The situation in the Middle East has completely blown up!
Trump has just issued the final ultimatum, and the first wave of 2,000 Marines is launching an assault, followed closely by the second wave of 3,000 from the 82nd Airborne Division. The two waves aim to completely seize Hark Island and cut off Iran!
The story begins late at night on March 21. Trump posted a tweet on social media with just one sentence - '48-hour countdown.'
With just these few words, the global energy market exploded.
Why? Because Hark Island, a small island 6 kilometers long and 3 kilometers wide, bears nearly 90% of Iran's crude oil exports. The island is filled with oil tanks, pipelines, and energy facilities; once lost, Iran's oil exports would basically drop to zero.
Oil prices surged in response, and traders didn't dare to blink as they stared at the screen.
But this is just the beginning.
Two days later, Trump announced that 'the negotiations are going smoothly,' and the airstrikes were postponed for five days. On the surface, it looks like an olive branch, but in reality? The Iranian Foreign Ministry directly exposed the lie—there is no negotiation at all.
These five days just happen to allow 3000 soldiers from the US Army's 82nd Airborne Division to be smoothly deployed to the Persian Gulf, doubling the forces within two weeks.
While appearing to build a road openly, Trump is secretly plotting. This strategy of delaying tactics treats the whole world like fools.
But Iran is not a soft target either.
In the past few weeks, Iran has been reinforcing its defenses on Khark Island, with the coastline filled with anti-personnel mines and anti-tank mines, and soldiers armed with shoulder-fired air defense missiles guarding various high points. To take Khark Island, the US military must pay a painful price.
The two waves of assaults by the US military appear fierce, but in fact, they are full of loopholes.
The first wave of 2000 Marines landing from the sea? The waters around Khark Island have long been filled with mines by Iran; landing crafts could be blown up as they approach.
The second wave of the 82nd Airborne Division landing? During the air drop, they are sitting ducks for surface-to-air missiles.
More crucially, the garrison on the island consists entirely of elite members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, who are familiar with the terrain and skilled in guerrilla warfare. Even if the US military temporarily lands, they may not be able to hold their ground.
Surrounding countries are not fools either.
Although Saudi Arabia is not on good terms with Iran, it also fears that the flames of war will reach its own oil fields. Iraq is more direct, clearly stating it does not allow the US military to use Iraqi bases to attack Iran.
Russia and China will not stand by. Russia has already provided Iran with advanced equipment and intelligence support, while China has voiced strong opposition to unilateral military actions diplomatically.
Ultimately, Trump's actions are not for 'maintaining peace.' The US domestic economy is a mess, with high inflation; he wants to divert attention and garner votes through military action.
But he miscalculated. Iran is not Iraq, nor is it Afghanistan. With a complete military industrial system, a powerful Revolutionary Guard, and deep national cohesion, once war breaks out, even if the US military captures Khark Island, they will be mired in a prolonged guerrilla war.
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