taken into account,
And calculating the correction ratio in each cycle,
And its calculation is how much correction decreases each time.
The average correction was between 70% – 72%,
Which corresponds to the area of 38 – 36 thousand (specifically 37900-35221).
Halving peak
Expected halving date: 2028/4/17 estimated
(This may change depending on the Bitcoin network)
And it is expected that the peak will be between: 135 – 126 thousand
The halving refers to: Bitcoin halving
The upcoming historical peak
The historical peak will be determined later in terms of price and timing, and if the halving time changes,
But as an initial assumption, it is expected to be in:
2029/9/17
Buying strategy (accumulation)
Buying will be accumulation, and it is preferable to be from the following areas:
60 thousand (weekly MA200)
45 thousand (strong support)
37900-35221 (expected historical bottom)
Some say that reaching these prices is impossible,
And I say: The price will reach these areas,
And you will then say: It's impossible to buy because it will drop more,
Especially since the market will be saturated with negative news.
Cancel the analysis
⚠️ This analysis is completely canceled, along with all dates and prices,
If the current peak is broken and a new peak is formed.
The post will be fixed until 2026/11/2
