Today, the markets are under significant pressure due to geopolitics and changing expectations regarding the Fed.
📊 Key:
— Traders are massively hedging against the risks of war amid the situation with Iran
— The market no longer expects a rate cut — there is now a ~50% probability of a RATE INCREASE by the Fed
— Short-term bonds are under pressure, volatility is rising
⚡ Crypto market:
— $BTC ≈ -3.3% (≈ $68K)
— $ETH ≈ -4.5%
— Liquidations: ~$333M (most are longs)
— ETF: capital outflow is being recorded
But the interesting thing is 👇
👉 Liquidity is now above price → a possible short squeeze if the market stabilizes
📉 The US stock market is also falling:
— Nasdaq -2.3%
— S&P 500 -1.7%
— Techs under pressure (Meta -7.9%, Nvidia -4%)
💡 What this means:
The market quickly reacts to geopolitics → fear + expectations of a tough Fed policy = pressure on all risky assets.
But 👀
Such moments often create opportunities — especially when liquidity accumulates above price.
📌 Conclusion:
The market is currently emotional. If the tension decreases — a sharp rebound is possible. If not — volatility is just beginning.