The Trump administration is reportedly fluctuating between declaring an end to the conflict and threatening to escalate military actions. According to BlockBeats, the White House press secretary warned that if Iran does not abandon its nuclear ambitions and cease threats against the U.S. and its allies, U.S. President Donald Trump is prepared to launch a devastating strike.
American officials have disclosed that over the past month, there have been discussions within the Trump administration about potentially seizing Kharg Island, a crucial Iranian oil export hub in the Persian Gulf, and conducting raids on coastal areas near the Strait of Hormuz to locate and destroy weapons that could be used against commercial ships and military vessels.
PolyBeats monitoring indicates that on the prediction market Polymarket, there is a 3% probability that Kharg Island will no longer be under Iranian control by the end of the month, with a 30% probability by the end of April.