Brothers, good evening! Let's briefly discuss today's intraday strategy for ETH.
In the past couple of days, ETH has been clearly in a large range of 2000—2100.
It may seem like it's constantly moving, but what the main players are doing is simple: harvesting at both ends while oscillating in the middle.
The current price is around 2040, which is actually quite an awkward position.
To put it bluntly—it's stuck, and chasing longs or shorts can easily backfire.
Personally, I have two positions I’m optimistic about today:
First: If it goes up close to 2090—2100, consider shorting.
The reason is simple: there are a lot of liquidations set around this range, and it's easy for the main players to push it up to sweep some liquidity before pulling back.
If my expectation holds, it is likely to return to around 2050 or even 2020.
Second: If it instead drops down to around 2000,
then I would consider taking a long position.
At the 2000 integer level, funds generally provide support, and it's common to see a spike down and then bounce back.
So my personal strategy today is actually quite simple:
Look for shorts near 2100
Look for longs near 2000
As for the 2040 mid-range position, I basically won’t touch it.
After trading for so many years, I've realized a simple truth:
Many people lose money not because they make wrong judgments, but because they are too eager.
The truly good trading opportunities may only happen once or twice a day.
Waiting patiently for the right position is much more important than opening trades every day.
I’m also quite curious, if ETH makes another push to 2100 tonight,
what do you think will happen:
A: Break through and go up directly
B: False breakout and then drop down
Personally, I lean slightly towards B.