1. Bitcoin = mirror of dollar liquidity
BTC fell by 25% because global dollar liquidity decreased by 10%.
The market believes only in numbers, not in Trump's pre-election promises. 📉💵
2. The summer growth was a fake
All summer, spot ETFs and MicroStrategy trades pushed the price up.
As soon as the futures premiums fell and ETFs began to record outflows — the growth evaporated. 🎈➡️💥
3. Trump 'wants, but cannot'
Promises of cheap money remain promises:
— The Fed is not lowering rates 🏦
— Democrats are pushing for anti-inflation policy
As a result — there are no incentives, the market is cooling down. 🥶
4. Short-term bearish scenario (weeks–months)
BTC: 80–85K $ 🐻
Alts: –40…–50% 💀
S&P 500 / Nasdaq: –10…–20% 📉
Treasury yields: back to 5% and above 📈
This will cause a real financial cry of Yaroslava. 😱
5. Turnaround and a new bullish cycle
When the market starts screaming in pain, the authorities will turn the printing press back on.
— The USA will soften its policy
— China will be forced to stimulate the economy
And then:
👉 BTC = 200–250K $ by the end of 2025 – beginning of 2026 🚀🔥
6. Additional thoughts of Hayes
Solana is overpriced, it will soon be painful. 🩹
Zcash and privacy coins are an undervalued hedge against AI surveillance and CBDC. 🕵️♂️
Risk curve is eternal:
first everything falls → then they print → then we fly up. 🔄📈🚀
7. Position of the Maelstrom fund
✔️ Sold crypto at the peak (105–108K)
✔️ Moved to stables 🧊💵
✔️ Took small longs on Zcash
✔️ They are waiting for blood in the market to enter big and ride up to 200K+ 🩸🤑
