The key to everything right now is actually the Strait of Hormuz. If this strait is blocked, oil prices will continue to rise, the US stock market will continue to fall, and cryptocurrencies will also continue to drop. Conversely, if the situation eases and the strait is reopened, oil prices will fall, and it could be a plummet, with the US stock market and Bitcoin rebounding immediately. The cause-and-effect relationship is that simple.

When the Strait of Hormuz will reopen is unpredictable, but one thing is certain: it cannot remain blocked forever, and it is highly likely that it won't be blocked for too long because the US cannot afford it and is looking for solutions. The most direct approach is that if Iran continues to block the strait, then ground warfare will commence, and it may be intense, aiming for a quick resolution.

From the exposed US military ground war plan for a quick resolution in weeks, the US aims to replicate the "42-day annihilation of Iran" myth. The Pentagon will implement the "surgical strike" tactic this time—without occupying territory or engaging in a prolonged war, directly targeting Iran's oil lifeline, Khark Island, to achieve a "quick victory in weeks."

Iranian Navy Commander Shahram Irani stated on the 29th local time that Iran is monitoring the position, movements, and requests made to regional countries by the US aircraft carrier group USS Lincoln in real-time. Once the USS Lincoln enters Iran's range, Iran will launch missiles.

The ground war is imminent, but the outcome is not in much suspense because there is a significant power gap between the two sides. The US's approach to Iran is a dimensional reduction strike. Once direct ground conflict occurs, there can only be one result: Iran's defeat and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Subsequently, crude oil prices will plummet, the US stock market will soar, and cryptocurrencies will also surge. It's just a matter of time. This prediction does not require any professional level; anyone with a bit of world knowledge can understand it.

From the market in the past couple of days, despite the rampant news of ground warfare and the situation being tense to the breaking point, the trend of BTC has not lost control and has not experienced a continued plummet due to the news. Instead, it shows signs of bottoming out and even a slight increase. If on Monday, under the pressure of various negotiations and the US's big stick, Iran's attitude softens, there will definitely be an astonishing rebound.