US M2 money supply has reached a new all-time high

This is yet another pattern that has now broken.

At this point, I think even the most committed believers in patterns and cycles are starting to realize: the models that once served as a benchmark for predicting Bitcoin’s movement are no longer reliable. Everything changed the moment the war in Ukraine began.

The world has shifted into a new phase — a new paradigm. And all the old models have essentially been reset.

And honestly, that’s a good thing.

Now we’re on equal footing with those early investors who got rich almost “randomly.” They now have to adapt to the current reality — and in some ways, it might be even harder for them. When you’ve made huge money using simple patterns, and suddenly every new position goes against you because those models stopped working — handling those losses psychologically is not easy.

Time will show who stays in the game… and who gets completely wiped out. $BTC