【If I Only Understood Bitcoin Today: A Letter to My Future Self 10 Years from Now】

“In 2013, someone exchanged 10,000 BTC for two pizzas; in 2024, one BTC will buy a Rolls-Royce. History does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes—only most people cannot hear the rhyme.

Fast forward ten years, when Bitcoin’s tagged price reaches $1,000,000, we will look back at today and be surprised to find: the so-called ‘getting rich’

is merely having the courage to hit the buy button during a bear market and being able to hold the sell button during a bull market. The rest of the time, we are just tugging against FOMO and FUD.

1. How much deeper can the bear market go?

BTC can drop another 60%, and altcoins can fall 90% just as a courtesy. Catching falling knives on the left side can lead to zero if the project team runs away.

 #Federal Reserve March Interest Rate Meeting

2. Is a 6x increase all that’s left?

From $30,000 to $200,000, that’s a naked 6x, but leveraging, swing trading, and staking to earn interest can make the ‘number of coins’ the numerator, resulting in a hundred-fold story, albeit a more tedious script.

3. Is $1 million conservative?

Gold’s 30% market value ≈ $4 trillion, which corresponds to BTC at only $200,000; subtracting $2 million in lost coins and four years of halving, under a deflationary model, $1 million is merely a ‘conservative solution.’

4. Ten-Year Strategy: Creating Wealth + Preserving Wealth

In a bear market, only hoard BTC, avoid high Beta;

Three tiers of position: 60% in spot, 20% in leverage, 20% in USDe earning interest;

Sell ‘five years’ living expenses’ at each new high, and roll the rest into a snowball;

Private keys, wills, and taxes done correctly at once;

Re-read ‘The Intelligent Investor’ every year, using discipline to lock down the wildness.

5. The Biggest Positive in This Round

Bitcoin has been recognized by sovereign legislation for the first time, Wall Street ETFs, and accounting systems—policy support + capital support + supply support, a once-in-a-decade occurrence.

Nice to meet everyone, Ming is focused on the contracts and spot ambush for $ETH and $BTC , the team still has spots available, get on board quickly to become a dealer and also a winner @铭哥带单日记