Old leeks reveal the truth in one sentence:

Real attacks won't give a 48-hour notice, nor will they use thousands of people to target the energy lifeline; the essence of this is to create reasons for market volatility.

The key in the crypto circle is not whether there will be an attack, but rather:

Have the risks been exaggerated?

The logic chain is simple:

Tension → Oil prices ↑ → Inflation expectations ↑

Inflation ↑ → Interest rate cuts delayed

Interest rate cuts delayed → Crypto market under pressure

So in the short term, you might see BTC surge with "risk aversion sentiment",

But if oil prices really stabilize, that will be a medium-term negative.

The current market is also very honest:

BTC is not making new highs

Altcoins are not following

Funds are waiting for liquidity, not for war

The conclusion is simple:

Such news is 90% emotional fuel, not the starting point of a trend.

Don't chase news, focus on liquidity.#特朗普缓和局势