【Next week may welcome the 'Black Swan Window'】The crypto market is entering the most sensitive week ⚠️
On March 29, the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has lasted a full month.
In the coming week, whether peace talks will occur or escalation will happen, any slight movement could directly trigger market fluctuations.
However, the factors truly affecting the crypto space go beyond just war.
Global capital flows are about to reach a critical juncture: Bank of Japan + Federal Reserve officials' speeches + US non-farm data, and the market will reprice 'interest rate expectations'.
📌 Key events next week (directly affecting BTC fluctuations)
Monday 07:50
Bank of Japan releases summary of committee opinions (clues on interest rate stance)
Tuesday 04:00
New York Fed President Williams speaks (market barometer)
Wednesday 00:00
Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks
Wednesday 23:00
Dallas Fed President Logan speaks (key hawkish signal)
Thursday 20:30
US initial jobless claims + trade balance (short-term liquidity expectations)
Friday 20:30 (heavy impact)
US unemployment rate + non-farm employment + wage data
➡️ Determines the next pricing for the market's interest rate cuts/increases
Friday 21:45
US services PMI final value (confirmation of economic strength or weakness)
⚠️ Additional reminder: US stock market closed on April 3 (decreased liquidity)
New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq closed all day
Precious metals, US crude oil futures suspended
Stock index futures/foreign exchange/US Treasury bonds close early
📉 Thinner liquidity = fluctuations are more easily amplified
During such days, 'false breakouts' and 'spikes' are most likely to occur.
#美伊和谈陷僵局 #美国加密法案再次遇阻 #特朗普希望尽快结束对伊朗战争 #Tether审计 #BTC行情 $NOM $ONT $STO