Brothers and sisters, this report from Cointelegraph has something to say! If BTC falls further below $60,000, the time to recover to historical highs may be delayed until 2027!
How is the data calculated?
A pullback of about 48% from the $126,000 high in December 2025, according to historical patterns, means that for every additional 10% decline, the recovery cycle is extended by an average of 80 days. If $60,000 is the bottom, it will take about 300 days to recover; if it falls to $40,000-$45,000, with a pullback exceeding 60%, the recovery cycle will be extended to 440 days—pushing it directly to after the second quarter of 2027.
What is the current position?
BTC is currently priced at $69,000, leaving 13% space until $60,000. If it breaks below, it’s an opportunity to increase positions, but be mentally prepared to wait until 2027.
The key is not how much it falls, but how long it falls.
An increasingly longer recovery cycle means that the era of “buying the dip and lying down to win” is over. The current strategy is: control position size, extend the cycle, and build positions in batches.
Suggestions from Sister Yan:
For those with positions, around $60,000 is a zone to increase positions, not a zone to cut losses.
For those looking to enter, keep sufficient ammo and wait to buy in batches below $60,000.
For contract players, don’t hold onto positions; the time cost is more expensive than the price cost.
Remember, whether it’s 300 days or 440 days, only those who survive can wait for the bull market.
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