๐ The state of the Crypto Market over the past year
Over the past year$BTC
๐ Bitcoin has dropped about 40% from its All Time High
๐ท Ethereum has dropped by about 37%
๐ Solana has decreased by about 55%
๐ป Altcoins like SUI have fallen by up to 70%
These are Blue-chip coins that move alongside Bitcoin ๐
AI Narrative coins have collapsed by over 90% ๐ค๐
๐ Bitcoin Halving & Historical Pattern
Historically
After Bitcoin Halving โณ
could reach the top within 526โ546 days
there may be a significant Correction (30โ80%) afterwards โ ๏ธ
Calculating this factor with today
๐ The cycle could end around October 10, 2025
That's why the question people are asking is
๐ ๐ป Has the Bear Market started?
๐ ๐ Is it a good time to accumulate?
๐ฆ Factor 1: Fed Rate Cut & Quantitative Easing
๐บ๐ธ American Fed
๐ Interest Rate has been lowered
๐ต Quantitative Easing (injecting money into the market) will restart
Therefore
โก๏ธ Money will flow into the market
โก๏ธ Bitcoin could enter Risk Assets
โก๏ธ Bullish Signal ๐๐
๐ Factor 2: Global Liquidity
Worldwide
๐บ๐ธ USA โ Stimulus money ($2000)
๐จ๐ณ China โ Trillion dollar funding
๐ฏ๐ต Japan โ Billions inject
When this kind of money comes into the market
โก๏ธ Bitcoin could benefit ๐ โจ
โ ๏ธ Factor 3: Japan Yield Risk
๐ฏ๐ต Japan
Previously, Interest Rate ~0%
Now it will rise up to 0.75%
Therefore
๐ธ cheap loans taken from Japan
Money from the market may be withdrawn
โก๏ธ Liquidity may exit โ Negative Impact on Bitcoin โ ๏ธ
๐ข Factor 4: MicroStrategy & MSCI Risk
๐ข MicroStrategy is a company that holds a lot of Bitcoin
๐ If expelled from the MSCI Index
๐ฅ Liquidation could reach $8 Billion
๐ Bitcoin can be sold
โก๏ธ There is a risk of a significant crash ๐จ
๐ January 15 is a very important date
โ๏ธ Factor 5: Crypto Laws (Bullish)
๐บ๐ธ in the USA
โ GENIUS Act
โ Clarity Bill
These laws are causing
๐ฆ Banks & Institutions may enter
๐ฐ Stablecoin & Crypto Market can grow
โก๏ธ Bullish News for 2026 ๐ฑ๐
๐ง Summary
๐น For the Crypto Market
Liquidity vs Risk will determine
๐น Bullish Factors present ๐
๐น If there are heavy Risk Factors ๐
๐ Crypto is Volatile
๐ Research done
๐ It is important to go with Strategy (Lump sum vs SIP)
โ ๏ธ Not Financial Advice
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