⚠️ The Federal Reserve has already cut the rate by 0.25% to 3.50–3.75% — this is the third consecutive step towards easing policy, but it is not unambiguous (there were many votes against).
🔥 The key message from officials is that inflation is not yet fully tamed, and the struggle continues.
⚡ A part of the management wanted to delay the decrease further, fearing that recent data is still not sufficiently indicative.
📈 Overall, the market received a “moderately dovish” signal: the rate was lowered, but the size and further dynamics are in question.
📊 PCE inflation in the USA came out roughly where expected: core PCE was 2.8% (below expectations) — this eased pressure a bit but did not fully release inflation risk.
📍 BTC reacts volatilely:
🔹 crypto rose after PCE amid heightened rate-cut expectations
🔹 but the price remained jittery around $88K–$91K before the crucial data.
📌 What does this mean for the market (Binance-style):
⚡️ The Fed has already communicated: macro drivers now are discourse and data, not surprises in rates.
⚡️ $BTC reacts in both directions — initially rising on rate easing, but caution due to inflation likely puts downward pressure.
⚡️ New key liquidity zone: if BTC does not hold ~90–92K, a test of lower supports is possible.
📉 Macro does not provide an instant pump, but forms a market base for volatility and long-term trends of BTC and the broader crypto market.