Based on historical data from 2014 to 2024, the core characteristics of Bitcoin's Christmas market are as follows:
Overall performance in December: High probability of increase, but with significant volatility
• 2014-2023: The probability of Bitcoin rising in December is 50% (5 years up, 5 years down). Among them, December 2017 had the largest increase (+46%), while December 2021 had the largest decrease (-18.9%).
• 2024: Bitcoin's performance in December is strong, with prices during Christmas (around December 25) rising more than 25% compared to Christmas 2023 (approximately $16,500), continuing the rebound trend from 2023.