People trust confidence more than accuracy.

I've watched it my whole life.

The person who speaks first and loudest gets believed. The person who says "I'm not sure, let me check" gets ignored.

Looks the same in crypto.

The loudest predictions get the most followers. The most careful analysis gets the least attention.

I stopped following confident voices a long time ago.

Now I follow people who say "I could be wrong" and then explain why they still hold their position.

Those are the ones worth reading.

Who do you actually trust in this space the confident or the careful?