3.29 Sunday Dahe Evening Market Analysis: $AIA 1 H-level surged and then pulled back, RSI 77.61 shows short-term overheating, but the 4H MACD histogram is still expanding, and bullish momentum has not diminished. Sell orders have accumulated above 0.1157, but there are thick buy orders in the 0.1155 to 0.1154 area below, indicating clear intentions to support the market. Under the negative funding rate environment, the position remains stable, and the passive pressure from the shorts continues to exist.
Operational Suggestions: Go long
Entry/Limit Order: Gradually position in the range of 0.1023 - 0.1050
Stop Loss: 0.1006
Target 1: 0.1225
Target 2: 0.1312
Trade Management:
- Execution Strategy: Reduce half of the position after the price reaches the first target, and move the stop loss of the remaining position to the entry price. If the price cannot stabilize above 0.1150, consider taking profits early.
The current price has broken out of the upper band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, indicating a short-term technical pullback is needed, which is precisely the entry opportunity we are waiting for. The 1-hour EMA20 at 0.1055 forms dynamic support, highly coinciding with the suggested entry range. The position remains stable during the price rise, indicating that it is not purely a spot market rally, but there is simultaneous involvement of contract funds. In this structure, the probability of a deep pullback is low; it is more likely to complete the turnover through sideways movement or shallow pullbacks, making the risk-reward ratio at this position very attractive.
Personal suggestions are for reference only; trading carries risks, and investment should be cautious! Pay attention to position control; staying alive is more important than anything else.
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