In March 2020 $BTC it fell to $3,800 with absolute panic. Those who bought that day with the world on fire... multiplied by 30 in 18 months. TODAY BTC fell to $66,587 — a two-week low — due to the largest options expiry of the year: $14 billion. Trump threatened to attack power plants in Iran. Oil prices rose. And the market went into a panic. The same old script.
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⚡ FLASH: Trump threatened TODAY to attack the power plants in Iran unless they open the Strait of Hormuz — oil rose immediately. BTC fell -4% in hours.
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🌡️ THERMOMETER TODAY:
Sentiment: 😱 Fear & Greed 10/100 — Extreme Fear
24h Trend: 📉 Bearish -4% — 2-week low
Catalyst: 💥 $14B options expiry + Trump escalates Iran
Conviction: 🎯 6/10 — I expect a rebound post-expiry but need to see $68,403 recovered
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💣 BOMB DATA:
BTC fell -4% TODAY to $66,223 — but BlackRock simultaneously withdrew 2,200 BTC from exchanges this week — confirmed long-term accumulation. Bhutan sold 519 BTC. BlackRock bought 2,200. The net result is positive. Whales do not exit when the market drops due to options expiry. They wait. And then buy.
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🔍 TODAY:
📉 BTC at $66,587 — Fortune 9AM ET confirmed. Daily range: $66,223 - $71,371. Drop of -4% due to $14B options expiry.
⚠️ Trump threatened TODAY to attack Iran's power plants — new escalation that raised oil and sunk risk assets.
📊 BTC is trading above SMA 50 and SMA 200 according to CoinCodex TODAY — long-term signal intact despite the drop.
🏦 BlackRock withdrew 2,200 BTC from exchanges this week — active institutional accumulation.
📊 RSI: 53.39 — neutral zone. Not oversold. Panic is emotional, not technical yet.
📊 VS LAST WEEK:
BTC: $70,722 → $66,587 (-5.86%) 📉
$14B options expiry: the largest of the month — temporary pressure ✅
SMA 50 and SMA 200: intact — solid long-term structure ✅
🎯 KEY LEVELS:
🔴 Support: $66,291 — $64,362 (CoinCodex pivot confirmed TODAY)
🟡 Resistance: $68,403 — $70,363 — $72,323
🟢 If it recovers $70,363: $72,323 → $74,204 → $79,064
⚠️ If it drops to $64,362: $60,126 (cycle low)
🎯 SETUP TO WATCH — next 48 hours:
Post-expiry prices historically normalize in 24-48 hours. If BTC recovers $68,403 today → technical rebound towards $70,363 this week. If not → $64,362 is the next support. The key is that peace talks with Iran remain active — without them, oil rises and BTC falls further.
📌 IN SUMMARY:
1️⃣ $14B options expiry TODAY — the largest technical pressure of the month, temporary by nature
2️⃣ BlackRock accumulated 2,200 BTC this week while retail sells
3️⃣ $68,403 is the first level to recover — defines the direction for next week
📰 TOMORROW'S HEADLINE:
“BTC rebounds from $66K post-expiry — BlackRock accumulated while the market was fearful” — or — “BTC drops to $64,362 if Trump attacks Iran and oil exceeds $110.”
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Will BTC rebound above $70,000 next week after the options expiry — YES or NO? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.
