CZ Zhao Changpeng has spoken! Binance family: Quantum is not the apocalypse, it’s a reshuffle!
Google just announced: Quantum machines can crack Bitcoin private keys in 9 minutes, retail investors are terrified, but veterans are laughing—this is not a crisis at all, it's a super stress test!
1. Technical Truth: Encryption is always faster than Decryption
Quantum only cracks ECDSA signatures (exposing the public keys of old addresses). Satoshi Nakamoto's 1.1 million BTC and early P2PK are the most dangerous. But the NIST post-quantum standards (ML-KEM/ML-DSA) are already mature, and Bitcoin BIP-360 and Ethereum's roadmap have all been implemented. Public key algorithm swaps and address upgrades, technology has a 100% solution. SHA-256 is almost unharmed.
2. Real Risk: It's not the technology, it's the infighting within decentralization
The difficulty lies in community coordination, hard forks, and wallet migrations. Weak projects that lack funds for upgrades will die directly, while quality chains (BTC/ETH) will inevitably become winners. Self-custody must switch to quantum wallets; lazy individuals will see their assets go to zero.
3. Satoshi Nakamoto's Dilemma: Act and be revered, remain still and be sealed
If there is a significant movement of 1.1 million BTC during the quantum window, it will cause a global explosion. Remain still? The community will likely permanently lock these addresses to prevent quantum hackers.
Suggestions
- Long-term: Hold BTC/ETH, the most stable and resistant to quantum upgrades.
- Short-term: Stay away from worthless coins with no development and many old addresses.
- Actions: Immediately transfer coins to a new address (P2WPKH/P2TR), away from P2PK.
Conclusion: Quantum is a tool for shakeouts, not the end of the world. The panicked are the newbies, and the ones profiting are those who understand cryptography.
#CZ #赵长鹏 #加密货币 #量子计算 #比特币
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